BREAKING: The "defense" of Nord Stream AG's insurance companies has been filed.
LLoyds and Arch argue that the damage was inflicted by, or under order of, a GOVERNMENT , and therefore they don't need pay. -->
I have requested the documents from the court and I'm making them available here. The defense filing has a lot of references to the claim doc so I publish download links to both:
Paragraph 22.3 : "It's customary in the energy market for cover for war risks to be confined to floating assets (which can be moved away from hostilities) "
How would we know that hostilities were coming to the Baltic? Because Biden told us?
The insurance companies are very clear that the Nord Stream bombing was a "single event , namely the decision of a person(s) to plant and/or detonate explosive devices on the NS1 pipelines"
If they have to pay, they don't want to pay separately for the two damaged NS1 pipes.
In a way I find it sobering that the insurance companies are focusing on the government who ordered the attack.
I hope that makes it more difficult for the guilty government and the German investigation to scapegoat and charge some lower level individuals.
The last paragraph brings up sanctions. Even if the court decides in favor of Nord Stream, Lloyds and Arch open up for the possibility that new sanctions can prevent the payment. -->
Below is news from 2021 where companies Lloyds and Arch were listed among those who bailed out of insuring Nord Stream 2 because of sanctions. Nord Stream 1 was not affected by those sanctions, but apparently sanctions might work retroactively to the benefit of insurers. Hmmm.
Nord Stream seems to argue that the insurers have the burden to prove it was a government. The insurers disagree with this interpretation. -->
This passage from the claimant's document affirms that Nord Stream expects a responsibility from the insurers to prove government culpability if that particular exception is used by the insurers to escape liability.
The full text of the insurance policy is not made public, but claimants and defendants are both quoting the excerpts they find relevant. Both parties agree that the "War&Terror" exclusion below and therefore "Section II" applies. But Sec II only covers "terror", not "war".
Legal scholars have explained to me that as a general rule, the insured claimant must prove that the policy applies.
BUT, if governments deny, the face value of their denial becomes a possible interpretation to the benefit of the insured, so that interpretation should prevail.
Both parties acknowledge that the perpetrator is not known. Lloyds&Arch are just saying that it was "most likely a government that ordered it", and expects Nord Stream to prove that it wasn't.
But all suspected governments are denying involvement in the bombings, so the defendants must expect the court ruling to imply that the culpable government is lying.
I don't see how Lloyds and Arch can win this in a non controversial way. The insurers mention the Ukraine-Russia war, but there is no opening for possible Russian self sabotage in the defense document. My impression is that the case of the insurers relies on implicating the Ukrainian government.
I just spoke to Said Mahmoudi, the go-to legal scholar in Sweden for matters like this.
He confirms that in order to win, the insurance companies must prove that the Nord Stream bombing was a government ordered act of war. The burden of proof rests on the insurers.
He also said that even if the insurers succeed in proving government culpability, and the commercial court rules in favor of the insurers, the German government will not care.
Apparently, politics is completely independent of justice.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
2/ Hersh's remarks comes a day after the first hearing of Serhii Kuznezov was adjourned for technical reasons. Serhii is accused of being the commander on the sailboat from which the German police believe the bombs were placed on Nord Stream.
3/ Hersh dismisses the sailboat story as a clumsy coverup, but he is also clumsy himself by dismissing it on bogus technical grounds.
1/ Some of the alleged Nord Stream bombers and organizers have have previously given interviews where they expressed pride of their "patriotic act", arguing the prosecution was silly since they actually did Germany a favor. They expected to be awarded medals as heroes.
2/According to WSJ, the guy who was just arrested was one of three military professionals on the boat: "Serhii K., a now-retired captain in Ukraine’s armed forces, previously served in Ukraine’s secret service SBU, as well as in an elite unit that defended Kyiv in the early months of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022. He commanded a small unit that was involved in aerial defenses, according to his former commanders"
3/ I've been told that the German investigation is dead certain about the culpability of the 6 Ukrainians in the sailboat crew. They know exactly who they are and they have hard evidence, including DNA for most of them. I wonder how Serhii will defend himself.
1/ Wow, Nord Stream insurers Lloyds&Arch just filed an amended defense document which reveals technical details confirming a fifth Nord Stream bomb, which failed to break the NS1B line, placed just 90 meters from the successful bomb on NS1 line A.
2/ It's hilarious that Lloyds&Arch know that all of the bombs were placed on field joints. The successful Nord Stream 1 bombs unleashed propulsive forces from the gas which catapulted the pipeline segments and debris over an area 250 meters long and 50 meters wide. Only the investigation which recovered debris and analyzed explosive residue could know the exact bomb placements on these sites. From what I have heard, not even Nord Stream has access to this classified information. But apparently Lloyds has.
"For the first few days, the harbor master said he was “not allowed to say a thing”. But today, John Anker Nielsen can reveal that four or five days before the Nord Stream blasts, he was out with the rescue service on Christiansø because there were some ships with switched-off radios. They turned out to be American naval vessels, and when the rescue service approached, they were told by Naval Command to turn back.
Therefore, the harbor master has some faith in the theory that American star journalist Seymour Hersh, among others, has put forward without any documentation: that the US was behind the sabotage. The Americans have these small unmanned submarines that can solve any task, John Anker Nielsen has been told"
Full paywalled article here. The harbor master isn't making this up. He wasn't alone on the rescue vessel ordered to stay clear of the American warships.
The little rescue boat at Christiansö was just checking up on some ships because thy didn't respond on radio. It was around the same time that the US Navy convoy led by USS Kearsage passed, but they moved at high speed and had AIS on.
1/ Nord Stream AG has amended its insurance claim on Lloyds&Arch with technical informations which point to a previously unreported fifth bomb. Read about "The Dent":
2/ "The Dent" is located on the "B-String" of Nord Stream 1, and very close to the location of the bomb on the A-String of Nord Stream 1 in the Swedish EEZ (red marker here)
3/ The Dent is only 15 cm deep, and in my expedition we couldn't see it on our sonar maps. But creating a 15cm dent on a 27mm thick steel pipeline is requires a lot of force. Most likely, it was another bomb.
1/ There seem to be two dominating narratives describing who the Nord Stream sabotage was planned and executed.
One blames Ukraine for sending 6 commandos on a sailboat to blow it up.
The other, based on Seymour Hersh reporting, assumes the USA was directly involved and did it with more advanced military equipment and personell.
2/ When I made my expedition to the explosion sites, I was specifically looking for fingerprints of a more advanced operation, but I felt I couldn't find any. On the contrary, the seemingly crude damage and the mistake of placing two of 4 bombs on the same string, pointed to a low budget operation.
3/ But an oblong-shaped directional charge, custom designed for a cylindrical pressurized tube, doesn't sound very low budget to me. It definitely doesn't sound like something you would assemble from raw explosives on a sailboat, leaving traces on the kitchen table.