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Robert Walker BSc, fact checker for scared people Profile picture
@DoomsdayDebunks
Jul 8 • 14 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
If worried about project 2025:

BLOG: Far right Republican Project 2025 is mostly an illegal fantasy - most of it can’t be done at all - “Schedule F” would face legal challenges and likely be struck down
CLICK HERE TO READ:

Screenshot of first page. doomsdaydebunked.miraheze.org/wiki/Far_right…
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2/ This is impossible. I 'll do a new post when I get time. Most things require new laws and they can't get a far right majority in either house. Schedule F is the main executive decision option. If he tries again it is likely shot down as illegal. Meanwhile short thread.
3/ for LGBT things remember that the vast majority in both houses supported the respect for marriage act. So it is not possible for Congress to pass laws that remove the right for marriage for gay people never mind harsher restrictions.

doomsdaydebunked.miraheze.org/wiki/Far_right…


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4/ He can't take control of the military to do illegal things because the military oath is to protect the constitution and only obey the president for legal orders. doomsdaydebunked.miraheze.org/wiki/Far_right…
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5/ The judiciary often rule against Trump, the worst Supreme court record of any president at least since 1937. See:

They refused to even look at his election fraud cases. doomsdaydebunked.miraheze.org/wiki/Far_right…
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6/ The attorney general is only a prosecutor / advisor and has no authority to stop Federal cases taken out by others. The Attorney general can't edit the US legal code or the US constitution. He can't stop challenges to executive orders.

See: doomsdaydebunked.miraheze.org/wiki/Far_right…
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7/ though the president does have pardon power if he misused it e.g. to order his executive to do illegal acts en masse or to empower a fascist paramilitary, and pardon them all, he'd be impeached by moderate Republicans.
See: doomsdaydebunked.miraheze.org/wiki/Far_right…
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8/ Trump's team has distanced itself from Project 2025. But its Agenda 47 is just as fanciful though different.
It's based on transcripts of campaign speeches.
He has no idea it would send us back to quack doctors and accidental arsenic in sugar.
doomsdaydebunked.miraheze.org/wiki/Far_right…



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9/ His aim is to tell the FDA to ignore some statements, e.g. that vaccines they know are safe are unsafe, and to permit claims that Ivermectin can cure COVID when their evidence says it can't.

But removing that power totally means they can no longer regulate food and medicine.
10/ So what we have in Project 2025 (NOT TRUMP'S IDEAS) and in Agenda 47 (TRUMP'S OWN CAMPAIGN SPEACHES) is not any kind of a real plan or manifesto as both are legaly absurd. We need to wait for the published Republican manifesto.
For more on all this:

BLOG: Far right Republican Project 2025 is mostly an illegal fantasy - most of it can’t be done at all - “Schedule F” would face legal challenges and likely be struck down
CLICK HERE TO READ: doomsdaydebunked.miraheze.org/wiki/Far_right…
I can add other things to this thread if you have specific worries about project 2025 not mentioned yet.
@threadreaderapp unroll - to put this all on one page for sharing
@threadreaderapp @threadreaderapp unroll

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More from @DoomsdayDebunks

Robert Walker BSc, fact checker for scared people Profile picture
Jun 15
1/n Yes we ARE headed for 1.7°C if countries keep to announced pledges
- most make realistic pledges and achieve or overachieve
- 77% of IPCC authors CAN be wrong if it is the remaining 23% who study how countries translate pledges into action

