Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
Apr 9, 2024 56 tweets 19 min read Read on X
The final report of the Cass Review is out
England's National Health Service commissioned this independent review, by pediatrician Hilary Cass, of the nation's just-closed pediatric gender care clinic and the research backing pediatric gender-transition treatment.
Learn more🧵⬇️Image
The Cass Review characterizes the medicalized approach to pediatric gender-transition treatment—one that all major US medical societies support, and which is centered around the prescription of puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones—as unsupported by sound scientific evidence.🧵
“There remains diversity of opinion as to how best to treat these...young people. The evidence is weak and clinicians have told us they are unable to determine with any certainty which children and young people will go on to have an enduring trans identity.” –The Cass Review Image
While the Cass Review is measured in tone, it nevertheless offers a scathing critique England’s erstwhile pediatric gender clinic's efforts to care for the fast expanding population of adolescents, in particular biological girls, burdened by severe gender-related distress.
Access the Cass Review here: cass.independent-review.uk
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The Cass Review was published in concert with a raft of peer-reviewed analyses of the evidence base and global treatment guidelines regarding pediatric gender medicine. Cass commissioned those studies from researchers at York University.
adc.bmj.com/pages/gender-i…
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Like previous systematic literature reviews, the York University reviews found the evidence backing pediatric gender-transition treatment wanting and largely of low quality. adc.bmj.com/pages/gender-i…
The Cass Review reports that research does *not* support the claim that puberty blockers and hormones reduce the elevated suicide death rate among gender-distressed youths. Thus the claim that pediatric gender-transition treatment is “life saving" is not evidence based. Image
“There is no simple explanation for the increase in the numbers of predominantly young people" identifying as transgender, "but there is broad agreement that it is a result of a complex interplay between biological, psychological and social factors." --The Cass Review Image
The Cass review acknowledges the NHS's recent decision to permit hormones for gender distressed youths starting at age 16. But Cass advises "extreme caution" and a "clear clinical rationale" for starting before age 18. Image
Cass advises that families considering social transitioning gender-incongruent children—changing a child’s name, pronouns, clothing, etc.—should take into account that this “may change the trajectory of gender identity development.” Image
The systematic literature review on puberty blockers found: “No conclusions can be drawn about the impact on gender dysphoria, mental and psychosocial health or cognitive development. Bone health and height may be compromised during treatment.” adc.bmj.com/pages/gender-i…
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The systematic literature review on hormones for adolescents found: “Moderate-quality evidence suggests mental health may be improved during treatment, but robust study is still required. For other outcomes, no conclusions can be drawn.” adc.bmj.com/pages/gender-i…
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The Cass report undermines the primary explicit purpose for puberty blockers, the argument waged by WPATH, American medical associations and others: that they afford children and their families more time to determine whether taking cross-sex hormones is the best option for them. Image
The Cass report is not simply grounded in systematic literature reviews. It is also based on the team’s years of routine interviews, meetings and focus groups with service providers, families and young people with gender distress, including people who have detransitioned. Image
“There are few other areas of healthcare where professionals are so afraid to openly discuss their views, where people are vilified on social media, and where name-calling echoes the worst bullying behaviour. This must stop.”
–Dr. Hilary Cass, the Cass Review Image
“Some practitioners abandoned normal clinical approaches to holistic assessment, which has meant that this group of young people have been exceptionalised compared to other young people with similarly complex presentations."
–Dr. Hilary Cass, the Cass Review Image
The Cass Review expressed dismay that England's pediatric gender clinic, GIDS, refused to share its data on the approximately 9,000 children that the clinic has seen since it began prescribing puberty blockers in 2011. This has thwarted Cass's efforts to improve services. Image
“Young people’s sense of identity is not always fixed and may evolve over time,” the Cass Review states. Whilst some young people may feel an urgency to transition, young adults looking back at their younger selves would often advise slowing down.” Image
The Cass Review, it states “is cognisant of the broader cultural and societal debates relating to the rights of transgender people. It is not the role of the Review to take any position on the beliefs that underpin these debates.” Image
To download a copy of the Cass Review's final report, try this link: wetransfer.com/downloads/f1ff…
Most pediatric gender transition treatment guidelines, the Cass Review states, acknowledge the “insufficient evidence about the risks and benefits” of such treatment. Nevertheless, “many then went on to cite this same evidence to recommend medical treatments.” Image
Cass faulted WPATH and the Endocrine Society for “circularity” in their citations to one another. WPATH “cited many of the other national & regional guidelines to support some of its recommendations." But these guidelines were “considerably influenced” by WPATH’s own guidelines. Image
While acknowledging that the evidence base behind psychological interventions for youth gender distress are weak, the Cass Review defends against accusations that anything less than a fully “affirmative” approach is tantamount to conversion therapy. Image
The recommendation from the Cass Review that “long-standing gender incongruence should be an essential prerequisite for medical treatment” suggests that the NHS puberty blocker clinical trial will exclude those with adolescent onset gender dysphoria. Image
The Cass Review speaks scornfully about the NHS’s recent decision to permit 16 and 17 year olds to access cross-sex hormones. Image
