Two days ago, a Nazi account posted one of the most racist things I’ve ever seen, using my name. I have a record of it but it’s indecent to share so I’ll try to describe it instead.
It started out with a swastika and a voiceover: “This message is endorsed by Will Stancil.” And then: “KILL ALL N____S.” Then it played a song describing in detail all the ways “n____s” should be killed. Behind it was real footage of black toddlers and children being massacred.
This was tweeted at a black man who had a viral anti-Trump tweet. Superimposed on top of the video was the real address of the black man.
For creating this video, the user received a one-day suspension.
We need to talk about what’s happening on this site, how it’s being openly facilitated by the owner, and what the inevitable consequence is going to be.
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You call for Trump to step down because you have a winning argument that it’s totally inappropriate for a party to nominate a guy who received 34 felony convictions five months before the election. Half of Americans already agree! Force the GOP to defend him.
He’s not actually going to step down (although it wouldn’t be good for Republicans to lose their cult leader to scandal right before the election). But Democrats are half the political system, they have to make the argument he shouldn’t be in the race, or no one will.
The way you get the news to cover something is to create conflict. You can create conflict over this. Just calling him a felon isn’t creating conflict. It’s good but it won’t generate any additional coverage.
Trump would get a huge boost, not because anyone cares about "cumulative inflation," but because the massive far-right and far-left hysterical freakout about how prices "feel" too high would instantly cease the moment he won
People do not actually have a detailed registry of price increases over time in their heads, they are just continually told that prices are too high (often with fake or exaggerated numbers) by their social media feeds, by the TV, by newspapers. If that stops no one will care
"But Will! You're making it sound like inflation panic is like the caravan panic or the ebola panic! Surely inflation is more fundamental somehow! Surely people's brains work differently when ECONOMICS is involved!"
No. It is exactly like the caravan panic or ebola panic.
ONE MORE TIME:
-your impression of the US economy is mostly formed from your information diet, because we do not directly experience things like the unemployment rate
-if we DID directly experience those things, public opinion would reflect measurable trends, and it doesn't
-most sources of information have been very negative about the US economy even while most measurable trends have been fine to great
-this includes mainstream media, partisan media, and social media
-most information people have about the outside world comes from these sources
-the negativity comes from different places
-social media has a negativity bias because negativity goes viral
-mainstream media has a negativity bias because it relies heavily on social shares, and negativity goes viral
-many partisans just want to hurt Biden
The basic error that is destroying left-of-center politics is a refusal to accept that politics is driven by human psychology, and human psychology is largely driven by communication with other humans, and does not connect mechanically to measurable conditions on the ground.
Things can be bad and people can be happy. Things can be better than ever before and people can be miserable. People can be mad about real things in the real world or fake things they've been lied to about. One day people can not care about something and the next day they care.
There is no formula you can plug numbers into to determine how people feel about the world, or what they'll be thinking about. It's a product of what people are saying to each other and the ideas and feelings that are circulating at a given moment.
Dopes who have spent three years ignoring every graph showing a good economy have seen this one (1) graph and decided it proves the economy is terrible. It doesn’t. Household wealth skyrocketed at the end of Trump’s term because THERE WAS A PANDEMIC so SPENDING WAS IMPOSSIBLE.
Post-COVID, Americans have been spending down all those accumulated savings, which has led to economic growth and to inflation. Despite this, even after controlling for inflation, household worth is clearly holding steady (at those high post-COVID levels)
A good rule of thumb is that if an outlet pops out a single measure that you’ve never seen before that contradicts all the other measures, it’s probably doing something weird with numbers. In this case, this graph was absolutely engineered to create a bad-looking line.
this might be the Perfect Political Journalist Tweet in that it explicitly lays out some kind of direct unmediated public engagement with a political figure because the journalist’s brain short circuits if he considers he is himself the thing linking public and politician
the thing Astead is attempting to describe here - a process by which the public’s perception of politics gets mediated and distorted until it no longer seems to precisely reflect actual political events - is literally his peers failing at their job