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https://x.com/Cancelcloco/status/1763299692388233307?s=20

https://x.com/artisbrutal2021/status/1764044838910013560?s=20

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@Aristos_Revenge

Aug 17

I think we're on a good trajectory in the long run, but economically, the short run just feels.. bad. It feels like the last 5 years had a lot of robbing Peter to pay Paul, and the bill is coming due. But I have a lot of hope for the future. Gonna talk about what I see and why.🧵

Aside from a few remaining bright spots with room for some growth at the technological edge, I know at least I've been feeling a massive contraction of capex in my business. No one is spending money unless they have to. Not on expansion, not on maintenance. Feels frozen, stopped.

I think we have a lot of the right plans in place or at least the right attitude to push forward out of this, but I think it's going to hurt, a lot. We've got new firms trying to reindustrialize America, particularly out in El Segundo and the Midwest.

Read 23 tweets

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@Aristos_Revenge

Aug 14

A follower of mine failed his polygraph for border patrol because when asked a question he "moved his foot" and that was taken as some kind of admission of guilt.

If we're going to hire 10k new bodies for ICE and have a 50 percent upgrade in BP manpower, Polygraphs should go.

Pro immigration activist communities rallied hard to block them from removing this measure which at CBP at least incurs a 50 percent casualty rate on applicants before they even make it to academy, usually over "inconclusive" results.southernborder.org/stop_congress_…

If you can get a Q Clearance with the Department of Energy without a poly, it doesn't make sense why it is a requirement for entry level federal law enforcement. The boomer magic box is basically using astrology to take understandably nervous people and DQ them. Silly shit.

Read 11 tweets

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@Aristos_Revenge

Aug 1

While a lot of these are no brainers, and stereotypes about the USAF are what they are for a reason, I still lurk a lot of those pages and I want to talk about what I see there, and I have a decent enough view of what is going on at both enlisted/officer levels:

I feel the enlisted side may be the worse off of the two. It's a constant conga line of the most simpering whiny *bitching* you can imagine. When COVID happened, people started taking advantage heavily and made that their "new normal". People faked COVID tests to get time off, people deferred PT tests for years on the basis of Services not having a good way to administer them with "social distancing" guidelines en masse, and the Biden admin shredded the basic foundations of good order and discipline.

If you go to the Air Force subreddit or the airman/nco page on Facebook, all you'll see is a stream of whining about the things they shouldn't have ever been given being taken away. On the other hand, anyone who is an Airman right now has never known any different. Military years are like dog years, any Airman that isn't the wettest behind the ears has spent almost their entire career under the Biden admin.

Ponytails for women, eyelash extensions, too much freedom in terms of stupid little designation patches for special functions, beards for men, black guys taking even worse advantage of the shaving waiver. These things, and the expectation that they will have to actually keep up with their PT, are all anyone is talking about over there. All they are doing is bitching.

The AF is so utterly disconnected from a martial way of life, sans a few particular career fields, that they need reminders. Regular squadron PT in lieu of "Individual PT" where people hide in their cars. Ruck marches. Drill and ceremony. Obstacle courses. Annual rifle quals. These things were all taken for granted and thrown out as "not relevant" to most jobs in the AF and "taking too much time away" from the mission.

But these are the only reminders other than wearing the uniform that Airmen and NCOs are even in a martial organization. It doesn't matter if they sit at a desk all day while they do their job, the AF needs to cut time from stupid annual computer based training on why they shouldn't r*pe anyone or k*ll themselves so they can have time to be put through these ritualistic tasks as a reminder. The ones who can't emotionally manage that without having breakdowns and crashouts over it on social media need to be shown the door.

There's also too many MWR sideshows going on. Many active duty airmen are more distracted by "volunteer" side projects than their actual jobs, and for some of these "extras" as the programs get cut, more bitching. Sorry, your language immersion field trip isn't worth the money, you aren't a linguist. Shut up. Your antiracist 5k you cleverly called "ruck racism" (this is a real thing btw) is stupid.

The officer side, I am disappointed to say, has a lot of problems but will be *easier* to fix. I served from the last year of Bush to the last year of Obama. As more and more women became commissioned officers due to more women going to college and DEI initiatives, the atmosphere became stifling. A lot of these women, frankly, are bitches playing office queen. They're the same brand of corporate sociopath you see at a fortune 500 company, where they'll climb over however many bodies they need to and do whatever management tells them they need to be doing to get the nod.

The good news is these women are easily steered. They'll do whatever "power" dictates, and I've noticed white women officers being strangely quiet in social media spaces as the black guy NCOs and black girl officers gnash their teeth as if they're the boss and not the commander in chief. I think they know which way the wind is blowing.

