The final report of the Cass Review is out
England's National Health Service commissioned this independent review, by pediatrician Hilary Cass, of the nation's just-closed pediatric gender care clinic and the research backing pediatric gender-transition treatment.
Learn more🧵⬇️
The Cass Review characterizes the medicalized approach to pediatric gender-transition treatment—one that all major US medical societies support, and which is centered around the prescription of puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones—as unsupported by sound scientific evidence.🧵
“There remains diversity of opinion as to how best to treat these...young people. The evidence is weak and clinicians have told us they are unable to determine with any certainty which children and young people will go on to have an enduring trans identity.” –The Cass Review
While the Cass Review is measured in tone, it nevertheless offers a scathing critique England’s erstwhile pediatric gender clinic's efforts to care for the fast expanding population of adolescents, in particular biological girls, burdened by severe gender-related distress.
The Cass Review was published in concert with a raft of peer-reviewed analyses of the evidence base and global treatment guidelines regarding pediatric gender medicine. Cass commissioned those studies from researchers at York University. adc.bmj.com/pages/gender-i…
Like previous systematic literature reviews, the York University reviews found the evidence backing pediatric gender-transition treatment wanting and largely of low quality. adc.bmj.com/pages/gender-i…
The Cass Review reports that research does *not* support the claim that puberty blockers and hormones reduce the elevated suicide death rate among gender-distressed youths. Thus the claim that pediatric gender-transition treatment is “life saving" is not evidence based.
“There is no simple explanation for the increase in the numbers of predominantly young people" identifying as transgender, "but there is broad agreement that it is a result of a complex interplay between biological, psychological and social factors." --The Cass Review
The Cass review acknowledges the NHS's recent decision to permit hormones for gender distressed youths starting at age 16. But Cass advises "extreme caution" and a "clear clinical rationale" for starting before age 18.
Cass advises that families considering social transitioning gender-incongruent children—changing a child’s name, pronouns, clothing, etc.—should take into account that this “may change the trajectory of gender identity development.”
The systematic literature review on puberty blockers found: “No conclusions can be drawn about the impact on gender dysphoria, mental and psychosocial health or cognitive development. Bone health and height may be compromised during treatment.” adc.bmj.com/pages/gender-i…
The systematic literature review on hormones for adolescents found: “Moderate-quality evidence suggests mental health may be improved during treatment, but robust study is still required. For other outcomes, no conclusions can be drawn.” adc.bmj.com/pages/gender-i…
The Cass report undermines the primary explicit purpose for puberty blockers, the argument waged by WPATH, American medical associations and others: that they afford children and their families more time to determine whether taking cross-sex hormones is the best option for them.
The Cass report is not simply grounded in systematic literature reviews. It is also based on the team’s years of routine interviews, meetings and focus groups with service providers, families and young people with gender distress, including people who have detransitioned.
“There are few other areas of healthcare where professionals are so afraid to openly discuss their views, where people are vilified on social media, and where name-calling echoes the worst bullying behaviour. This must stop.”
–Dr. Hilary Cass, the Cass Review
“Some practitioners abandoned normal clinical approaches to holistic assessment, which has meant that this group of young people have been exceptionalised compared to other young people with similarly complex presentations."
–Dr. Hilary Cass, the Cass Review
The Cass Review expressed dismay that England's pediatric gender clinic, GIDS, refused to share its data on the approximately 9,000 children that the clinic has seen since it began prescribing puberty blockers in 2011. This has thwarted Cass's efforts to improve services.
“Young people’s sense of identity is not always fixed and may evolve over time,” the Cass Review states. Whilst some young people may feel an urgency to transition, young adults looking back at their younger selves would often advise slowing down.”
The Cass Review, it states “is cognisant of the broader cultural and societal debates relating to the rights of transgender people. It is not the role of the Review to take any position on the beliefs that underpin these debates.”
Most pediatric gender transition treatment guidelines, the Cass Review states, acknowledge the “insufficient evidence about the risks and benefits” of such treatment. Nevertheless, “many then went on to cite this same evidence to recommend medical treatments.”
