Here at the @intel #ifs direct connect event. Keynote time!
Pat to the stage. He's been CEO for 3 years now
Restore the company noyce and Moore built. Time to rebuild western manufacturing. Today is a day in that mission.
3 years ago, mixed response on foundry goals. Internally, Intel was Reinvigorated against the pessimism. The vision becomes real - Intel Foundry.
So it's not IFS any more. It's IF.
Foundry and products will be independent. Foundry will keep security, but products will drive the foundry volume. Interdependence
Chip design became boring, then AI happened. Explosion in perf, capabilities, power. Pushing every dept, going after 100% TAM. Intel is the world's first system foundry
Need to ensure consistent supply and supply chain for the next generation of world class silicon. Physics is driving to chiplets, rack level systems, packaging is vital. Systems foundry does it all, and available to customers to enable innovation
Work with any EDA tools, any IP, ensuring security. Lip bu is here.
Former CEO and chairmen of synopsys, cadence, and Siemens on advisory board.
Intel to become world #2 foundry by 2030.
World requires sustainability and resiliency. Intel approaching 99% renewable energy.
The goal is 50/50 manufacturing between Asia and us/EU. Called the 'next 50' goal.
This goal is to move to this in the decade.
Closest parallel to chips act is the space race
How to we compete with China? We run faster. We innovate faster. We deploy in volume faster.
The volume of chips the bleeding edge of AI needs is mind blowing. It's a perfect convergence for Intel.
Is the chips act done? Do we need chips 2?
GF get 1.5b announced recently. Running fast to deploy chips 1. But there will have to be chips 2 if we want to lead the world.
Very soon Intel chips grant to be announced. (didn't make it in time for the event)
Siliconomy.
Growing to 25% of gdp by 2030. Intel driving 5 nodes in 4 years.
Intel 3 server products coming in 1H.
20A and 18A redefining silicon with ribbonfet and powervia
Intel clearwater forest. Intel 20A with an Intel 3 base die. Foveros direct at sub 10 Micron, and emib
'come to papa'
Satya and MS is an Intel 18A customer with chiplets
Extending the roadmap. Intel 14A and variants of Intel 3 / 20A
Here's a 14A test vehicle wafer
Now packaging. Foundry will offer all of these
Mention of glass and optics. More details this afternoon
Intel is the clear leader in process and packaging and systems foundry. 15b total deal value in foundry today.
Stu Pann to the stage.
What is a systems foundry? Why is the AI era driving demand?
At Intel, it's the people who make the company. You don't need to be in Taiwan to build the world's leading semiconductors. We want to earn being your foundry supplier.
Stu came back to Intel 3 months after pat did
Systems Foundry
Intel has a history of redefining the industry
This is a slide from a morris Chang presentation at MIT
STCO. Breaking the layers
It's not just enough to do Moore's Law
The three layers of system foundry.
1. Be a world class foundry. World leasing in PPACt
Roadmap again
Tower and UMC allow Intel to load balance the factories. Rounds out the cost structure. Talks with tower about 40nm.
Accelerating the tools needed so you can come to Foundry whatever you're comfortable with
Resilient sustainable supply
We can no longer rely on monolithic designs. Move to disaggregated design. (looks like Falcon?)
Ponte Vecchio was the genesis
UCIe, PCIe, CXL, oneAPI, and glass
Optics enables chips on chips on chips on chips on chips on chips on chips on chips on chips.
Tasty!
The challenges of AI growth
Need a system foundry
The future of systems foundry for AI
And software
Working with all the partners. Open standards and reference designs.
University collabs and investments
Also, arm
Industry partners on site
Talks later today from EDA + arm
Rene Haas @arm CEO to the stage
@Arm Yes, Arm at an Intel event is a weird thing. But this is the IF BU, not product
@Arm Conversations started very soon after Rene took over Arm. Arm needs to be part of what Intel is doing. Arm announced new datacenter cores N3 V3 this morning (I'm still writing that up)
Fireside chat time with @MediaTek and @Broadcom. Guess who two of the biggest Intel foundry customers are
And that's a wrap! If anyone uses my photos, a link back would be greatly appreciated!
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Short Course 1 from #iedm24 today. TSMC giving some detail about the state of the industry. Some highlights.
#1 3D Stacking is expected to go to 3 micron pitch by 2027.
#2 A16-based AI accelerators in 2027 with CoWoS-L and 12xHBM4. But even those 2025/2026 designs look cool - six compute die, 12xHBM3e. Next gen MI400 from AMD maybe?
#3 WiFi 8 to show life in 2027/2028. WiFi 8 at 10 Gbps may need as much as 30 TOPs and TSMC N4 to achieve peak perf. Could do it in N16, but big chip with lots of power.
Sucks that still so much WiFi 4 will still be being installed.
$INTC margins crater for 2024 Q3.
DCAI/NEX up, rest down 🧵
vs 23Q3
💵 Revenue $13.3b, down 6% (Guide 13b)
📈 Gross Margin 15% GAAP, down 27.5pp (Guide 34.5)
💰 Net Income -$16.6b, down from $0.3b
🪙 EPS -$3.88, down from $0.07
Outlook:
💵 Revenue $13.8b, +- $500m
📈 GM 36.5%
➡️Foundry $4.35b, down 8% from $4.83b
➡️DCAI $3.35b, up 9% from $3.08b
➡️CCG $7.33b, down 7% from $7.87b
➡️NEX $1.51b, up 4% from $1.45b
➡️Altera $0.41b, down 44% from $0.74b
➡️MBLY $0.48b, down 8% from $0.53b
Employee count, as of Sep 28, is at 124.1k - down 1200 from last quarter. Not quite the 15k announced quite yet.
$AMD hits a record quarter for 2024 Q3. Their best ever. 🧵
💵 Revenue $6.819b, up 18% YoY
📈 Gross Margin 54%/50%, up 3pp YoY
💰 Op Income $724m, up from 224m
🪙 EPS $0.47, up 161%
Outlook:
💵 Revenue $7.5b, +- $300m
📈 GM 54%
Datacenter - EPYC, Instinct
➡️ Revenue $3.549b, up 122% YoY from $1.598b
➡️ Operating Income $1.041b, up from $0.306b
➡️ Operating Margin 29% , up from 19% YoY
Launched Turin, MI325X. Strong cloud pickup on MI300X, announced the acquisition of ZT Systems.
Client - Ryzen, Ryzen AI
➡️Revenue $1.881b, up 29% YoY from $1.453b
➡️Operating Income is $276m, up from $140m YoY
➡️Operating Margin is 15%, up from 10% YoY
New Ryzen AI 300 mobile devices, ramped Ryzen 9000 desktop, X3D due 7th Nov.