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Peter Miller Profile picture
@tgof137
Jun 11, 2024 • 1 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
A new article by Zeynep claims that scientists lost the public's trust, enabling covid conspiracy theories to form.

I think it's a bad take, and it's mostly missing the story.
archive.is/UZSwC

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More from @tgof137

Peter Miller Profile picture
Jun 25
Here's yet another article blaming scientists for the popularity of the lab leak theory, this time from Jane Qiu:
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
I'm kind of surprised by this one because, unlike most other journalists, @janeqiuchina has actually done some good investigative journalism about covid origins and has talked to primary sources:
technologyreview.com/2022/02/09/104…
And she has written about the still active wildlife trade which could trigger another pandemic:
nature.com/articles/d4158…
Read 45 tweets
Peter Miller Profile picture
May 22
Matt Ridley is calling for "peer review" of a blog post about Covid origins.

I'll volunteer to help!
I should clarify that I'm not sure I'm his peer -- Ridley has done many things I haven't.

He was a banker who helped crash the world economy in the great financial crisis.

I have never cost taxpayers millions. Image
He was a right wing politician in the UK house of lords, appointed to a position based on who his father was.

I'm not from a rich family, and don't think I'd enjoy being a politician at all.
Read 100 tweets
Peter Miller Profile picture
Apr 23
A common argument for the lab leak theory is that Wuhan is 1,000 miles from the bat viruses most similar to SARS-CoV-2, therefore the virus must be unnatural.

The big problem with this argument is both SARS1 and MERS were found similarly far away from the closest bat viruses.
🧵
The first known SARS case happened in November 2002, in Foshan.

The closest known bat virus to SARS was found 11 years later, in a Yunnan province cave.

Yunnan is over 1,000 kilometers away from where SARS was first found in humans. Image
Image
SARS was also found in Hubei (the province that Wuhan is in) in 2003, so we know these viruses can naturally travel from Yunnan to Hubei.
web.archive.org/web/2021112019…
Read 86 tweets
Peter Miller Profile picture
Mar 21
Who's to blame for starting the Covid pandemic?

Views differ, around the world.

A lot of countries blame the United States. 🧵
In a 2021 poll in China, 53% of people answered that Covid came from the US:
mdpi.com/2075-4698/13/2…Image
More than half of those people think Covid specifically came from a US lab, while some of them think it came from US "wet markets" or from US frozen food.

Only 12% of Chinese people blame Chinese wet markets, and less than 1% blame Chinese labs.
Read 37 tweets
Peter Miller Profile picture
Mar 2
A few people asked me about Nod's preprint about 2 spillovers.

He makes two arguments criticizing Pekar et al 2022.

A proper analysis of his 1st argument actually points in the opposite direction and strengthens Pekar's conclusions.

His 2nd argument is not well defined.
🧵
Nod's preprint is here:


Let me walk you through his mistakes.arxiv.org/pdf/2502.20076
The outbreak in Wuhan is unusual.

Normally, when a single case of Covid starts an outbreak, it starts a single polytomy. We've observed this happening again and again, around the world.

In Wuhan, there are 2 polytomies. Pekar theorized that was from 2 spillovers. Image
Read 51 tweets
Peter Miller Profile picture
Feb 13
When did the covid outbreak begin in Italy?

Can that tell us anything about when it started in Wuhan?
🧵
Covid case numbers in Wuhan grew exponentially, up until the city was locked down on January 23rd: Image
You can fit an exponential curve to the data, and it follows a very simple equation. That curve says that cases were doubling every 3.8 days. Image
Read 38 tweets

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