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Greg Sargent Profile picture
@GregTSargent
Feb 23 • 6 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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No Labels' spoiler bid has suddenly entered full meltdown mode. No serious candidates are interested. The group's public justifications are increasingly ludicrous. Time to pull the plug.

We have lots of new reporting and info in this piece. 1/

Link:
newrepublic.com/article/179244…
Joe Manchin's decision not to run was partly the result of intense lobbying. Richard Gephardt made a strong case to him behind closed doors. Manchin said he didn't want to be responsible for electing Trump, which deals a big blow to No Labels' case. 2/

newrepublic.com/article/179244…

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No matter how many times No Labels claims they don't want to function as a spoiler who elects Trump, that's what this candidacy will all-but-certainly do. Here's my effort to engage their argument directly. 3/

newrepublic.com/article/179244…


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Some news: Prominent critics of No Labels just sent them a letter calling on them to agree to a "No-Spoiler Pledge." If by July 1, it's clear their candidate has no chance at doing anything other than serving as a spoiler, they should stand down. 4/

newrepublic.com/article/179244…

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More behind-the-scenes details, per sources: Dick Gephardt took his case directly to some No Labels officials/donors, and got no serious explanation back.

And No Labels seems to have alienated even the Manchin camp, which should be NL's allies. 5/

newrepublic.com/article/179244…

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It's time to pull the plug. 6/6

newrepublic.com/article/179244…


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More from @GregTSargent

Greg Sargent Profile picture
Feb 21
I'm not sure people realize how huge it is that Dems won new legislative maps in Wisconsin. This defeats some of the worst gerrymandering anywhere.

On today's pod, we dig into this with Greta Neubauer, the head of Wisconsin Assembly Dems. 1/

Listen👇
newrepublic.com/article/179152…
You need to get to know Greta Neubauer. At 32 (!!), she is the leader of Wisconsin Assembly Dems. The new maps put Dem control of the assembly within reach. She's a big part of the Dem rebound in Wisconsin.

We discussed all this on the pod. 2/

Listen👇
newrepublic.com/article/179152…
Wisconsin is another reminder that Ds are still living with the hangover of 2010, which let Rs take control of many state legislatures and lock in gerrymanders everywhere.

We discussed why defeating this in a key swing state is so important. 3/

Listen👇
newrepublic.com/article/179152…
Read 5 tweets
Greg Sargent Profile picture
Feb 16
As we watch the GOP case for impeaching Biden implode along with their chief "informant," keep this in mind: Trump is going to *demand* that House Republicans go through with the impeachment no matter how ludicrous the case gets. 1/

Link:
newrepublic.com/article/179089…
You really can't overstate how much Republicans and right wing media had hyped this informant. Imagine being a vulnerable House GOPer, who voted for the impeachment inquiry, and is now watching the bottom drop out from under it. 2/

newrepublic.com/article/179089…

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It's funny that Don Jr is already claiming the indictment of the informant merely confirms the Deep State plot against Trump. It's like turtles all the way down: In MAGA-land, if one Big Lie implodes, there's another conspiracy theory underneath it. 3/

newrepublic.com/article/179089…
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Read 5 tweets
Greg Sargent Profile picture
Feb 15
NEW POD: We dug deep into the Dems' big win in NY-3 with the campaign's top pollster. He told us some fascinating things. First, a big overlooked factor is that abortion keeps delivering for Dems. Ads emphasized the threat of a national ban. 1/

Listen👇
newrepublic.com/article/179025…
Another key point: In Dems' internal polling, Biden's favorable rating in NY-3 was in the low 40s, yet Suozzi won over a chunk of Republicans and nearly half of indys.

If you like demographics, you'll love this chat w/pollster Mike Bocian. 2/

Listen👇
newrepublic.com/article/179025…
People are missing a big reason Ds flipped the immigration script. It wasn't just Rs killing the deal. Suozzi's ads also emphasized a path to citizenship. His pollster told me GOP messaging was awash in Fox News BS, alienating swing voters. 3/

Listen👇
newrepublic.com/article/179025…
Read 5 tweets
Greg Sargent Profile picture
Feb 13
Just appalling: A new poll finds that Trump gets far less blame for killing the border deal than Biden does, even though Trump *explicitly* called on Republicans to vote it down.

This is exactly why the GOP did his bidding and sank the deal. 1/

Link:
newrepublic.com/article/178951…
Trump gets far less blame than Biden for killing the deal even though *Republicans themselves* said they were voting it down because Trump told them to. Dems made most the concessions, as @davidfrum noted. Trump himself said he wanted it as an issue. 2/

newrepublic.com/article/178951…

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Trump/GOP know the sitting POTUS will get blamed when things go wrong. But this problem is particularly brutal on immigration: Congress has put the executive in an impossible position, and voters don't know this. I tried to explain how this works here. 3/

newrepublic.com/article/178951…

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Read 4 tweets
Greg Sargent Profile picture
Feb 9
The special counsel found that Biden extensively cooperated with investigators, in sharp contrast to evidence that Trump resisted and misled them for months.

That's a good topic for "news analysis" pieces. Instead, it's But Her Emails redux.

New piece:
newrepublic.com/article/178920…
I'm calling BS on the sort of news analysis that passively says the report has shined a "spotlight" on Biden's age.

The "spotlight" reflects editorial choices. The GOP use of something as "ammunition" for an attack shouldn't dictate those choices:

newrepublic.com/article/178920…


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The GOP talking point that Biden isn't being prosecuted *because of* his dementia or whatever is staggeringly dishonest. The report explicitly says investigators *couldn't find sufficient evidence* to persuade a jury:

newrepublic.com/article/178920…

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Read 5 tweets
Greg Sargent Profile picture
Feb 5
Trump and Mike Johnson are killing the House vote on the border deal because (1) they know it would pass; and (2) this would wreck their strategy of claiming Biden alone owns what happens at the border.

To MAGA, that's an unacceptable outcome. 1/

Link:
newrepublic.com/article/178754…
Trump and Mike Johnson both gave away the game: If Republicans help pass the deal, they will have participated in a solution for the border mess. They oppose it *precisely because* it does a fair amount of what Republicans say they want. 2/

newrepublic.com/article/178754…


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It's telling that while railing against the deal, Mike Johnson again claimed Biden is "intentionally" keeping the border "open."

If Republicans participate in a bipartisan solution, they can no longer say Biden is doing this! Get the game now? 3/

newrepublic.com/article/178754…

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Read 4 tweets

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