The new NHS youth gender clinics, the Cass Review states, "should include psychiatrists, paediatricians, psychologists, psychotherapists, clinical nurse specialists, social workers, specialists in autism..., speech and language therapists, occupational health specialists." Image
“This Review is not about defining what it means to be trans, nor is it about undermining the validity of trans identities, challenging the right of people to express themselves, or rolling back on people’s rights to healthcare,” writes Dr. Hilary Cass. Image
“We have to start from the understanding that this group of children and young people are just that; children and young people first and foremost, not individuals solely defined by their gender incongruence or gender-related distress.” –Dr. Hilary Cass Image
“We have to start from the understanding that this group of children and young people are just that; children and young people first and foremost, not individuals solely defined by their gender incongruence or gender-related distress.”
–Dr. Hilary Cass, the Cass Review Image
The Cass Review, it states “is cognisant of the broader cultural and societal debates relating to the rights of transgender people. It is not the role of the Review to take any position on the beliefs that underpin these debates.” Image
The Cass Review does not come down on any one side of the debate over whether trans identity is inborn, subject to a social-contagion effect, or is the result of any other particular factors. Instead, it suggests an "all of the above" and "it depends" framework. Image
On the very controversial subject of at what rate pre-pubescent children with early gender incongruence or distress will see this resolve and identify as their birth sex by adolescence, known as desisting, the Cass Review says that the desistance rate is apparently high. Image
The Cass Review expressed concerns that many of the same factors that have made caring for gender distressed children and adolescents so fraught and complex will likely remain true for young adults. So it recommends the NHS look at the service for that demographic as well. Image
The Cass Review insists that the needs of detransitioners--those who have medically transitioned to the opposite sex and who have reverted to identifying and presenting as their biological sex--must not be overlooked. Image
The Cass Review expressed concerns about young people turning to unregulated clinics to obtain puberty blockers now that the NHS has ceased prescribing them. Image
The Cass Review recommended clamping down on pharmacists' doling out puberty blockers now that the NHS has ceased newly prescribing them. (Minors currently on the drugs will be allowed to stay on them.) Image
This chart of the children and adolescents referred to the NHS's now-shuttered pediatric gender clinic, GIDS, demonstrates a common worldwide phenomenon: a surge of gender dysphoria and trans identification in about 2014, especially among biological girls. Image
This extended chart shows the continued surge in referrals to the NHS's pediatric gender clinic, GIDS, through 2021 to 2022, largely among older biological girls. (In the most recent years, they stopped reporting biological sex.) Image
The Cass Review had the following to say about the study published in February about the risk of suicide death among youths referred to gender clinics in Finland (which I covered for @NYPost-- ): nypost.com/2024/02/24/opi…
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The Cass Review said that the dramatic change in the patient profile in those presenting with pediatric gender distress in England needs to be reflected by the services NHS offers. Image
The striking increase" in youth gender distress "needs to be considered within the context of poor mental health and emotional distress amongst the broader adolescent population, particularly given their high rates of co-existing mental health problems and neurodiversity." Image
The Cass Review suggests a connection between the youth mental health crisis overall and the influx of young people developing gender-related distress. Image
Nodding to the recent book by @JonHaidt, The Anxious Generation, the Cass Review points to a sudden rise in self harm in 13 to 16 year old girls in the early 2010s. This preceded the spike among biological girls identifying as trans. Image
The Cass Review ticks off various psychosocial factors that may drive trans identification in youth. Image
It is common to hear the argument that wide social acceptance is the sole reason for the recent rise in trans identification in youths. Activists often point to the supposed rise in left handedness after that stopped being scorned as a parallel. The Cass Review isn't convinced. Image
The new systematic literature review of the more than 20 pediatric gender care guidelines led the Cass Review to conclude that it could only recommend the Finnish and Swedish guidelines. WPATH and American Academy of Pediatrics got notably low scores. Image
The Cass Report says "it is important to view" social transitioning--changing name, pronouns, dress, hair, etc.--"as an active intervention because it may have significant effects on the child or young person in terms of their psychological functioning or longer-term outcomes." Image
The Cass Review reports that when gender-distressed children socially transition and keep their biological sex secret at school, this may drive them to want to go on puberty blockers to avoid "being found out". Image
Of the 11 available studies on social transition, nine were low quality, including @Jack_Turban 2022 and Olson 2016 and 2022; and two were moderate quality, including Steensma 2013 and Sievert 2021. Image
WPATH recently shifted from a cautious to an enthusiastic support for socially transitioning children. "However," the Cass Review states, "none of the WPATH 8 statements in favor of social transition in childhood are supported by the findings of the" systematic literature review. Image
The Cass Review differed sharply with WPATH, advising a "cautious approach" to socially transitioning children with gender incongruence or distress. Image
Cass Review finishes: "While open and constructive debate is needed, I would urge everybody to remember the children & young people trying to live their lives and the families/carers and clinicians doing their best to support them. All should be treated with compassion & respect. Image
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The full Cass Review report is here: cass.independent-review.uk/wp-content/upl…
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Here is a working link for the multiple systematic literature reviews on which the English Cass Review of pediatric gender medicine was based. adc.bmj.com/content/early/…
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More from @benryanwriter

