Alex Petkas - Cost of Glory Profile picture
May 31, 2024 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The US is entering uncharted waters.

Political prosecutions are what brought down the Roman Republic.

Here's how. 🧵 Image
Donald Trump is the first US president to be indicted, let alone ruled a felon by a US court.

The court system of any society is designed to be a neutral arbiter of disputes;

Trust in the courts is crucial to prevent spirals of retributive violence. Image
In Rome, an office holder was immune from prosecution while holding office

A consul could not be prosecuted during his 1 year term

Same for a "proconsul" = a consul w/ term extended, usually serving as a general or provincial governor

in 50 BC, Julius Caesar was a Proconsul. Image
Caesar's enemies - Cato and friends - were publicly vowing to prosecute Caesar when his term ended

Caesar had been a successful general for nearly 10 years, conquered all of Gaul

Cato claimed they had 10 years worth of crimes to prosecute him for. Image
Caesar wanted to run for Consul again, to renew his immunity.

Unfortunately, to run for consul in Rome, you have to lay down your proconsular office & enter the city.

Caesar would have to become a private citizen in Rome for several months

(Plenty of time for a prosecution) Image
Caesar asked the authorities for an exception - to "run in absentia"

(in recognition of his achievements on behalf of Rome)

Thus he could keep immunity over the transition to new office

In 52, a law was passed to allow this

But by 50, Caesar's enemies had unwound the law.
Cato & Friends now forced Caesar into a dilemma:

Either
a) Lay down your office & face prosecution,
OR
b) start a Civil War

(in 50, Caesar's legal term of office was expiring) Image
Cato & Friends drew Rome's other greatest leader, Pompey, onto their side

Caesar tried to negotiate

Pompey dug in his heels

Ultimatums were issued.

They all thought Caesar would back down. Image
Caesar took the Nuclear Option and crossed the Rubicon in January, 49 BC

(The Rubicon River was the boundary of Caesar's province: crossing it amounted to a declaration of war)

This explains why political trials can become so dangerous: Image
If there is no neutral arbiter, the recourse is usually violence

Caesar claimed Cato & Senate were corrupt, motivated by personal animosity

(they did undo some laws, after all)

Cato & co. said "Caesar is a threat to the Republic"

Who could adjudicate, except the gods of war? Image
The threat of prosecution motivates heads of state to cling to power in many "third world" countries.

A precedent has been set.

The Biden family now have reason to fear prosecution if they lose the election

The stakes have been raised, massively Image
From Caesar's crossing of the Rubicon in 49 BC
... to avoid political prosecution

Until Actium in 31 BC,

Rome passed through a long period of civil war

Which ended in the establishment of a monarchy.

Is the die cast?

This is why we study history. Image
For the full story, listen to some of my bios from the Cost of Glory Podcast.

Such as Pompey, Episodes 83-85 Image

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More from @costofglory

Dec 3, 2024
Emperor Julian gets unlimited power, has one goal: Kill Christianity and restore the old gods.

20 months later, he is dead.

His legacy?

One dead goose, several humiliations, and a nickname that stuck:

“Julian the Apostate.”

His lessons on how (not) to revive a religion:
🧵 Image
Context: 4th c. AD.

The old ways are dying.

The traditional paganism of Rome and Greece of Homer, Plato, Caesar, Aurelius – is losing its edge.

Despite decades of persecution – thousands of martyrs burned, crucified, and fed to lions — Christianity is booming. Image
In 313AD, Julian’s uncle Constantine shocks the Empire: He legalizes Christianity, then becomes Christian himself.

Over the next 40 years, Christianity goes from an outlawed cult to Rome’s de facto official religion.

But the old ways endure.

Not everyone bows to the new god. Image
Read 15 tweets
Nov 18, 2024
America needs Education reform. BUT

Great Books is for Losers.

If you think they (or concepts like "the Canon") provide the solution for restoring American education, you might be a loser too.

Some highlights from my latest piece for the American Mind. 🧵 Image
1/ A list of Great Books is not what forged men of the great ages of the past Image
2/ The famous programs are new innovations that have largely assimilated the US post-war liberal paradigm

@ProfEricAdler has characterized this curriculum as "Plato to NATO"

It's focused on "ideas" "critical discussion" and many other watered-down things Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 11, 2024
Steve Bannon called for "Rough Roman Justice" last week.

10 Lessons from a century of Rough Roman Justice:
🧵 Image
1). Implicate the Senate

Sulla, seizing Rome (88 BC) had the Senate declare Marius & friends Public Enemies.

Marius escaped with his life, but

--> The establishment was now determined to keep the "Enemies" down/away when Sulla was absent.

Out of fear, if nothing else. Image
2). Use the Courts

When Marius recpatured Rome, he dragged many of his enemies (incl. senators) before "kangaroo" courts.

Some were convicted in absentia for failing to show up.

The certainty of conviction drove some to suicide.

As with #1, this gives you legitimacy. Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 28, 2024
In the late Roman Republic, "legal" tampering with voting rolls caused the great First Civil War.

This happened by sudden, massive additions of "new citizens" by legislative fiat.

The parallels to today offer many lessons. 🧵 Image
Background:
in the 100s BC, there was widespread discontent with the elites.

The oligarchic establishment was getting rich

Forever Wars, Petty plundering, government contracts, foreign bribes, importing cheap labor

Inequality skyrocketed

The Gracchi Brothers were the first to try to do something about it, in the previous generationImage
But the greatest of the dissident populists was general Gaius Marius - 6 times consul by 100BC.

He used the Gracchi's playbook: leverage discontent, bend the rules through plebiscites.

Marius finally ended the forever wars, conquering Jugurtha, & the Cimbri in huge conflicts Image
Read 16 tweets
Jul 14, 2024
Assassinations: a telling sign of Late Republic turmoil.

History is not over, it is accelerating.

Some classic case studies from Rome and their lessons: 🧵 Image
1: Servilius Glaucia was running for consul for the year 99 BC.

His candidature was illegal (he had been praetor the year before, you're supposed to wait 2 years).

Fearing a challenge from a more respectable candidate (Memmius), Glaucia simply had the man murdered by a mob in broad daylight.Image
Glaucia and his friend Saturninus (a tribune) underestimated the backlash

The senate declared martial law ("senatus consultum ultimum"). The serving consul, Gaius Marius, sent in troops and besieged them on the Capitoline hill.

The culprits were released under truce, taken into custody in the senate house,

And both murdered with roof tiles during the night.Image
Read 14 tweets
Jun 5, 2024
If you think one man can't change the course of history,

You're underestimating the power of influence.

Here's how a world without Julius Caesar would look:🧵 Image
Let's start with politics.

Without Caesar, the First Triumvirate would never have existed

Crassus and Pompey might have never consolidated their power.

Republican government in Rome could've lasted *much* longer.

The title Kaiser, Tsar, even the concept "Emperor" ?

Poof. Image
2/
Next: Literature.

Caesar was a prolific writer.

Without him, we'd lack his classic firsthand account of the Gallic Wars.

Let’s not get started on Lucan, Suetonius, Plutarch, Shakespeare…

He was an authority on literary taste, and wrote treatises "amidst flying missiles" Image
Read 8 tweets

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