Cass faulted WPATH and the Endocrine Society for “circularity” in their citations to one another. WPATH “cited many of the other national & regional guidelines to support some of its recommendations." But these guidelines were “considerably influenced” by WPATH’s own guidelines.
While acknowledging that the evidence base behind psychological interventions for youth gender distress are weak, the Cass Review defends against accusations that anything less than a fully “affirmative” approach is tantamount to conversion therapy.
The recommendation from the Cass Review that “long-standing gender incongruence should be an essential prerequisite for medical treatment” suggests that the NHS puberty blocker clinical trial will exclude those with adolescent onset gender dysphoria.
The Cass Review speaks scornfully about the NHS’s recent decision to permit 16 and 17 year olds to access cross-sex hormones.
The new NHS youth gender clinics, the Cass Review states, "should include psychiatrists, paediatricians, psychologists, psychotherapists, clinical nurse specialists, social workers, specialists in autism..., speech and language therapists, occupational health specialists."
“This Review is not about defining what it means to be trans, nor is it about undermining the validity of trans identities, challenging the right of people to express themselves, or rolling back on people’s rights to healthcare,” writes Dr. Hilary Cass.
“We have to start from the understanding that this group of children and young people are just that; children and young people first and foremost, not individuals solely defined by their gender incongruence or gender-related distress.” –Dr. Hilary Cass
“We have to start from the understanding that this group of children and young people are just that; children and young people first and foremost, not individuals solely defined by their gender incongruence or gender-related distress.”
–Dr. Hilary Cass, the Cass Review
The Cass Review, it states “is cognisant of the broader cultural and societal debates relating to the rights of transgender people. It is not the role of the Review to take any position on the beliefs that underpin these debates.”
The Cass Review does not come down on any one side of the debate over whether trans identity is inborn, subject to a social-contagion effect, or is the result of any other particular factors. Instead, it suggests an "all of the above" and "it depends" framework.
On the very controversial subject of at what rate pre-pubescent children with early gender incongruence or distress will see this resolve and identify as their birth sex by adolescence, known as desisting, the Cass Review says that the desistance rate is apparently high.
The Cass Review expressed concerns that many of the same factors that have made caring for gender distressed children and adolescents so fraught and complex will likely remain true for young adults. So it recommends the NHS look at the service for that demographic as well.
The Cass Review insists that the needs of detransitioners--those who have medically transitioned to the opposite sex and who have reverted to identifying and presenting as their biological sex--must not be overlooked.
The Cass Review expressed concerns about young people turning to unregulated clinics to obtain puberty blockers now that the NHS has ceased prescribing them.
The Cass Review recommended clamping down on pharmacists' doling out puberty blockers now that the NHS has ceased newly prescribing them. (Minors currently on the drugs will be allowed to stay on them.)
This chart of the children and adolescents referred to the NHS's now-shuttered pediatric gender clinic, GIDS, demonstrates a common worldwide phenomenon: a surge of gender dysphoria and trans identification in about 2014, especially among biological girls.
This extended chart shows the continued surge in referrals to the NHS's pediatric gender clinic, GIDS, through 2021 to 2022, largely among older biological girls. (In the most recent years, they stopped reporting biological sex.)
The Cass Review had the following to say about the study published in February about the risk of suicide death among youths referred to gender clinics in Finland (which I covered for @NYPost-- ): nypost.com/2024/02/24/opi…
The Cass Review said that the dramatic change in the patient profile in those presenting with pediatric gender distress in England needs to be reflected by the services NHS offers.
The striking increase" in youth gender distress "needs to be considered within the context of poor mental health and emotional distress amongst the broader adolescent population, particularly given their high rates of co-existing mental health problems and neurodiversity."
The Cass Review suggests a connection between the youth mental health crisis overall and the influx of young people developing gender-related distress.