Dec 7
Children taking DIY cross-sex hormones before going to gender clinics

Hundreds of young trans people are buying puberty blockers, oestrogen and testosterone without prescription from websites and even recreational drug dealers.



archive.ph/2025.12.07-002…Image
Hannah Barnes also reported on this yesterday. If kids are getting hormones from abroad, this could jeopardize the effort to study puberty blockers in the UK.
I reported on the UK puberty blocker trial:

open.substack.com/pub/benryan/p/…Image
Read 4 tweets
Dec 4
‘We’re All Just Winging It’: What the Gender Doctors Say in Private

In footage obtained exclusively by @TheFP, gender doctors acknowledge they perform life-altering procedures on vulnerable youth with no supportive evidence—and they are proud of it, By @LeorSapir.
thefp.com/p/were-all-jus…Image
At their conferences, closed to outsiders and the press, the gender clinicians allowed themselves to speak freely. They spoke about the boys who said they wanted to be girls and the girls who felt they were meant to be boys, and the medical and surgical interventions that would make them appear as the opposite sex. The clinicians also discussed new procedures for a new type of patient—some of them adolescents—who wanted to be made to look as if they had no sex at all.

In one of the videos, obtained exclusively by The Free Press, from the 2021 conference of the U.S. Professional Association for Transgender Health, Amy Penkin, a social worker with the Transgender Health Program at the Oregon Health & Science University (OHSU) spoke about one such case. Penkin told the audience about Sky, who she described as an 18-year-old recent high school graduate who was living on his own for the first time.

Penkin explained that Sky expressed a desire to look like “a Barbie down there.” Sky, Penkin said, reported “being asexual, never having had sex, and having no desire to have sex in the future.” Indeed, Sky did “not want to feel any pleasurable sensation and hope[d] removal of all erogenous tissue [would] be possible,” according to Penkin. thefp.com/p/were-all-jus…Image
Not so long ago, a patient like Sky would have been given a psychological evaluation and offered mental health counseling. But in the evolving world of gender medicine, clinicians now want to help young people like Sky achieve their gender goals.

Penkin explained to fellow professionals that requests for procedures that are “nonbinary” are “growing in number.” But the field is still wedded to binary assumptions. This means that procedures such as “nullification” (surgically leaving patients with no external genitals) or “penile preserving vaginoplasty” (surgically crafting a pseudo-vagina underneath the penis) are not as accessible as they should be.

Penkin said that when confronted with a patient like Sky, existing “research” and “standards of care” are “not enough to meet the needs of our patients, and we need to take it to the next level to really think about how we evolve and match the needs of our patients as their needs are being expressed to us.”

thefp.com/p/were-all-jus…Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 1
BREAKING: Ryan Lizza has just dropped Part 4 of his saga on Olivia Nuzzi and RFK Jr.

🧵👇👇Part 4: Means of Control

The Mar-a-Lago tape, the Bobby phone call, Olivia's side of the story, and the neighbor who cracked the case.

