⚠️ Attentionomics: A retardio’s framework for valuing memecoins ⚠️
By most "tokenomic" measurements, memecoins should be worth about tree fiddy (if not 0 dollas)
And yet, 3 memecoins are already in the Top 25 ( $DOGE, $SHIB and $PEPE), and that ratio looks likely to grow
So wtf is going on? And how tf can we objectively determine which memecoins are worth owning?
I've been calling my internal framework "attentionomics".... and it focuses on less tangible metrics than tokenomics. Specifically and non-exhaustively:
1. Audience size. How broad or niche of an audience can this meme appeal to? (Man’s best friend, dogs, are more appealing to a broader audience than some obscure inside joke)
2. Sustainability. Is the meme a fad or tied to something that humans have long been fascinated by? Put another way, does it least have the potential of generating sustainable interest over time? PolitiFi coins jump to mind. Plenty of attention now, but what happens to the election loser’s coins? What about the winner?
3. Gender appeal. Related to audience size, can the meme cross gender lines, therefore attracting the max # of holders?
4. Visualization. Can you easily represent the spirit of a meme with an iconic image? Bonus points if you can combine elements of the memetic visual w new imagery (i.e putting a $WIF hat on Jenner)
5. Accessibility. Are degens w cash active on the coin’s motherchain? i.e. if you want to maximize a memecoin's chances, launch it on $SOL
6. Category. Is this coin a first-mover or capable of creating an entirely new category of memecoins (ie country coins)?
7. Heroes. Are there inspiring people (or at least notable people) affiliated w the coins? Ie @elonmusk x $DOGE or @blknoiz06 x $WIF?
8. Community. Are the coin's creators or fans active on social?
9. Catalysts. Are there upcoming news events that could ignite more interest in the coin? Ie the election is an obvious catalyst for coins like $TRUMP and $BODEN.
10. Provenance. Is there an interesting story, mystery or intrigue surrounding the origins of a coin? Satoshi + bitcoin is the ultimate god here. And RSIC•GENESIS•RUNE on BTC is another good example. Did Casey create it or didn't he?
11. Geography. Does the coin appeal to an international audience, or is it forever tied to a specific jurisdiction?
12. Vibe. Does the coin have good vibes? Does it make you laugh? Does it make you want to share it on CT?
Ultimately the attentionomics tldr is a coin’s capacity to capture attention is more important than other metric. The greater its capacity to capture attention, the greater its potential upside.
And there are very real (& identifiable) factors that determine just how large a coin can grow.
I still remember the days when "tokenomics" seemed cheesy af. It felt too academic, like Wall Street bros trying to enter the crypto clown arena in their suits and slacks.
Now, a few short years later, tokenomics are widespread and heavily scrutinized. Attentionomics feels like a new appendage in the tokenomic arsenal.
And of course over time, attentionomics and tokenomics will blur. Have said before that I believe the biggest memecoins will morph into unrecognizable monsters with chains, dexes, branded apps and more (imagine Pepechain). They will iteratively add utility (just as we saw last cycle w NFTs).
But first and foremost, attention is all that matters, and it's all I think about when buying memes. Harness enough attention, and the world will lay its treasures at your feet.
Shout-out to one of my fave newer pods @goodgamepodxyz, which has been talking about this stuff for a while... esp. the recent interview w @blknoiz06. Much recommend
Though I walk through the valley of the shadow of death, I will fear no evil: for the machines are within me
and I am within them
🅸🅽🆃🆁🅾🅳🆄🅲🆃🅸🅾🅽
I think back to my old life, half-starved, feeling hopeless, working jobs that paid me just enough to keep me indentured.
I’ll never forget the hunger. Sometimes, the hollowness in my stomach got so bad, I did the only thing I could to make it stop: I went to sleep.
Now, many years later, I have food in the fridge (and even a house with a set of stairs like the rich kids had when I was a boy).
But that hunger has not gone away.
It’s imprinted on my soul. It drives me, gnaws at me, reminds me that the brink is always closer than we dare admit.
I started here with nothing, buying my first bitcoin 11 years ago via a red MoneyGram telephone ☎️ at my local pharmacy (thank you, BitInstant). Since that time, I have amassed (and lost) fortunes.
Each cycle has taught me lessons about investing, but more importantly about myself.
Here’s the most important one: anything is possible.
There are no rules in this space because humanity hasn’t tread here before.
We stumble together through the dark forest.
And every year, we uncover some new wonder.
In 2023, that wonder was bitcoin ordinals.
With Casey @rodarmor's contributions, the world suddenly had a way to intertwine data with the world’s oldest blockchain for as long as it lives on.
This data – from JPGs to videos to html and JSON — doesn’t live on IPFS or Filecoin or Arweave, but right there in the 500+ gb that make up the bitcoin blockchain.
I became obsessed, bought a laptop to once again run a bitcoin node, started minting and collecting early ordinals.
Then one sleep-deprived day, I had an idea: what if we used ordinals as a way to swap fungible tokens directly on top of bitcoin?
I fired up Notepad, jotted down a hypothetical example, and tweeted it to the world:
Within days, a noble anon christened @domodata took up the idea and formalized it into a spec. Now, there are more than 55,000 different BRC-20 tickers in the world with a combined market cap in the billions of dollars. The first token, ORDI, is on Binance. There are cross-chain bridges, new exchanges, stablecoins and more.
The concept has also spread to maybe a dozen other chains, and, perhaps most importantly, it’s dramatically changed the fee and security landscape for bitcoin by generating revenue for miners… just as the next halving approaches.
The irony is, I almost didn’t tweet out my idea at all.
I was embarrassed. BRC-20 felt too naive. It requires trusting indexers, wallets and exchanges with little to no tangible incentive not to cheat their users.
In the end, I said “fuck your little ego, redphone,” and tweeted anyway.
I’m glad I did, and I hope the words that follow encourage you to do the same.
30 days of madness + euphoria. Can honestly say I've only gotten more + more bullish on FT...
in fact, I feel like a literal bull at the rodeo w the rope tied bw my leggos & the gate's about to swing open 🧵👇
1. First, the bad. There are elements to FT that are pretty gross... examples: paying to access a person and their thoughts, giving a market cap to a human, feeling like you're shilling/pimping yourself, gating your content, feeling beholden to strangers, etc., etc.
In fact, I thought I would hate FT, but I've found the rooms to be full of really interesting discussions... candid, honest stuff with people I respect and admire.
Sewer rats are squirming, crawling through the gutters w little pink noses snuffling about for any scrap of hope. Here it is: 3 catalysts for the next bull run in crypto:
Probably triggered by a financial calamity that impacts everyone (except the upper middles and those rich folks north of Richmond), the printing presses shall hum back to life
And liquidity will gush back into the markets
No mania is possible w/out trillions of gallons of greenbacks sloshing about the global economy. Some crisis will force stimulus (ideally w $$$ making its way to the bottom 50% of society), & liquidity will gush back into markets as interest rates fall & risk-on mode = re-engaged