The last variant to receive an informal nickname was BA.2.86 "Pirola" nearly two years ago, back in August 2023. Since then, it has been a prolonged "variant soup" phase, with descendants of BA.2.86 arising, gaining prominence, and then falling in frequency.
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A prolonged variant soup phase involving the Pirola clan does not mean there was no within-host evolution occurring. It just meant that nothing had gotten back into the general population that could compete with the many, many descendants of BA.2.86.
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BC was where the NDP did best last election, and this time it went Lib and Con.
So, we essentially traded a Liberal minority with progressive parties being very influential to a Liberal minority with a huge Conservative opposition and minimal progressive representation.
The fact that 41.4% voted Con (vs. 43.5% Lib) isn't a good sign either.
Yes, I'm relieved that it's not Poilievre as PM and I'm glad he lost his seat. But beyond that, we're not in a very good place overall. The major rightward shift isn't going to be good, especially when the Liberals eventually lose to the Conservatives.
It's very important to be clear about what is happening in the Canadian election and how progressives need to approach it. π§΅
The LPC surge toward a majority is due primarily to a collapse of support for the NDP and Bloc, and much less so a drop in support for the CPC.
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This means that the Libs are mostly picking up progressive voters who are planning to vote strategically to stop the Cons. They are not picking up huge numbers of "moderate conservatives".
Cons support is generally committed but Libs support isn't.
Thoughts on pandemics, inclusion, annexation, Indigenous issues, climate, genocide, and more and the connections I see among them. I fully acknowledge that I am writing this from a position of substantial intersectional privilege.
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I really hoped that the (ongoing) SARS-CoV-2 pandemic would inspire us to make meaningful, positive changes in society. Indeed, early on it seemed like privileged people finally understood what it was like to lack access to things we otherwise take for granted.
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Sadly, but perhaps predictably, we instead rushed back to the status quo as quickly as we could. If anything, things are worse now in terms of public health, accessibility and inclusion, and global health equity. Infectious disease has been actively normalized.
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I'm sure infectious disease minimizers are attributing the record-shattering surge of severe flu this year to "immunity debt". Let's think this through, shall we?
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1. Serious mitigations ended more than 4 years ago. Why would immunity debt only kick in now? And why wasn't 4 flu seasons without mitigations enough to repay whatever "debt" there was?
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