Most of these women burn themselves out into career staff officers anyway. They ruthlessly pursue goals from Lt to Major, and as soon as they get their first command they get absolutely bombed the fuck out in their climate surveys and consigned to some kind of staff job to ride out Lt Col and no real possibility of getting their bird.

But the reason this worries me, is that under normal circumstances (at least peak GWOT) the bottom of the pyramid was pretty solid. The Company and Field grade officers, as well as the enlisted, were pretty sharp people in 2008. Most of the head shaking was at the shitty absence of logic coming from the flag officers at the Pentagon and majcoms. This isn't the worst state of affairs, because the people on the ground will make do and figure it out, even if they have to omit how they figured it out in their reports.

But the strategic leadership of the Air Force actually seems to be getting it together under the current chief of staff. As far as trying not to always be fighting the last war, the Chief of Staff is trying to get out in front of what's probably in front of us. The Great Power Competition(GPC) alignment to INDOPACOM is actually a pretty good plan, and is getting executed on.

But I'm not sure the human capital is entirely "there" the way it used to be. There's too many redditors, furries, women, and black people complaining about eyelash extensions and beards. The damage done to the bottom 80 percent over the last 4 years is horrific (not to say the top 20 percent is ship shape either, it's not)

But that's a harder problem to solve, it takes longer to fix. When the people at the top are retarded, it's easy enough to fire them and start promoting young Colonels. But the "generation" of Airmen from the last 4 years are of miserable quality for the most part, and it's gonna take a long time to resolve these issues.

Time that we probably don't have.

https://x.com/Aristos_Revenge/status/1852820332807094554

https://x.com/Aristos_Revenge/status/1852820332807094554

One bright spot, ironically, seems to be the Air National Guard. As a generally older and more prior service filled component with a lot more continuity, the majority of the ANG is made up of troops from before COVID.

Read 12 tweets

🏛 Aristophanes 🏛

@Aristos_Revenge

Jul 15

This is absolutely insane, and I have yet to see an actual explanation with facts and figures.

All I know is that sometime around 2022, at least my local AO in Houston suddenly exploded with Indians, Muslims, and Asians just showing up out of the woodwork. I don't know why, how, for what jobs, or how many.

But the change was sudden and unsubtle here.

And that's what I really want to know, what are all these people here to do? I don't live in a city with a ton of tech companies, so I can't pin it all on them.

Is it just chain migration multiplying the effect somehow? I see tons that are middle aged or in low skill jobs.

Read 7 tweets

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@Aristos_Revenge

Jul 15

My father in law has worked construction his whole life, concrete and safety inspection mostly.

Became a heat casualty at work last year, fell out and had to get a pacemaker put in. They laid him off as soon as he got out of the hospital, and he spent a few months looking for another job.

He's a hairs breadth away from 67 and got a job paying far less than what he was used to because nobody wants to hire a guy his age for the less labor intensive jobs as an inspector he's been doing for years and years.

He has to wait till the end of this year when his wife, who aside from being a part time paraprofessional at a school, has been a homemaker all her life. If they apply for social security early, they're penalized. If he doesn't apply jointly with her, she loses 30 percent of her benefit, permanently.

Without social security/retirement, he'd probably die on the job sometime in his early 70's out in the summer heat one day at this rate.

They're simple but good people, who grew up extremely poor and worked their way up and raised 3 kids. He was never in a position to go get some desk job he could do until 80 or whatever, the man can barely use a computer. He's nowhere near the only person in his position.

It's really easy to make an argument like this when you're a college educated desk enjoyer for your entire life. But that isn't how everyone or even most people live.

He's waiting till 67 because that is the age you wait to claim social security till to get your max benefit. I did the math for them and if they both retire at the max age, they'll get about 5.5k as their fixed income to figure out for the rest of their lives.

But it's an idiotic take, yeah if you have some laptop class job you can and probably *will* work past your 60's because it's physically easy and people like money.

But social security can't distinguish between how much labor you've done in your life.

Read 4 tweets

🏛 Aristophanes 🏛

@Aristos_Revenge

Jul 2

The thing Elon doesn't understand is that the value of DOGE isn't saving money.

The value of DOGE is in bypassing normal bureaucratic back and forth to dismantle enemy institutions and human capital that act as sinecures for the left that finance their apparatus with tax $$$. 🧵

The "Fork in the Road" early retirement isn't a useful means of reducing manpower or saving money.

It was useful for ejecting federal employees who had so much TDS they couldn't stomach working for this administration or were lazy and ran away from being held to high standards.

@elonmusk is crashing out about the debt ceiling and spending, but this runaway ponzi scheme was basically written into the firmware of our economy when Bretton Woods happened.

And to redesign our economy and govt into something healthy, we need roadblocks gone.

Read 12 tweets

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