Donald Trump used to boast that he could shot people in the middle of Times Square & not lose his voters.
That was true for the most part but the reason for it was that most saw him and his bravado as the embodiment of the anti-establishment energy they had silently craved since the 90s.
For 8 years, nothing Establishment media and politicians threw at him stuck, because this was coming from sources his supporters viewed as discredited and illegitimate. In fact, the attacks only added to his appeal.
I genuinely believe @realDonaldTrump
has hugely miscalculated this time. By caving to the Establishment and the warmongering Lindsay Graham's of the world to send billions to foreign countries, he has showed himself to be a card-carrying member of the swamp rather than fighting it.
He has appeared weak and selling out on the two key issues that made him a real force: his 2016 stance against globalism & mass migration. The outrage I hear from the grassroot Right—especially the under 45s that (rightly or wrongly) saw him as a bulldozer against the old regime and its institutions—is really palpable and unprecedented.
I believe Trump's greatest gift was the intuitive way he understood his base and channeled their frustrations. He's a savvy politician; alarm bells must be going off in his head now. The Democrats & the Security State won doubly yesterday: 1) they got their billions for their globalist agenda without lifting a finger for the Border 2) They discredited Trump in the eyes of a good portion of his long-standing, loyal supporters who had stayed with him since 2016 and his war with the Bushes, thereby significantly diminishing his chances for returning to the White House.
I continue to believe Trump abhors war, seeing it as ugly and inexpedient, but his repeated backing of Mike Johnson to allow him to betray the trust of millions of conservatives could become a costly mistake. He has now made the error most politicians make when they go Establishment, trading the love of their base for nice headlines in CNN & the New York Times and ceasing to be the radical force for change that propelled them to power in the first place. For all their differences and mutual antipathy, this is something Trump shares with Obama.
If Trump loses in November, Historians will remember the betrayal of April 20th as the reason why.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
US alliances today are maintained out of a perception of their value among the foreign policy establishment rather their actual contribution to core US interests.
US Alliances are identified with US global hegemony & both are seen as ends in themselves. We need a phenomenology.
Despite many valid critiques by restrainers & realists over the material costs of permanent alliances & risks of US entrapment in foreign conflicts, the Blob favors Continuity over change.
Why? Bc there are non-material factors at play here that are wedded to the status quo.
🚨 In our latest IPD white paper by @ChrisDMott, we review the latest rebrand of the neoliberal martial regime as the "woke imperium".
Systemic adoption of the prevailing moralist trend—'Woke' rhetoric & language of justice—is an ideological cover for US interventionism abroad.
Systemic use of moralism in the American national security apparatus has been promoted, & become entrenched, by a highly competitive professional class vying to secure their institutional position by using virtue signaling to demonstrate class solidarity to their higher ranks.
Selective weaponization of the "cause of justice" serves the imperial/economic needs of a globalist regime that justifies its expansionism & primacy in the name of Progress—as the triumph of a universalized American conception of virtue over those it views as reactionary.
Typically smart article by @Tinkzorg@compactmag_ rightly notes that maintaining any empire needs sustaining imperial networks of patronage which US is materially failing at but IMO the totalistic mindcontroling evolution of the Imperium is no coincidence compactmag.com/article/pride-…
Cultivation of cosmopolitan bourgeois elites across major societies has a profound effect with the liberal Western elites in role of norm-setter. Such control over access via ideological lipservice creates a prestige-hegemony feedback loop offering a patronage of different kind.
This new patronage is more ideational, psychological, and sociological than a customary economic one but no less powerful. It is also more noxious in short-term bc local intelligensia actively participates in eroding cultural sovereignty & pushing liberal homogeneity.
The Establishment moves seamlessly from generating hysteria around 1 crisis to another. This isnt about the crisis; it isn't about 🇺🇦 or 🇷🇺 or Covid; each is simply an opportunity for fear-mongering using our baser instincts. Reaction-wise, the parallels are eerie & striking. 1
Russia is the new Covid. Our policy: Quarantine the country; block it off with sanctions that won't work to stop the virus (sorry war). Russians are the new unvaxxed—cancel & demonize the whole population. You didnt notice the pandemic was over bc a new one has already started. 2
No matter the crisis, PMC has the same MO: 1) existentialize 2) moralize 3) Use invented pandemonium to weaponize language 4) securitize the state for maximum compliance. Only a regime suffering from a severe legitimacy crisis needs these sorts of ritualistic pledges of fealty. 3