Erik Andersson 🐘 Profile picture
Apr 16 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
BREAKING: The "defense" of Nord Stream AG's insurance companies has been filed.

LLoyds and Arch argue that the damage was inflicted by, or under order of, a GOVERNMENT , and therefore they don't need pay. --> Image
I have requested the documents from the court and I'm making them available here. The defense filing has a lot of references to the claim doc so I publish download links to both:


dropbox.com/scl/fi/bwzuufs…
dropbox.com/scl/fi/y8ezf3p…
Paragraph 22.3 : "It's customary in the energy market for cover for war risks to be confined to floating assets (which can be moved away from hostilities) "

How would we know that hostilities were coming to the Baltic? Because Biden told us? Image
The insurance companies are very clear that the Nord Stream bombing was a "single event , namely the decision of a person(s) to plant and/or detonate explosive devices on the NS1 pipelines"

If they have to pay, they don't want to pay separately for the two damaged NS1 pipes. Image
In a way I find it sobering that the insurance companies are focusing on the government who ordered the attack.

I hope that makes it more difficult for the guilty government and the German investigation to scapegoat and charge some lower level individuals.
The last paragraph brings up sanctions. Even if the court decides in favor of Nord Stream, Lloyds and Arch open up for the possibility that new sanctions can prevent the payment. --> Image
Below is news from 2021 where companies Lloyds and Arch were listed among those who bailed out of insuring Nord Stream 2 because of sanctions. Nord Stream 1 was not affected by those sanctions, but apparently sanctions might work retroactively to the benefit of insurers. Hmmm. Image
Nord Stream seems to argue that the insurers have the burden to prove it was a government. The insurers disagree with this interpretation. -->
Image
Image
This passage from the claimant's document affirms that Nord Stream expects a responsibility from the insurers to prove government culpability if that particular exception is used by the insurers to escape liability. Image
The full text of the insurance policy is not made public, but claimants and defendants are both quoting the excerpts they find relevant. Both parties agree that the "War&Terror" exclusion below and therefore "Section II" applies. But Sec II only covers "terror", not "war". Image
Legal scholars have explained to me that as a general rule, the insured claimant must prove that the policy applies.

BUT, if governments deny, the face value of their denial becomes a possible interpretation to the benefit of the insured, so that interpretation should prevail. Image
Both parties acknowledge that the perpetrator is not known. Lloyds&Arch are just saying that it was "most likely a government that ordered it", and expects Nord Stream to prove that it wasn't.

But all suspected governments are denying involvement in the bombings, so the defendants must expect the court ruling to imply that the culpable government is lying.

I don't see how Lloyds and Arch can win this in a non controversial way. The insurers mention the Ukraine-Russia war, but there is no opening for possible Russian self sabotage in the defense document. My impression is that the case of the insurers relies on implicating the Ukrainian government.
I just spoke to Said Mahmoudi, the go-to legal scholar in Sweden for matters like this.

He confirms that in order to win, the insurance companies must prove that the Nord Stream bombing was a government ordered act of war. The burden of proof rests on the insurers.

He also said that even if the insurers succeed in proving government culpability, and the commercial court rules in favor of the insurers, the German government will not care.

Apparently, politics is completely independent of justice.

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More from @Erkperk

Jun 30, 2023
1/One underreported mystery of Nord Stream is who chartered the huge Norwegian offshore ship to visit all explosion sites of Nord Stream between November 20 and November 30 2022.
2/ Normand spent many hours over each of the explosion sites and its movements seem to support dive operations.

3/ On the morning of November 23, it was precisely above the NS2AS site where we found the boot.

Read 7 tweets
May 17, 2023
1/ I have some basics questions about physics.

More specifically hydro acoustics.

Sonar imaging works because sound is reflected on boundaries between materials with different sound speed.

Formula for sound speed in fluids here: Image
2/ My first assumption is that if you can design a material with the same sound speed and attenuation as water, that material (if homogeneous) becomes totally invisible to sonar surveillance. Nothing else matters. Right or Wrong?
3/ My second assumption is that "plastic explosives" like SEMTEX or C4 are mixes where small crystals of solid substances like RDX and PETN are mixed in with rubber like "binders" and "plasticisers". Explosives are not dissolved, just embedded. Right or Wrong?
Read 8 tweets
Apr 6, 2023
1/ Article paywalled, see translation in long form tweet below.
There is some news to me here:

nt.se/nyheter/inrike…
2/ "- I can only state that one or more deliberate stray tracks appeared"

This is the first time I've seen official confirmation that the perpetrator attempted a "false flag" or wanted deniability by creating false tracks.
3/ "- The main purpose of the preliminary investigation is to find out whether Sweden or Swedish infrastructure has been used for this attack"

Hmmm -is he limiting the scope to avoid the elephant?
Read 7 tweets
Apr 5, 2023
1/ "everyone will universally and correctly conclude from your story that the devilish CIA concocted a counter-op that is on its face so ridiculous and childish that the real purpose was to reinforce the truth.”

seymourhersh.substack.com/p/the-nord-str…
2/ I will say though that I don't agree with Hersh's arguments why planting bombs form Andromeda would be impossible. I've spoken to several professional divers. All say they could have done it.
3/ You don't need to anchor. Side scan sonars are portable -easy to locate pipe, drop buoy with vertical line to dive from. Rebreathers with helium available. Bombs padded for buoyancy. Thrusters for underwater transport also portable.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 2, 2023
1/ Sitting on a bus thinking.

What if Seymour Hersh and those of us who take him seriously on #NordstreamSabotage all suckers?

Who’s screwing us, why, how and what’s their endgame?
2/ I dismiss the notion that Sy would just sit there in his big armchair and make it all up. No way he’d pull such a giant prank on those who admire him. And he isn’t mad either.
3/ so who screws him?
Read 13 tweets
Mar 24, 2023
1/ Here's a thread about known explosions of #NordStreamSabotage . Four locations, two in Danish zone and two in Swedish zone. Two on NS1 and two on NS2. "NS1S" ="Nord Steam 1 Sweden" Look at the names in the picture to identify the four sites. Image
2/ Each pipeline has two "Strings" which are accurately drawn on the navigational chart. For NS2 we know from official docs which one of the strings is A and which is B. I used the same nomenclature for NS1. Image
3/ Zooming in on the NS1S site we suspect there were two bombs there and both were on String A. This is because of the Gazprom press release reporting "two craters 248 meters apart". This is the site filmed by Expressen, BBC, and Greenpeace. Image
Read 28 tweets

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