Dilan Esper Profile picture
Feb 29, 2024 30 tweets 5 min read Read on X
This "the courts are slow-walking Trump's immunity claim" narrative (for the most part coming from non-lawyers who don't understand anything about the system) is truly pissing me off. So here's the real story. 1/
President Trump was indicted last August. Notably that's the biggest slow walk of all- an August 2023 indictment for a January 2021 alleged crime, and 10 months after Jack Smith was appointed. But Smith is a saint among men and "on our team", so he cannot be criticized. 2/
President Trump's motion to dismiss was filed on September 29, less than TWO MONTHS after the case commenced. Judge Chutkan, who, again, gets no criticism because she's on the right "team", decided it on December 1, a two month delay. 3/
Nonetheless, to be clear, Judge Chutkan deserves no criticism for this. Two months from filing to decision on a motion to dismiss in federal court is VERY FAST. Usually you are looking at six months or more. This case was expedited. 4/
Donald Trump had a right, under law, to appeal this ruling to the Court of Appeals and to stay the trial court proceedings while he did it. You may not like this rule, but it applies to ANYONE raising an immunity defense, not just Donald Trump. 5/
President Trump took his appeal and the court concluded briefing in JUST ONE MONTH, and then held oral argument on January 9 and decided the case February 6. This is LIGHTNING FAST. Most CoA cases take about a year to a year and half between commencement and conclusion. 6/
Further, the DC Circuit itself broke a norm to speed up the case further, and NOBODY criticized it for breaking this norm. It's a technical issue, but the "mandate" is the date on which a court of appeals judgment goes into effect. 7/
In a normal case, you get 15 days to petition the court to rehear the case (in case some error was made) or to suggest that the full court, rather than a 3 judge panel, hear the case, and then the decision takes effect 7 days after that. 8/
The DC Circuit panel took those 22 days away from President Trump. It did so even though we have no idea if the full DC Circuit actually might have wanted to hear the case. Doesn't matter, the panel said, we won't let you. The decision takes effect immediately. 9/
So President Trump was forced to file immediately for US Supreme Court review. Even here, his time was cut. Normally you get 3 months to file a petition to the Supreme Court. The DC Circuit gave President Trump A WEEK. Again, enormous speed. 10/
President Trump filed his application for SCOTUS to take the case on February 12. SCOTUS decided within just SIXTEEN DAYS to grant the application.

And then SCOTUS set a HIGHLY expedited briefing schedule. 11/
Normally, a case that is taken by the Supreme Court on February 28 will be briefed through the spring and summer, heard in October when the new term starts, and decided the following January or so. 12/
But SCOTUS held all briefing will be done by APRIL and it will be orally argued the week of 4/22. That sets this up for decision in early May. A motion that was filed in September goes through all three levels of the federal court system and gets decided by May. That's FAST! 13/
Want to know what regular order looks like? Well, Judge Chutkan takes 6 months to rule on the motion to dismiss, and rules on it the last week of March 2024. The DC Circuit appeal takes a year and is decided in March 2025. Throw on another month for the en banc denial. 14/
Trump petitions for certiorari in Spring 2025 and his petition is granted and the case is briefed in the summer and early fall and is argued in November 2025. It is decided in March 2026. That's what regular order is. This case has been expedited by ALMOST 2 YEARS TOTAL. 15/
And if you want to argue that a 5/24 decision is still too late, well, SCOTUS only controls the last 3 months of that delay. The rest of it? Blame the liberal Judge Chutkan and DC Circuit and ESPECIALLY the DOJ, who DIDN'T BRING THIS CASE FOR 2 1/2 YEARS! 16/
Seriously the court system took almost 2 years off a case that DOJ took 2 1/2 years to bring. The Supreme Court itself took 8 months off of the case. And we're blaming the Supreme Court? This is utterly wrong. 17/
The reality is once the DOJ decided it would take 2 1/2 years to bring January 6 charges, this goose was cooked. And that is the case even though the federal courts, including SCOTUS, tried to pull it out of the oven quicker at the end. End/
@MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein 2. SCOTUS taking the case in December would have been extraordinary. SCOTUS rarely jumps in before a Court of Appeals has acted, and Jack Smith's argument that they should have was actually a lot weaker than Trump's immunity argument. It was never happening.
@MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein 3. Sat for weeks? They decided the cert petition 16 days after receiving it, which again is lightning fast by SCOTUS standards.
@MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein (It allowed Justice Jackson to sit on the affirmative action case.)