Nodding to the recent book by @JonHaidt, The Anxious Generation, the Cass Review points to a sudden rise in self harm in 13 to 16 year old girls in the early 2010s. This preceded the spike among biological girls identifying as trans.
The Cass Review ticks off various psychosocial factors that may drive trans identification in youth.
It is common to hear the argument that wide social acceptance is the sole reason for the recent rise in trans identification in youths. Activists often point to the supposed rise in left handedness after that stopped being scorned as a parallel. The Cass Review isn't convinced.
The new systematic literature review of the more than 20 pediatric gender care guidelines led the Cass Review to conclude that it could only recommend the Finnish and Swedish guidelines. WPATH and American Academy of Pediatrics got notably low scores.
The Cass Report says "it is important to view" social transitioning--changing name, pronouns, dress, hair, etc.--"as an active intervention because it may have significant effects on the child or young person in terms of their psychological functioning or longer-term outcomes."
The Cass Review reports that when gender-distressed children socially transition and keep their biological sex secret at school, this may drive them to want to go on puberty blockers to avoid "being found out".
Of the 11 available studies on social transition, nine were low quality, including @Jack_Turban 2022 and Olson 2016 and 2022; and two were moderate quality, including Steensma 2013 and Sievert 2021.
WPATH recently shifted from a cautious to an enthusiastic support for socially transitioning children. "However," the Cass Review states, "none of the WPATH 8 statements in favor of social transition in childhood are supported by the findings of the" systematic literature review.
The Cass Review differed sharply with WPATH, advising a "cautious approach" to socially transitioning children with gender incongruence or distress.
Cass Review finishes: "While open and constructive debate is needed, I would urge everybody to remember the children & young people trying to live their lives and the families/carers and clinicians doing their best to support them. All should be treated with compassion & respect.
Here is a working link for the multiple systematic literature reviews on which the English Cass Review of pediatric gender medicine was based. adc.bmj.com/content/early/…
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The Federal Trade Commission has opened a consumer protection probe into the American Academy of Pediatrics and has demanded its records regarding pediatric gender medicine.
In 2018, the AAP published its foundational policy document on the gender-affirming care method. It was written by a single medical resident, Dr. Jason Rafferty, and edited by a small committee. It was subjected to a brutal fact check by Canadian sex researcher Dr. James Cantor the following year. The AAP never responded to the fact check. In 2023, the AAP reaffirmed the policy statement with no changes.
The statement asserts that even very young children know their gender identity as well as anyone and should be trusted to guide the way in their own pathway of transition.
How Can Doctors Like This Provide Competent Care To Their Patients?
Some beef with Dr. Jonathan Howard, by @JesseSingal. jessesingal.substack.com/p/how-can-doct…
Dr. Jonathan Howard, a neurologist and psychiatrist at @NYULangone Health, is furious at Michael Shermer, the founding publisher of Skepticmagazine.
Howard is an impressive figure. Like many doctors at university-affiliated medical centers, he also serves as a professor, in this case at the @NYUGrossman School of Medicine. He has, according to his biography, “authored and edited multiple textbooks” on multiple sclerosis, his area of specialty.
Why is Dr. Jonathan Howard furious at @MichaelShermer? It has to do with a recent exchange between Senator Josh Hawley and an OB-GYN named Dr. Nisha Verma. Hawley, seeking to make a point about “gender ideology” (as he might call it) during a hearing, repeatedly asked Verma if men can get pregnant and Verma could not give a straight answer. Shermer chimed in to suggest an answer Verma could have given that accounts for the fact that, as Shermer (and anyone else using the traditional, biological definition of the term) sees it, men cannot, in fact, get pregnant.
That’s why Howard is furious, and that’s why he wrote a deeply aggrieved article in Science-Based Medicine about Shermer’s bigotry. The headline? “The Anti-Trans Obsessions of ‘Skeptic’ Michael Shermer: Hallucinating Imaginary Demons to Empower Actual Villains, Once Again.” The subheadline? “I want to demonstrate to Michael Shermer that it’s possible for men like us to not talk about trans people constantly. If I can do it, so can he.” (If you’re unfamiliar with Science-Based Medicine’s strange recent trajectory, see here or here.)
