The interplay of regular and random contacts in the dynamics of superspreading. Or more simply, the role of mixing with strangers in the spread of Covid. It’s mixing with strangers that prolongs the pandemic. /1
In environments that combine both degrees of contact, such as schools (regular = kids who mix in the same class each day, random is mixing of all classes in activities such as assemblies), it’s the random larger events that do the most damage. /2
Most obviously because that’s what gives any infected superspreader access to the most hosts. We knew this earlier in the pandemic when restricting things like sporting events, concerts etc.
This has profound social implications. /3
Covid thrives in a society of strangers. Of hypermobility and mixing. Ecologically this isn’t surprising, organisms and their pathogens live in ecosystems. They have niches.
Constant disruption to this groundedness of organisms is dangerous. /4
It’s the persistent mixing of people that makes Covid almost impossible to control. But socially, mixing is dislocation. It’s the continuous displacement of people, of never allowing things to settle.
Covid does not survive where people live settled lives. /5
That settled life was called ‘lockdowns’, but that’s a term defined by contrast, to hypermobility and mixing. There is nothing objectively necessary about either.
It’s a choice. A choice a culture obsessed with displacement and travel refuses to make. /6
If you choose to live in ecosystem of continuous mixing and displacement, you will be preyed upon by pathogens.
Pathogens created by that same dislocation. Zoonotic organisms for example, created by the destruction of ecosystems of other living things. /7
This is where the fight over working from home is interesting. A deep desire by people to be more settled.
To cut back on the continuous displacement of commuting. That hypermobility, made up mostly of round-trips. /8
Most of our journeys every day begin and end in the same place. Home. That place portrayed as a type of prison, by the anti-lockdown hysterics.
But people like home, it turns out. I’ve never seen people sad to go home at the end of a working day or week. /9
This is the nonsense we’ve been sold with the dismantling of Covid action. That we’ve ‘freed’ people up by setting them back on the hypermobility and displacement path.
In reality life in an economy needs that continuous dislocation and disruption. /10
As I’ve Tweeted about a lot, ‘the economy’ is really the old empire, in disguise. Empires dislocate, they disrupt, to ‘free’ up people and resources.
So they can be accumulated in centres of power and wealth. An economy is fundamentally in constant war with geography. /11
Any settling, a priority on ‘home’, is a critical danger to an economy. Why modern economic politicians LOVE building roads and other transport links.
Few stop to ask, would it be better if we moved LESS? /12
Well, to be fair, ideas like 15-minute cities ask that question. Very quickly set upon by weaponised social media zombies sponsored by the economy crowd.
Lockdowns were an existential threat to them. Not only was the disruption that generates economic ‘growth’ interrupted, people even began to get a share back of the common-wealth of societies, through pandemic payments.
And they began to get a taste for home again. /14
So the economy crowd went to the trenches. Massive and sponsored social media campaigns of hysteria about freedom and control.
It’s not a goodies and baddies thing either. People also LOVE travel, they love displacement. /15
I’ve always felt an outlier, when I travel. Like I’m constantly barging into other peoples homes. Which is what travel is.
The beautiful places we travel to are beautiful *because* they were previously made that. By people settled there. /16
Not in the economic way of settlement (dispossession), but in the home way of groundedness. Travel and its economic settlement is destroying those places, at an increasing rate.
And we’re all culpable. /17
Nothing is more difficult than convincing Western people to not travel. To stay home. To be settled. They don’t want to do that because it forces them to confront the world, without continuous distraction.
That may seem the opposite of what I’ve said above. /18
But Westerners love travel *because* they can come home after it. Just as they love coming home from work.
Very few live lives of continuous displacement, with no home-base. That’s what refugees live, it’s an appalling life. /19
Our supposed passion for ‘seeing new things’ is fake. It’s just distraction. Like all peoples and organisms, our most fundamental passion is to be grounded.
To have a place to call home. /20
We have shit jobs, and travel allows us maximum distraction from that basic reality. It’s why it’s so popular. If we had to sit at home contemplating our lives, we’d be much less happy with our work.
And the economy loves this, because the more we dislocate and move? /21
The more money it generates. The more new people and resources are freed up to feed into the great centres of accumulation.
As the cliche says, we’re not human beings now. We’re human doings. Always busy, always moving. Never settled.