Also at least 6 cert before judgment cases were grant vacate and remand cases where court corrected some procedural error, not merits cases.
@MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein As far as I know this would have been only the 5th case of its kind to jump the Court of Appeals in the last 20 years or so had they granted cert before judgment.
@MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein (But perhaps you know more about appellate practice than I do. :) )
@SirCanuckles TBC I don't think that. I think 2 months is fine.
@InquisitiveUrsa See also the immigration judges issue which slows up asylum processing. We just don't have enough judicial officers at multiple points in the system.
@mo_sabet @MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein It's at the point where I've answered most of the talking points. :)
@mo_sabet @MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein And I'm not saying you do this but there's a "they do this all the time" sort of talking point being thrown around and no, even now, they really don't do it all the time. It's very rare.
@reedtcampbell Whereas here, this is not a discovery issue or grinding ongoing investigations to a halt. It's just a legal issue about whether there can be a trial.
@Trillest110 @Perl_of_Wisdom @ChiCyph80 @MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein There's a reason Finley Peter Dunne's joke about SCOTUS following the election returns has so much bite. You don't want courts thinking about this shit, let alone trying to influence the results of elections (which of course is the real goal here).
@Trillest110 @Perl_of_Wisdom @ChiCyph80 @MarkGattozzi @ARozenshtein I definitely want the official rule to be "the election is legally irrelevant".

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More from @dilanesper

Dec 15
If you want a "keeping it real" story of how the airline industry evolved to it's current state of tiered levels of service with discomfort at the bottom end, I'll walk you through it. It has no relationship to the things the industry's critics say.

A thread.
1. 31 inches pitch in coach and 17 inches seat width has been basically standard among major airlines for over 40 years. If there is shrinkage in legroom it is a very slow process and mostly on budget carriers.
2. The major shrinkage in airline seats actually occurred 65 years ago, with the introduction of widespread use of passenger jets in America. Because the flights were faster, flight times reduced, and passengers didn't care as much about comfort.
Read 22 tweets
Dec 14
What I wish people would realize about anti-semitism is that it isn't enough to say "it's theoretically possible to harshly criticize Israel without being anti-semitic".

Yes it is. But lots of Palestinian Cause types traffic in anti-semitism and don't face sufficient opprobrium.
And again, hashtag "not all Palestinian Cause types". Absolutely right. Some strident advocates for Palestinians and even some one state solution types do express proper horror about October 7, Bondi Beach, etc.

But lots of others look immediately to justify and minimize.
And again, they don't face sufficient opprobrium for it.

Remember Russell Rickford, the Cornell professor who said he was "exhilarated" by October 7? He should have been shunned. Confronted. He shouldn't be canceled, but people should stand up to folks who say stuff like that.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 14
Folks, if the air travel market said "we're sick of the bad cramped seats" and refused to fly in them, instead filling up premium while economy went unsold, airlines would respond to that by adding room.

But that's NOT what most people do. They want cheap fares more than space!
The real objection is "I should get a high class product while paying a rock bottom fare", but, no, you actually shouldn't, and what actually happens is when the airlines give you the option of paying more for more space, most travelers prefer paying less for less space.
Air travel is almost the perfect example of the revealed preference. There is basic economy, economy, economy plus, premium, business, and first class out there which means you can pay for whatever level of comfort you want.

And most people choose "very little".
Read 5 tweets
Nov 12
A lot of followers responded to my sex positive thread about the Internet and young women by asking "what about porn?".

It's a very good question. And I might as well say it-- I think the right wing and feminists have a point about porn as we stand in 2025.
To be clear, "as we stand in 2025" is crucial here. Part of the problem with critiques of pornography is there really was a "crying wolf" phenomenon. The religious right, after all, opposed Henry Miller novels and tried to ban the shipment of dildos under the Comstock Act.
And the religious right and feminists like Catherine MacKinnon and Andrea Dworkin equivalenced girly magazines in the 1970's and 1980's with rape.

The critiques were really over the top.

But... the porn industry decided to spend the last 30 years proving their critics right.
Read 56 tweets
Oct 25
I am going to once again say, this is BS, people are scaring you, a lot of commentators claim the legal system and the parties and the voters will allow things that are actually impossible, and repeating these claims is highly irresponsible.
There's no third term. See this thread.

Specifically on the "he'll run for Vice President" BS, no he won't. First, the Republican Party won't allow it, because they don't want to risk their presidential ticket ruled illegal by a court, resulting in the election of a Democrat.
Read 15 tweets
Oct 24
i mentioned awhile ago how i think the second Trump term has completely refuted the unitary executive theory. Media regulation is a PERFECT example. You want antitrust regulations of media mergers, and the President CAN'T be allowed to run them.
I know people claim the Constitution requires the President have personal control of everything in the executive branch but the text of the Constitution says no such thing. ALL it says is the executive power vests in the President, which is entirely vague.
The unitary executive was never an interpretation of plain text where there was no choice. It was a claim that arose out of the post-Nixon right at a time when Republicans won a lot of presidential elections, that anything other than complete control would "hamstring" POTUS.
Read 7 tweets

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