Starting to believe the modular thesis is primed for a massive comeback.
Despite sentiment being at all-time lows, the Celestia ecosystem is finally hitting its stride, with activity already accelerating ahead of:
1) it’s first wave of high profile project launches in the coming months (Astria, Initia, Eclipse, etc)
2) ZK accounts going live before year end, enabling trust-minimized bridging between Celestia and its rollups (modular money + restaking)
3) Continued adoption by Ethereum L2s as well as early experiments within the Bitcoin L2 ecosystem using Celestia for DA.
To add further fuel to the fire, in the coming months Solana will see its first generation of L2s (co-processors and rollapps) launch, further validating the modular thesis.
It’s been a rough few months for the modular thesis since TIA’s peak — the initial hype rally is always the most fragile.
But if you tuned out since then, thinking Celestia was nothing more than a giant airdrop farm, you may be surprised by what comes next.
Couple reference links for those who want to dig into some of the more esoteric points above on Celestia ZK accounts and Solana L2s
Over the past year Syncracy accumulated a large position in MKR.
We believe Maker could command a $40+ billion valuation this cycle given its vital role in financing Ethereum’s economy — a multi-billion dollar fee opportunity.
Our thesis on Maker in the Endgame Era.
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Maker is the leading decentralized bank in the cryptoeconomy.
At ~2x 2025E revenue, we believe Maker is one of the best risk / reward opportunities today given its industry leading earnings, best-in-class unit economics, and growing market dominance.
Maker is a leviathan amongst the leaders, capturing nearly 40% of all DeFi profits on Ethereum.
Its competitive advantage is centered around its currency Dai —the most widely used decentralized stablecoin in the industry with its deep liquidity, integrations, and track record.
In Q2 2023, Syncracy built a large position in SOL.
The opportunity Solana offers is rare – a truly differentiated technical architecture that has the potential to become foundational alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Our thesis on Solana and the future of the cryptoeconomy.
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Blockchains have trade-offs.
Despite extreme power law dynamics in the smart contract platform market, this reality creates a large opportunity for Solana.
Solana can eat Ethereum's dominance through offering a highly differentiated integrated solution.
We believe Solana’s integrated design offers a structurally simpler and more cost-efficient development environment compared to modular stacks, positioning Solana to win a larger share of the cryptoeconomy’s developer base in the coming years.
What do you estimate the chances we never see BTC above $69K again?
i.e BTC at a $1.3 trillion market capitalization was the terminal top.
I’m suprised more people haven’t entertained the thought that BTC mooning to $1.3 trillion during the everything bubble might’ve possibly been it.
Think it’s higher than most think after every narrative for BTC (inflation hedge, uncorrelated asset, geopolitical hedge, etc) having been broken and competitors like Ethereum continuing to win mindshare and market share as technologically superior SOVs and platforms.