Children of empire. /22
But deep down, it makes us unhappy. Deeply unhappy. When the movement stops, like in musical chairs, we get confronted by an existential emptiness through lack of groundedness.
Home is that groundedness. As our Indigenous peoples say. Land is the most sacred thing. /23
Place. Not space. Space is what a travel culture does to place. Everything becomes just a location on a map, an address. To move through, to ‘see’.
Now our young can’t even afford an address. Let alone create any form of place. /24
It’s time to settle again. To reinvent place. And stop destroying every other organism’s and peoples’ place, for our distraction. To re-route our desires towards groundedness. /end
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On of the great myths of ‘the economy’ is that it operates already *without* massive government ‘intervention’. Governments create the entire framework of economic activity, including the existence of companies. /1
Economic transactions only happen at all because of VAST numbers of regulations that standardise trading and activity, making economic activity possible. That’s without even pointing out the massive government subsidy for existing industries like fossil fuels and agriculture. /2
When I say there is no such thing as ‘the economy’, this is what I mean. The entire economic transactions of any country are really nested hierarchies of vertically integrated activity, with governments at the top of the nested hierarchy. /3
I’ve had a discussion over years with a close friend, a university professor. About our modern idea of ‘the market’, and ‘the economy’. /1
Whenever I discuss the idea of a market with anybody, it becomes clear that it’s one of those slogan terms that is deep in our collective psyche now.
But what does it even mean? /2
Asking that question gets you blank looks. Because, again, it’s a slogan that is now so deep, that people feel it’s like somebody asking if the Earth is flat.
A close sibling is the idea of ‘supply and demand’. /3
Brilliant thread on short-selling, and how to use the tools of networked privilege against it. The only gripe I have with @doctorow’s work is the belief I sense that ‘competition’ i.e. taking down all ‘monopolies’, is some intrinsic good. It ignores human social realities. /1
And when you peel it back is really just a boost for the market philosophy of social life, that competition drives optimal societies. Humans don’t compete, they imitate, they form status hierarchies, based on that imitation. That’s not a bad thing either. /2
We imitate because we can’t all know or do everything. So we look to who to trust to do all of the things we don’t do ourselves. And then we emulate/imitate them. Which creates a hierarchy. Which in economic terms becomes a ‘monopoly’. It’s unavoidable. /3
When the clear evidence of our senses and experience tell us something is terribly wrong, with our climate and with our health in the pandemic, and nothing is done? Not only that, but when many affect joy at doing nothing? This is what team sports/populist politics has done. /1
Reality transformed into endless arguments, that obstruct all resolution and action. That’s completely deliberate, ‘flood the zone with shit’ politics. All of these pointless debates are specifically designed to tie us in rhetorical knots, so that nothing gets done. /2
We’re encouraged to think social media is this, democracy in action. Daily arguments over the most bleedingly obvious things. It’s political strategy, to not only stall emergency action but to monetise that stalling at the same time. /3
Many get rightly angry about the money to be spent on nuclear submarines. But politics is language, and something at least as egregious has been happening in Australia since 2006. The ‘Future Fund’, Australia’s biggest sovereign wealth fund. Doesn’t it sound great? /1
Orwellian language. Tens of billions of taxpayer dollars to fund the nation’s future! And sovereign wealth funds have LOTS going for them, public investment for public ends. But what was The Future Fund set up to fund? /2
Completely unfunded, gold-plated superannuation liabilities for politicians and public servants. Super schemes of outrageous extravagance, that were put in place and then never funded. And some dislike targeting generations for this, but I’m afraid this was pure boomer. /3
When people ask why aren’t ‘we’ doing anything about climate change or Covid, who is ‘we’? Usually it means politicians. Followed by aspersions cast on ordinary ‘dumb’ people. But the driver of grown-up responsibility has never been either politicians or the public. /1
It’s been public institutions, tasked with the job of managing things like this. Like the CSIRO, as just one example, this is an early photo of some of their staff at work. Governments set up institutions in response to desperate problems they don’t know how to fix. /2
In the case of the CSIRO, as just one example, by the turn of the 20th century, Australian agriculture, easily our dominant economic activity then, was being crippled by a whole range of problems like pests, diseases and drought, that it had no idea how to solve. /3