Jack Detsch Profile picture
Apr 16 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
If Russia's war in Ukraine has taught the U.S. Army anything about the future of warfare, it’s this:

Just look up.

@ForeignPolicy got a chance to travel to Ft. Irwin, one of the Army's biggest training bases, where soldiers face off against 105 drone swarms that can attack all at once.

Here are 3 things the Army is doing learn to fight and defend in a world of drone swarms.

PHOTO: SPC. JAARON TOLLEY/U.S. ARMYImage
1️⃣ TURN OFF YOUR PHONE: The cell phone is the new cigarette in the foxhole.

To survive on the modern battlefield, soldiers are having to make themselves smaller and smaller—almost invisible.

Loitering munitions can wait over the battlefield for hours, ready to dive if an operator senses the faintest twitch.
Soldiers are listening for drones and coming up with battle drills to defend against them. And U.S. troops will probably have to turn off their iPhones and Androids.

“We’ve shown soldiers, ‘hey, your cell phone can get you killed,’” said Maj. Gen. Curt Taylor, the training center commander.
For instance: Taylor and his team recently spotted an otherwise undetectable Apache helicopter weaving through their air defenses when they clocked the pilot’s iPhone doing 120 miles per hour across the desert.
2️⃣ COST CURVE: The $1,500 drone versus a fighter jet.

War is moving at the speed of technology—light-years. But the U.S. Army moves at the speed of budget—fiscal years.
That’s not going to work when a home-built quadcopter can drop a grenade and destroy a fighter jet parked on the ground.

“What keeps me up is the cost imposition factor that robotics systems bring,” said Alex Miller, the chief technology officer to the Army chief of staff. “A $1,500 drone can take out a multimillion-dollar aircraft.”
3️⃣ COVERING UP: Cutting the command post.

If something can be seen or sensed, it can be killed. Unwieldy server stacks and satellite dishes sticking out of U.S. vehicles and outposts could get soldiers killed.
Maj. Gen. Jim Isenhower, who leads the Army’s 1st Armored Division, told Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George during a demonstration that he believes putting command-and-control systems onto screens, tablets, and mixed reality applications can help him reduce the size of a combat outpost by 95 percent, from 326 troops to about eight.

It's so small that the Army’s opposition force didn’t even spot it during practice drills.

Here is Gen. George testing it out at Ft. Irwin.

Photo: SGT. MAXWELL BASS/U.S. ARMYImage
If you enjoyed that, check out @ForeignPolicy's feature: "America's Next Soldiers Will Be Machines."

foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/06/us-…

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More from @JackDetsch

Mar 13
NEW: The US Army will be forced to cut its artillery production target by over 25% if Congress can't pass the $106B national security supplemental.

The Army would top out at 72,000 rounds/month by end of 2025 with no bill, far short of their 100K target.
foreignpolicy.com/2024/03/13/uni…
Here's how US artillery production is faring:

Now: 28,000 rounds/month
Sept 2024: 57,000 rounds/month
Sept 2025: 72,000 rounds/month
* Dec 2025: 100,000 rounds/month

* without supplemental, US artillery production would plateau at 72,000 rounds/month

Image: US Army budget Image
A little more than $3 billion of the total $106 billion supplemental request bill—which has been debated over in Congress for nearly 5 months, although it passed in the Senate in mid-February—would go toward buying more 155 mm artillery shells & building new production facilities
Read 6 tweets
Feb 26
Sweden is the world's largest archipelago. It has more than 267,000 islands.

How do the Swedes define an “island” in their straits and seas? Any piece of land you can stand on with two dry feet. 

Here's how adding 🇸🇪's 2,000-mi coastline and 1,000s of islands will change NATO Image
Here's the context: The Nordic and Baltic countries can’t survive financially without keeping their archipelagoes and the inlets to the Baltic Sea open to maintain commerce through the region.

About 30 percent of 🇸🇪 foreign trade flows through Gothenburg port, in the west.
NATO will get another capable navy that can deal in shallow waters less than 200 feet deep dotted with gulfs, islands, narrow straits, and critical infrastructure.

The Baltic Sea region is dotted with oil rigs, gas rigs, underwater pipelines, and underwater cables.
Read 12 tweets
Apr 6, 2023
Finland joined NATO this week already spending 2% of GDP on defense, the alliance's target.

🇫🇮 will get F-35s in 2 yrs, and already fires 🇺🇸 standoff missiles.

🇫🇮 can surge from a standing army smaller than NYC's police force to ~280K troops in war.
foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/06/fin…
While NATO went through 8 rounds of enlargement, expanding the alliance to include 30 countries and adding nations, such as Spain & Slovenia, that punched below their weight on military $, Finland—with the energy to match the world's most caffeinated people—was getting stronger
🇫🇮 is ready to mobilize a force of up to 280,000 in wartime, owing to a national conscription model.

The call-ups aren’t a bunch of benchwarmers.

“They can mobilize pretty quickly a very professional group,” said Jim Townsend, a former US deputy assistant secretary of defense.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 9, 2023
NEW: DoD’s top military command charged with countering China wants more $$$ – a lot more.

U.S. Indo-Pacific Command wants over $15B to build up missile defenses on Guam and bases in Australia, Oceania, and Marianas, and long-range anti-ship missiles.
foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/09/us-…
But don't expect the wish list to be granted all at once.

Biden’s final budget request is not expected to include money for planning and design of new basing areas in places like Tinian and Yap, or new munitions

Hat tip to @laraseligman and @LeeHudson_ for getting this first.
INDOPACOM wants nearly $2B this year to reinforce U.S. military installations

• More parking for bombers and fighter jets at Tindal and Darwin air force bases in Australia
• Developing an airfield at Tinian in the Marianas
• Building a submarine pier & sat comms in Guam
Read 6 tweets
Feb 20, 2023
New details on Biden's trip to Kyiv on a White House call that just wrapped.

U.S. notified the Russian government that President Biden would travel to Kyiv, Ukraine hours before POTUS made the trip for "deconfliction purposes," National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said.
Biden admin only involved a small circle of interagency officials to plan POTUS visit to Ukraine today, White House officials said.

Biden made final decision to travel to Kyiv on Fri after meeting w/ national security staff in the Oval, Deputy National Security Adviser Finer
White House keeping quiet how Biden got in and out of the country, until Poland trip wraps up.

Pooler @SabrinaSiddiqui reported that Biden left Kyiv as of 2pm local time (7AM eastern), though for security reasons, updates were not sent in real time.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 20, 2023
Biden travels to meet Zelensky in Kyiv amid blaring air raid sirens, nine years to the day after Russia first launched its lightning campaign to illegally annex Crimea.

It’s a major signal of American and Western resolve, with Russia waging a renewed and bloody offensive.
Biden’s unannounced trip to Ukraine comes 361 days after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine began on February 24, 2022.

It will likely boost the confidence of Ukrainian officials who already believe they have the wind at their backs in a push to get F-16s from the West.
Biden is also arriving as the war is in a grinding phase, with some Western officials seeing few signs of a soon-coming Ukrainian military breakthrough that could help rally NATO countries.

Biden visit is a clear effort to signal that Western political will to help 🇺🇦 is there.
Read 4 tweets

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