See BLOG: robertinventor.substack.com/p/yes-we-are-h…
TEXT ON GRAPHIC As technology improves we expect it to be EASIER to achieve these pledges and improve on them. APS [Announced Pledges Scenario] Most of these pledges are - economically feasible - from countries that historically equal or exceed pledges. The 1.7°C scenario assumes countries achieve their announced pledges. Why do so many say 1.7°C is impossible? It can't be, by definition. Highlighted text: "In the Announced Pledges Scenario (APS), the temperature rise in 2100 is 1.7 °C" This graphic is from the latest IEA repor...
2/ About why climate scientists often are so pessimistic about action on climate change.
- hardly any study the economic models
- IPCC / AR6 had a cut off date just before the COP26 net zero pledges
- so couldn't evaluate the feasibility of India / China's net zero plans. Text on graphic: IPCC / AR6 cut-off date was before the net zero pledges of India and China. More important figure : 23% of climate scientists expect a rise of 2 C or less Less than 10% of IPCC scientists study the economics of climate change and Integrated Assessment Models use older simpler economic methods
3/ The big IPBES report in 2019 was the only recent major study with a large element of social scientists and it was the most optimistic, saying we can achieve this transformative change, not just scientifically - that it is economically and socially feasible. Transformative change maximizes good quality of life with GROWTH, material, non material and economic - IPCC and IPBES Increasingly we are following this path makes sense [Scroll down page to see second copy of this graphic for the rest of the text] Graphic from page 33 of the appendix to chapter 4 of the IPBES report in 2019 https://ipbes.net/sites/default/files/2021-01/GA_chapter_4_supplementary_materials.pdf
Read 25 tweets
Robert Walker BSc, fact checker for scared people Profile picture
Oct 3, 2022
@GerogeBush6 @mikestabile 1/ This is an inaccurate summary. It is about exceptions to the law not overturning it. There are many exceptions already itif.org/publications/2…
This case is specifically about how YouTube recommends videos to users (continues)
@GerogeBush6 @mikestabile 2/n The case is about whether Google is liable if its algorithm recommends illegal content to users. It is NOT liable for hosting user generated illegal content - that's established. Video summary.
c-span.org/video/?c503199…
@GerogeBush6 @mikestabile This is the basic argument for the defendant

news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/hi… Image
Read 11 tweets
Robert Walker BSc, fact checker for scared people Profile picture
Oct 3, 2022
1/4 Many people are misreading what Putin said in his annexation speech. He did NOT say Hiroshima and Nagasaki create a precedent for the world to use nukes today

- that would be a very radical
- that would reverse all Russian nuclear policy for decades.
2/4 It is very clear in context that Putin said
- the Allied carpet bombing in WW2 in Dresden, Hamburg and Cologne
- set a precedent for the use of the nuclear bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

They clip the video just before the second paragraph which makes that clear.
3/4 I go into it in my blog post using the official English translation of Putins' speech as published by the Kremlin.

I look at two other ways to intepret those two sentences, neither makes sense in the context of the paragraph that follows.
Read 6 tweets
Robert Walker BSc, fact checker for scared people Profile picture
Oct 1, 2022
Putin speech misleadingly clipped
- said nukes against civilians are BAD
- did NOT say bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki are a precedent for Russia to follow
- said US / UK used carpet bombing in Germany as a precedent
- for nuclear bombs in Japan
debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/Putin-speech-m… ImageImage
I don't speak Russian. But this is based on the official Kremlin translation into English. That section of the speech is always clipped just before the next bit which makes it clear he is talking about USA using carpet bombing in Germany as a precedent for nuclear bombs in Japan.
There is one other reading, I've now set them out with headings as the natural reading and two alternative forced and unnatural readings in the context of the rest of the speech.
See my debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/Putin-speech-m… ImageImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Robert Walker BSc, fact checker for scared people Profile picture
Sep 21, 2022
Reminder you can't use a nuke to win wars. Image
For Putin to try to use a nuke to stop Ukraine from doing its counteroffensive is like trying to use a cannon ball to stop midges that are already biting you. debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/Russia-can-t-w… Image
Russia's tactical nukes likely can be dialed down very small like the US ones. If a 1 kiloton tactical nuke was detonated at one end of an airport runway you'd not even get sick at the other end if the small radioactive cloud blew another way or you got inside within 15 minutes Image
Read 12 tweets
Robert Walker BSc, fact checker for scared people Profile picture
Aug 13, 2022
Short explanation of how a pandemic spreads and how you can stop it by breaking chains of transmission without stopping all the cases. First this is how it spreads. In this toy pandemic each person infects exactly 2 others. Needs to infect at least 1 other for a pandemic.
Most diseases that jump to humans stop themselves. In this toy outbreak only one person in 2 infects anyone else and infects exactly one other. Starting with 4 infected, after 2 steps they infect 7 and that's the outbreak over.
That is how New Zealand, Taiwan, China and others were able to stop their local outbreaks of COVID in 2020. We had another chance of stopping COVID when Pfizer was developed- and had 95% efficacy at stopping even symptomatic disease, sterilizing immunity.
Read 10 tweets

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