"Bobby [Robert F. Kennedy Jr.] and Olivia planned to consummate their relationship on August 23, 2024, in Phoenix, Arizona, after he endorsed Trump at a rally in nearby Glendale. The timing was perfect. Bobby would no longer be a presidential candidate himself, so the media glare would dim, and, more importantly, Olivia later told me, he would no longer have the Secret Service protection that complicated an encounter. (And presumably Cheryl wouldn’t be around, either.) Olivia had a present for Bobby she was going to bring: a 1943 edition of Brenda Starr, Girl Reporter, a book based on the old comic strip about Starr’s wild adventures while on assignment for a newspaper.

"There were two problems. Inconveniently for them, I was also planning to be in Arizona to cover the Trump-Kennedy event. And then, a few days before the rally and the planned hotel room encounter, after Bobby and Olivia had been talking, texting, and FaceTiming for almost a year, I finally learned about their affair. Olivia reluctantly canceled her rendezvous with Bobby, who was about to become one of the most powerful figures in the Trump universe, a fortuitous development because Olivia was wrapping up her latest New York magazine assignment, a profile of Trump."
telos.news/p/part-4-means…Image
Ryan Lizza on what Isabelle "Izzy" Brourman allegedly found by surreptitiously taping, for Olivia Nuzzi, Trump talking about the assassination attempt at Bethlehem, PA:

"According to Olivia, Izzy thought Trump said something that cast doubt on the official story behind Trump’s bloody ear, which was injured on July 13 in Butler, Pennsylvania, when Thomas Crooks tried to kill Trump.

"I assumed the context of what Izzy thought she overheard was about whether it was one of the eight rounds fired by Crooks that nicked Trump’s ear or something else—ricocheting glass or a bullet fragment—but that’s just speculation.

"What I know from Olivia is that the quality of the audio recording was poor, that she couldn’t corroborate Izzy’s recollection, that she discussed the recording with Bobby, and that after a phone call with Bobby while he was on vacation with his wife in Baja, Olivia erased the recording."
telos.news/p/part-4-means…Image
Ryan Lizza reports that the tape that Olivia Nuzzi asked Isabelle "Izzy" Brourman make of Trump talking might have raised questions about whether a bullet or something else nicked Trump's ear at the assassination attempt at Butler, PA. Lizza writes:

"Obviously, this episode raises a lot of questions:

"*When did Bobby [Robert F. Kennedy Jr aka RFK Jr.] learn about the operation to record Trump, and was it before or after it happened?
*Did Bobby ever disclose what he knew to the Trump campaign or anyone else?
*Did Olivia pass on any intel to Bobby from the recording, which would have included hours of Trump’s private campaign meetings at Mar-a-Lago, that aided him in his endorsement negotiations with Trump?
*What information from the recording, if any, did Olivia use in her profile of Trump, which was published on September 9, 2024?
*What did Trump really say about Butler, if anything?
*Does anyone still have a copy of the recording?

"The answers to these questions, and any additional information about what really happened, will have to come from Olivia, Izzy, and Bobby."
telos.news/p/part-4-means…Image
Read 16 tweets
Nov 26
BREAKING: The 3rd part of Ryan Lizza's Olivia Nuzzi saga is live

Part 3: Catch and Kill
telos.news/p/part-3-catch…
"One night in early August 2024, before I knew anything, Olivia Nuzzi became obsessed with obtaining an advance copy of an article that The New Yorker was set to publish the following day. Olivia was desperate to get a preview of a profile of Bobby Kennedy Jr. by Clare Malone, a political reporter whom Olivia viewed as a competitor.

"The piece included a killer anecdote, one of the most memorable of the presidential campaign, and which would come to define Bobby’s image for much of the public: A decade earlier, he had left the carcass of a black-bear cub in Central Park as some kind of twisted prank.

"This was precisely the sort of story that Olivia relished, a Twin Peaks-like tale that illuminated the darker parts of a candidate’s mind. Olivia had written one of the earliest profiles of Bobby, so I figured her fixation on getting The New Yorker piece was also about professional jealousy. Bobby was her subject. Now she had missed a major scoop about the candidate whom, behind the scenes and without much explanation, she insisted would be the next president.

