Losing in Ukraine to a resurgent and transformed Russia, defeated by Yemen, fleeing from Afghanistan, China containment failing, anti-imperialist fronts in East/SE Asia... We will probably remember 2021-2024 as the first big phase of the collapse of American hegemony in Eurasia.
Russia today now wields the most effective and sophisticated military force in the world thanks to 2 years of fighting a NATO trained and armed country in conventional peer-level warfare, while only using a fraction of its capacity. No other country in the world compares.
The war in Ukraine transformed the world system by exposing the American empire as deeply incompetent militarily, diplomatically and economically. The cracks were already there but Russia delivered the first major blow. The defeat of the proxy armies in Syria was a hint.
Ukraine had the largest and most heavily equipped army in Europe before the SMO, and had been fighting in Donbas since the fascist takeover in 2014. Today they're sending 40 year old men to the front to either die by Russian drone and artillery or get shot in the back by Azov.
Not only did the sanctions fail, but Russia transformed its economy by leaning into nationalization and deepening trade ties with Asia. There is open conversation about the Chinese economic model in Russia (see the 2024 SPIF) and the benefits Russia has seen from state ownership.
Russia now clearly and openly sees itself as leading a neo-anti-imperialist struggle, in concert with the DPRK, Iran, Syria, Vietnam, China, etc. The statements coming out of the DPRK visit are legitimately shocking.
Now the second shoe is about to drop in Western Europe. When Ukraine falls, the political crisis there will be unlike anything we have ever seen. A new system is coming into play by force.
China is now the most advanced and well organized country in the world. It's been that way for years but the success of the Chinese model is glaringly obvious to everyone who looks at it. All containment efforts have failed.
Both Russia and China are delivering a possibility of realignment for countries that were largely helpless in the past. Sanctions no long work, war by conventional means is now a lost cause, and America has never been good at diplomacy. So what's left?
Here's where I get concerned... Cornered/wounded animal etc. The Americans, the fascists that they are, will drag the rest of the world down with them if they can't be the hegemons. This is where my mind drifts toward false flags, biowafare, etc. We should be very careful.
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