Not only does Dr. Jonathan Howard of NYU Langone Medical Center disagree with Michael Shermer that men can’t get pregnant — Howard thinks that to even ask this question puts other humans in danger.
That probably sounds like a caricature on my part, or a sloppy and inaccurate gloss of Howard’s actual views. But that’s exactly what he wrote
Jonathan Howard has gotten it into his head, meanwhile, that I am personally responsible for the MAHA movement because once I published an essay on Vinay Prasad’s Substack about trans medicine researchers deceiving the public. This is bonkers conspiracy thinking by Howard.
After @jessesingal explained in exacting detail why the study Jonathan Howard cited as evidence of pediatric gender-transition treatment’s efficacy was bunk, Howard respond with this mischaracterization of what Singal said about Howard’s inability to understand the paper.
Dr. Blair Peters,a gender-transition surgeon at OHSU, responds with disdain to the American Society of Plastic Surgeons coming out against such surgeries for minors. He says the broader membership was never polled about this.
Which is the same thing that has happened at the American Academy of Pediatrics, for example, but going in the other direction. No matter how hard @JuliaMasonMD1 has pushed, the AAP’s 2018 policy statement on the gender-affirming care method has never been up for a vote by the broader membership.
All of the major medical organizations that have led the way in establishing pediatric gender medicine’s broader credibility, including the AAP and the Endocrine Society in particular, have supported these practices in minors based on the decisions of small committees.
The AAP’s 2018 policy statement was written by a single person, Dr. Jason Rafferty, who was a resident at the time.
All of the other medical societies’ little committees have followed these other groups’ lead, along with WPATH. This has given the illusion that all medial providers support these practices in minors.
But I’ve spoken to pediatricians who are too afraid to express their concerns at the AAP’s annual conference for fear this will destroy their careers.
More from Blair Peters:
In 2024, Dr. Blair Peters, aka “Queer Surgeon,” spoke with the head of the ASPS and they had this remarkable exchange about whether doctors can be trusted to self police.
People are shocked that all it took for the AMA to change its policy on pediatric gender transition surgeries was for another medical group, the ASPS, to do it. But this phenomenon is how the unanimity among the medical groups fell into place in the first place. It was only ever based on a few small committees within a couple of medical organizations, putting aside WPATH, which is a quasi-activist-medical organization.
It got started in the 2010s as WPATH and the Endocrine Society, which have a lot of overlap between them and referred to one another's guidelines in their citations, put out guidelines. And then in 2018 a single medical resident wrote the American Academy of Pediatrics' policy statement on the gender-affirming care method. Along the way, other major medical associations took these other groups' lead, including the APA and AMA. And then all the other ones fell in line.
These groups did not conduct major independent analyses of the evidence. Even the AAP never conducted a systematic literature review to support its policy statement. And in August 2023, the AAP said it was going to conduct one. But there is no sign that the organization has even started on that. Because if they ever did, there is only one conclusion that it could have: that the evidence backing providing gender-transition interventions to minors is weak and inconclusive.
All this is to say is that the mantra "all major medical association support gender affirming care for kids" was always a hallow claim. What it really meant is that: "A few small committees at a few organizations decided to support this, in part because of one another, and all the other small committees at all the other organizations followed their lead."
If you want to go down the rabbit hole of how citation laundering laid the groundwork for the supposed medical consensus on gender-transition treatment for minors, I highly recommend @buttonslives's reporting: buttonslives.news/p/new-systemat…
At 16, Fox Varian got a mastectomy while undergoing a gender transition. She sued her psychologist and plastic surgeon for leaving her ‘disfigured for life.’ Benjamin Ryan reports from the courtroom.
Follow and support my Substack, where I cover pediatric gender medicine: benryan.substack.com. I was the only reporter to attend the entire three-week trial and will be providing more in-depth reporting and commentary on the case.
