The European Environment Agency sent to EU leaders its first-ever report on the climate risks their people face
What are they trying to say in dense bureaucratic-speak? We're in the epoch of total climate f&%kery, to quote @EliotJacobson
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1. Serious people are now putting together charts which show, wait for it, warming of 7C+, while their minimum is 2C
I am not sure the general public (or our politicians) understands that we have zero evidence that we - humanity - can cope with any of this. Zero.
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2. Europe is not in a good place, at all: "The observed rate of increase of annual mean temperature for specific regions in Europe is more than 2.5 times the global mean temperature increase"
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3. Buried on page 26:
"The trend of increasing heat extremes across Europe is larger than the trend simulated by climate models"
In other words: dear fellow scientists, STOP minimizing climate risks and say it as it is, please
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4. And on and on, and on, with brutal facts - though cause and effects are left for the reader to imagine
For example, increased ocean surface acidity means no more coral reefs, in time, and all marine life in danger
It's brought to you, directly, by Big Oil
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5. The situation is completely, utterly out of control already - and the scientists are clearly struggling to how not say it (just check out the chart below and the strange choice of colors and arrows to basically indicate "apocalypse now")
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6. Wait, what? "public and private financial systems"? Think they're talking about us
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And it's further downhill from there, from page 47
"Biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradation is a major environmental threat in Europe, and it is accelerating"
"All of Europe’s seas are already strongly affected by climate change and other anthropogenic pressures"
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"Current water scarcity and future risks are most severe in southern Europe"
"Increasing frequency and severity of low flows will lead to hydrological droughts and worsening water scarcity in southern and western-central Europe"
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"Food production is at risk from reduced water availability and quality as well as the deteriorated status of terrestrial and marine ecosystems"
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And we truly have no idea about anything:
""Uncertainties in the medium and long-term are related to pollinator decline, pests and diseases in crops, livestock and aquatic environments, the climate resilience of new crop production systems"
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There is also the small matter of human health (from page 100 onward)
"Population exposure to extreme heat is projected to increase to 172 million/year by 2100 under a low-emissions scenario and to nearly 300 million/year under a high-emissions scenario"
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One of my favorite nuggets (page 102)
"mosquito- and tick-borne diseases that have either expanded their range or recently emerged in the EU include: West Nile virus, chikungunya, dengue, Lyme disease, tick-borne encephalitis and Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever"
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I am going to stop there, because it just gets worse.
Conclusion: act on climate right now, we are not prepared, have no plan, don't know how bad it's going to get and have zero time to waste. EVERYTHING AND EVERYONE is at risk
New 63-page report exposes the fraud of plastic recycling (more than 99% of plastics are produced from fossil fuels) and how Big Oil (yes, them again) and the plastics industry deceived the public for decades and caused the plastic waste crisis
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Fact #1: The vast majority of plastics (94%+) cannot be “recycled” - meaning they cannot be collected, processed, and remanufactured into new product.
They never have been and never will be: In the US for example, the recycling rate for plastic is estimated to be only 5-6%
Fact #2: Petrochemical companies created and perpetuated recycling as a false solution to plastic waste management - for more than 50 years
"the plastics industry began to lie about the viability of recycling as a direct result of the backlash they faced from the public"
The Angry Clean Energy Guy's Top 10 Good Climate News Stories of 2023
#10 President Lula of Brazil re-activates fighting BACK against Amazon deforestation
(graph via @MongabayOrg)
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#9 Natural gas bans in buildings
Why: buildings account for 39% of global energy related carbon emissions and we've begun to see serious movement in this sector in the US, Canada, Germany, the UK and elsewhere
#8 Investments in green infrastructure finally beating investments in fossil fuels – and extending their lead
In 2023, for every dollar invested in fossil fuels, about $2 went into green infra. Just one year ago, this ratio was one-to-one.
Batteries are currently going through a massive domino effect of adoption certain to phaseout 50% of global fossil fuel demand by 2040 at the latest. Because: economics
We are witnessing, live, the end of the age of oil (that's why Big Oil hijacked the UN climate talks)
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It's hard to conceptualize the sheer scale of what's going on: Annual commissions of new factories are 18 times those of just 5 years ago and we're building 400 gigafactories, with capacity to make 9 TWh of batteries/ year by 2030 - over 1 kWh for every person on the planet
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We also have everything we need to scale-up batteries: Reaching net zero will only take one quarter of today’s lithium, one-third of nickel and a quarter of known cobalt resources
Why are so many [very] wrong about the pace of our energy transformation?
"The 9 Deadly Sins of Analyzing the Energy Transition"
1 The inherent bias of those seeking to prop up the fossil fuel system in order to enjoy the largesse of its annual $2 trillion in rents
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2 Linear thinking: technology change is NOT linear.
"Core new energy technologies of solar, wind, batteries, heat pumps and green hydrogen fit S-shaped growth patterns. Too often the default position is linear change"
3 Lagging indicators: Focusing on installed bases that accumulated over time, eg that fossil fuels are 80% of global primary energy - which is like "focusing on the large number of horses in 1900", instead of solar and wind already at 80% of the capacity additions in electricity
The UN released a "global stocktake" taking a hard look at the state of our planet
In short, we are still sleepwalking to a world we will increasingly not recognize
It has 17 key findings which I've tried to translate into non-UN speak
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1 We must not fool ourselves: we are nowhere near on track to keep warming below 2C, let alone 3C, and we must rapidly accelerate renewable energy deployment, electrifying everything and reversing deforestation to make proper progress by 2030
2 Governments in particular must do much more, and corporations and financial institutions such as investors and banks are not doing much and must step up to deliver credible, accountable and transparent climate action
The G20 agreed to phase out fossil fuel subsidies in 2009, 14 years ago. They then said they're accelerating this at the Glasgow COP26 climate conference in 2021
Result: In an amazing act of self-harm, the IMF says we subsidized Big Oil with a record $7 TRILLION in 2022
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In more acts of stupid self-harm:
> Total fossil fuel subsidies amounted to a humongous 7.1% of global GDP.
> Explicit subsidies (undercharging for supply costs) were 18% of the total
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> Subsidies allowing Big Oil and their stooges to undercharge for environmental costs and forego consumption taxes account for 82% of the $7 trillion, because their wanton environmental destruction is largely free of charge
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