Michael Weiss Profile picture
Feb 25, 2024 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Best thing you'll read all weekend, on CIA-HUR cooperation. I'll highlight the key bits below: nytimes.com/2024/02/25/wor…
CIA "put in the plumbing" for a massive partnership with HUR, Ukrainian military intelligence, around 2015, after Poroshenko's election and the appoint of Gen. Valeriy Kondratyuk, formerly the head of CI at SBU, as HUR chief. Image
One instant payoff was that Ukrainians were more adept at recruiting Russians than Americans were: Image
Though the tradecraft had to be acquired, as the Ukrainian services were still at a nascent stage of conducting foreign operations. This is great (and hilarious) anecdote about Operation Goldfish: Image
One constant throughout this war -- and remember, it's a war that began a decade ago -- is that Ukrainians are quick studies. A full relationship solidified in six months because HUR was a treasure trove of actionable intel on Russia. Image
People have marveled at HUR's capability to penetrate deep inside of Russia. But the capability was always there. What wasn't, until recently, was Washington's enthusiasm for such operations. I've heard Kondratyuk tell this story before -- and how Brennan apologized later. Image
CIA says "no," so you do it and don't tell them beforehand. Guess who took part in this mission into occupied Crimea? It went sideways, but the Unit 2245 team made it out alive; one operative even killed the son of an FSB Vympel general. The operative's name: Kyrylo Budanov. Image
The op cost Kondratyuk his job as head of HUR. But it elevated Budanov's career. And HUR didn't slow down. Here we have attribution that they killed "Motorola" and "Givi," two pro-Russian heavies from the 2014/2015 era in Donbas. Image
More hiccups with the Obama White House, but never mind. Joint CIA-HUR ops continued. They even led to this beaut, in which HUR tricked a GRU officer into giving up intel about Fancy Bear, the GRU hacking unit that leaked DNC, DCCC and Podesta emails to WikiLeaks. Image

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More from @michaeldweiss

Mar 8
New with @60Minutes: A whistleblower from the Global Health Incident Cell (GHIC), the secret CIA unit that investigated Havana Syndrome, says he believes the Russian intelligence services are behind directed energy attacks on Americans. .theins.press/en/inv/290088
“John Thorne” (not his real name) had first-hand experience dealing with a cornerstone case of AHI, in Central Asia. He says the GHIC was determined to disprove AHI was real or that a foreign adversary was responsible for it. Image
The device the U.S. acquired over a year ago: it fires pulsed microwaves, it is portable, and it is programmable for distance and intensity. Its beams can penetrate windows and drywall. Not only does it have critical Russian components, it was purchased by U.S. operatives from a “complex Russian criminal network.”Image
Read 8 tweets
Feb 10
Estonian Foreign Intelligence's annual report is out. Some highlights to follow: Image
Very clear message to the U.S., which seems intent on ignoring it: Russia is using "peace" talks as a tool for manipulation. While still viewing the U.S. as a main adversary, Russia's state institutions have been instructed to adopt a spirit of openness to cooperation. Why? Because restoring diplomatic relations and resuming direct flights will facilitate espionage, influence operations and the flow of sanctioned goods into Russia.Image
Moscow's targeting of European countries is meant to split the U.S. from its closest allies and use economic warfare -- via the proposed joint investment fund for Ukraine -- to stop Kyiv's Westward trajectory. Image
Image
Read 22 tweets
Jan 14
I read everything Dexter Filkins writes and so should you. His profile of Marco Rubio is no exception. I'll share a few highlights in this thread: Image
During the campaign I said J.D. Vance seemed like the sort of populist redneck a gaggle of South African tech bros might cook up in a Silicon Valley laboratory. Almost AI-generated. Anti-charismatic. Awkward in the extreme. And a hard sell absent the Trump juggernaut. Well, lookee here. Vance is not "a guy's guy" like Rubio. Trump thinks he's a bit weird, a bit wussy, and highly unlikeable. He even has buyer's remorse picking Vance as VP. The Maduro op and the past and future military action Iran show Marco's stock is up, J.D.'s is down. Vance gets to own the mess in Minnesota. Rubio gets to be viceroy of Caracas.Image
Here's a little something special from Sen. Mike Rounds, who not only confirms Rubio's call to his former Senate colleagues at the Halifax Security Forum last November, but emphasizes that the Dmitriev-Witkoff plan was really the Dmitriev plan: "... we are the recipients of a proposal that was delivered to one of our representatives." Indeed. And it was laundered, Rounds might have added, through a gullible press corp, which relied on Dmitriev, Witkoff and Kushner as sources (this when Witkoff played an active role in deceiving the same press corp about supposed daylight between Trump and Netanyahu on striking Iran) and didn't bother asking why the Secretary of State/NSA or CIA director were written out of a coalescing U.S. deal with Russia. Those sorts of things demand inter-agency buy-in. Instead, amateur diplomats made an end-run around the actual diplomat, and Rubio got his retaliation in by letting a group of bipartisan legislators do it for him. He then initiated a de-Russification process of Dmitriev's 28-point plan in Geneva, and lo and behold it's now a Ukrainian-coauthored 20-point plan, certified by Witkoff and Kushner and Trump in successive rounds in Florida. The Russians will inevitably reject it and more or less have already. This was very well played.Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 12
Well, well, well.

"A number of months ago, the U.S. captured a weapon that has been associated with Havana Syndrome. Both said it was seized by U.S. Special Forces during an operation...the weapon is under the Defense Department’s Intelligence & Security unit." sashaingber.substack.com/p/exclusive-us…
CNN now reports the device linked to Havana Syndrome was purchased by Homeland Security in the waning days of the Biden administration. And DoD has spent a year testing it. It has Russian components and fits in a backpack. cnn.com/2026/01/13/pol…Image
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Two years ago, @InsiderEng, in collaboration with @60Minutes and @derspiegel, published a lengthy investigation into Havana Syndrome, and found links to GRU Unit 29155. You can read it here: theins.ru/en/politics/27…
Read 5 tweets
Dec 8, 2025
Suggest European friends and allies read not only the National Security Strategy but also the National Defense Authorization Act for FY 2026, which was published last night. It's very long, so skip to this section: rules.house.gov/sites/evo-subs…Image
Here, for instance, we see several amendments written in direct response to what Elbridge Colby has been doing at DoD while Pete Hegseth does chin-ups and tequila shots. Note the provision about reclassifying aid to Ukraine as needed U.S. stocks -- this cannot be done, per this draft, unless the kit is so badly needed for a contingency op, its absence could result in mission failure or loss of American lives:Image
Let's say Trump wants to punish Zelensky again for not wanting to forfeit Donbas by cutting intel sharing to Ukraine. He would have two days to notify Congress on this decision. And he'd have to explain why he did it and what the anticipated consequences to Ukraine would be. "Because I'm an asshole and I don't care" might not even suffice in this fast-changing political environment!Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 22, 2025
U.S. officials now confirmed what I wrote yesterday -- this whole thing was a Russian active measure, leaked to the press to sow panic and confusion and be conflated with U.S. policy in an administration where incompetence and dysfunction are evidently features, not bugs. macspaunday.substack.com/p/he-got-this-…
Utter fucking embarrassment for the United States, and it certainly explains the muted/cautious response by the Kremlin. I do hope Europe is paying close attention. *This* is the government they think they need to kowtow to.
Question now is who was pushing this "Russian wish-list" as a do-or-die plan of action to the Ukrainians from the American side? I think we know the answer. And why is the admin suddenly backing away from this thing?
Read 9 tweets

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