"What I didn’t know at the time was that she was secretly working to help make Bobby the next president."Image
Ryan Lizza catalogues Olivia Nuzzi's catch-and-kill effort for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.):

"And [@OliviaNuzzi] didn’t want to get her hands on that @NewYorker profile because she envied Clare Malone’s bear scoop. In fact, I later learned, she already had it. Olivia had heard the strange story from a confidential source. But instead of writing it herself and owning what would become one of the most infamous stories of 2024, or handing it off to a colleague at @NYMag, Olivia outed the source to Bobby [Kennedy] and told him everything she had learned. Together they plotted ways to kill it, or, at the very least, get ahead of it. (Bobby eventually pre-empted Clare’s piece with a video about the bear story after a New Yorker fact-checker called him.)

"As she later revealed to me during hours of conversations, Olivia did this regularly throughout 2024: canvassing sources who trusted her, obtaining their opposition research on Bobby, and then feeding it directly to the candidate."
telos.news/p/part-3-catch…Image
Ryan Lizza on Olivia Nuzzi's behind the scenes advocacy on behalf of RFK Jr:

"As she later revealed to me during hours of conversations, Olivia did this regularly throughout 2024: canvassing sources who trusted her, obtaining their opposition research on Bobby, and then feeding it directly to the candidate.

"Olivia also obtained information to help Bobby acquire Secret Service protection, advised him on debate prep, including what suit to wear for a key appearance, and provided him with detailed media strategy advice, among other things.

"During much of this period, Olivia was reporting and writing a major article about Joe Biden, considered the single most devastating piece about the president in all of 2024."
telos.news/p/part-3-catch…Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 24
VACCINE NEWS: A pair of Cochrane Review papers provide the strongest evidence to date that the HPV vaccine is very safe and highly effective.

Girls who are vaccinated before age 16 have an 80 percent lower risk of cervical cancer.

HHS secretary RFK Jr has disparaged the HPV vax, calling it dangerous. This rigorous analysis of numerous studies finds considerable evidence to the contrary. The vaccine was not associated with serious adverse effects and instead was only associated with mild effects, like a sore arm after the injection.

The papers:

Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination for the prevention of cervical cancer and other HPV-related diseases: a network meta-analysis 
cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.10…

Effects of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programmes on community rates of HPV-related disease and harms from vaccination cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.10…Image
The Cochrane review pored over a huge amount of safety data and found that serious adverse health events were rare and occurred at the same rate regardless of whether people received the vaccine or a placebo.
The Cochrane Review team also cross-referenced online claims of specific HPV vaccine-related injuries and did not find evidence to support claims that the vaccine caused those specific negative health outcomes.
Read 12 tweets
Nov 22
BREAKING: Ryan Lizza has issued Part 2 of his saga with Olivia Nuzzi:

She did it again.

It was four years later. Another presidential campaign. Another book project. Another candidate whom she had profiled. Another note—a poem, according to Olivia—though this time from the candidate to her.

“Yr open mouth awaiting my harvest,” Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is now the Secretary of Health and Human Services, had written to my then-fiancé. “Drink from me Love.”

He continued, “I mean to squeeze your cheeks to force open your mouth. I’ll hold your nose as you look up at me to encourage you to swallow. ‘Dont spill a drop’. I am a river You are my canyon. I mean to flow through you. I mean to subdue and tame you. My Love.”

telos.news/p/part-2-she-d…Image
"Olivia [Nuzzi] insisted that she and Mark [Sanford] only had sex one time, on the night of February 24, 2020, after she arrived at his home at about 7 PM. During their encounter, he was paranoid that she was taping him, so she briefly turned her phone’s recorder on and off to show him how it worked, leaving behind a short voice memo of the two of them giggling. She left his house around 11 PM."Image
Ryan Lizza writes:

"I did not believe Olivia [Nuzzi]’s version of events. I believed she had engaged in a long affair with Mark [Sanford]. She insisted that while her 'infatuation' lasted months, it was one-sided and they only ever slept together that one night. She insisted that I search her phone and laptop to corroborate her story, but, of course, she had already erased everything that was incriminating.

"Well, almost everything. There was that voice memo. And then there was something much stranger. Olivia had written a tabloid-style news story about how 'sources in Washington, D.C. and Charleston have been buzzing recently about an unexpected romance: Mark Sanford and Olivia Nuzzi,' who was described as 'one of the most famous political reporters in America,' a 'blonde beauty' who 'gained critical acclaim as a skilled profile writer, gaining access to the powerful and the mysterious and turning it into pure journalistic gold.'"Image
Read 7 tweets

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