The opening of my Free Press article:
Fox Varian had a turbulent childhood. Her parents split when she was seven, triggering a three-year custody battle that ultimately saw her estranged from her father. She suffered from a constellation of mental health problems, including depression, anxiety, and social phobia. She was diagnosed with autism and bounced around various schools. Her first period sent her into a meltdown, and she battled disordered eating and body-image issues. By mid-adolescence, she was completely lost.
At 15, she began questioning her gender during sessions with her psychologist. She changed her birth name, Isabella, to Gabriel, which she saw as androgynous. Over the next two months, she cut her hair short, began binding her breasts, switched her name again, to Rowan, and started telling people she was transgender.
In December 2019, 11 months after she started this public social transition, Varian underwent surgery to remove her breasts. She was 16 years old.
Varian, who adopted the name Fox at 18 and is now 22, is one of thousands of minors who underwent gender-transition surgery over the past decade. And she is just one of the young people who have come to regret permanently addressing what was only a temporary identity shift.
Three years after her mastectomy, Varian stopped identifying as transgender and began a process known as detransitioning. In May 2023, she filed a medical malpractice lawsuit against the two principal Westchester County, New York, care providers who oversaw her gender transition: her long-time psychologist, Kenneth Einhorn, and Dr. Simon Chin, who performed the mastectomy.
On Friday, a jury in White Plains, New York, awarded Varian $2 million in damages. Varian’s case is the first malpractice suit from a detransitioner to go before a jury, and I was the only reporter to attend the entire three-week trial. Represented by personal-injury attorney Adam Deutsch, Varian said she had been injured by the defendants due to their deviation from standard practices and a lack of informed consent. While there are no guarantees in medical malpractice lawsuits, legal experts believe Varian’s victory could inspire a wave of similar cases that would significantly disrupt pediatric gender medicine.
Claire Deacon, mother to Fox Varian, the detransitioner who won a $2M jury award after suing her care providers over the mastectomy she got at 16, testified that Varian's psychologist, Kenneth Einhorn, browbeat her into consenting with threats of her child's suicide.
Subscribe to my Substack for further in-depth reporting about the case. I was the only reporter to attend the entire three-week trial. benryan.substack.com
Dr. Loren Schechter, the head of gender-affirming surgery at Rush University Medical Center in Chicago and the president-elect of the World Professional Association for Transgender Health (WPATH), testified that gender-transition surgery is not form of suicide prevention. thefp.com/p/a-legal-firs…
NYU neurologist/psychiatrist Jonathan Howard has been making a stink over @MichaelShermer's recent statements about transgender issues on @BrianLehrer's show.
Here, Howard cites a @Harvard study that falsely claimed youth "rarely" get gender-transition surgeries. In fact, about 1,000 minors got a mastectomy for this purpose annually in recent years, before state bans set in.
I wrote about that Harvard study when it came out. I demonstrated how its authors had quite evidently sought to mislead the public about this issue: benryan.substack.com/p/how-harvard-…
So, in fact, it is not Shermer who is "making things up" about this point in particular, it was Harvard researchers that at least effectively did so.
As for expressing concerns about minors getting these surgeries, I would like Howard to look into the eyes of the mother who testified in the detransitioner civil trial that I just finished attending yesterday (the plaintiff won a $2M judgment against her care providers; my article on the suit will run in a major outlet next week) and tell her that the loss of her daughter's breasts when she was 16 amounts to a false concern.
How Harvard Teed Up the False Claim That the 'Vast Majority of Minors Getting Gender-Affirming Surgeries Are C-s Kids'
An opaquely written Harvard study and linked press release prompted false reporting that gynecomastia surgeries for boys are vastly more common than gender-affirming surgeries for transbenryan.substack.com/p/how-harvard-…
The other day, Howard wrote some screed where he referred to me as a "malignant actor" nefariously pursuing this line of inquiry for money. (Someone suggested that as a cancer survivor, maybe I am intrinsically malignant...) To that I say that Howard might get his facts straight about any of this stuff before he passes judgement on my reporting.