🧵The main thing Americans do not understand/appreciate about presidential elections is that you are not voting for a person, you are voting for an *administration* -- cabinet members, appointees, military leaders, advisers & analysts, the whole civil service, etc. etc.
You're voting for an executive branch -- that's an *enormous* organization. The president himself makes only a tiny fraction of the decisions in the day-to-day management of that org. It's a whole apparatus, vastly larger than one individual.
Yet people instinctively think -- and the media reinforces this misperception at every term -- that the president, this one person, is "in charge" of the US & responsible for everything that happens, that their unique personal capabilities determine the country's fate.
The fact is, a Harris admin, or a Whitmer or Buttegieg or Polis admin, or a second Biden admin ... wouldn't be that different. The team, the personnel, the apparatus, the principles & goals would largely be the same. Not identical, of course, but clustered in the same ballpark.
And of course the differences between any two of those absolutely *pale* relative to the difference between any of them and a Trump admin. Trump is not just Trump: he's a cabinet, a military, an FBI, a Justice Dept., etc. He's a whole different government w/ different goals.
The differences between the *administrations* are vastly larger & more significant than the differences among the individuals running. It's the teams that matter, the whole package, the whole worldview.
The political media does nothing to educate voters about this -- on the contrary, at every opportunity they *reinforce* this confusion. They frame the election as a choice of who you want to hang out with, get a f'ing beer with, hear talk on your TV. Who has better vibes.
If you want a white Christian patriarchal autocracy, you should vote for Trump *even if you think he's a sundowning conman*. His personal qualities just don't matter that much relative to the enormous difference between his admin & any Dem admin.
This is, in fact, the calculation many Trump supporters, especially among elites, are making. I'm sure they'd prefer someone who isn't a disregulated, narcissistic rapist with zero knowledge of how govt works. But they'll happily take that if they get their tax cuts/gay bashing.
They realize that they're not voting for a buddy or a cheerleader, they're voting for an *administration*. They're voting for all the Heritage drones who are going to be put in charge of various subdepartments. They're voting for the whole apparatus, flawed figurehead aside.
In that (and perhaps that alone) they are sensible. Trump does suck but his personal suckiness just isn't that significant relative to the gargantuan changes he (& the RW team) would bring to US govt.
The same calculus ought to guide all voters. Yeah, I don't think it's great that Biden is declining or that he only has 4-6 hours a day of lucidity. All things being equal I wish he'd step aside, if only because the press is never ever going to let this go.
But the differences between Biden & Harris (or Generic Democrat) are absolutely dwarfed by the differences between either admin & a Trump admin. There is no rational thought process that goes "eh, Biden seems kinda frail, let's bring in christofascism."
A voter who views this as a close call, who is making a decision based on which personal characteristics they prefer, is, almost by definition, deeply misinformed about the stakes. A media with *any* sense of public service would seek to educate & inform that voter.
Instead we have this pathetic media, which is behaving in a way indistinguishable from an organized mass effort to *further endumben* voters, to amplify & reinforce every bit of voter ignorance, every midsguided voter bias.
I don't have any pithy way to wrap this up. I guess I'd just say, in an ideal world with fully informed voters, *zero* people would be making their decision in this election based on Biden's performance on some cognitive test. The fact that the entire election ...
... has come to be centered on this one thing is yet another sign of deep political & social dysfunction.
We're deciding between fascism & multiracial democracy. Fucking focus!
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"Japan’s meteorological agency has issued a heatstroke alert for 26 of the country’s 47 prefectures, urging people not to go outside unless absolutely necessary, to use their air conditioners during the day and at night, and to drink plenty of water."
I haven't written much about politics since the debate, mainly because I'm so overwhelmed by disgust & contempt toward this country's media & commentariat that it has rendered me inarticulate with rage. Twitter probably doesn't need more rage. I do just wanna make one point tho.
To be clear up front: I don't give one tiny hot fuck who the Dem nominee is. I truly don't. Biden's fine. Harris is fine. A warm puddle of vomit is fine. *There is no conceivable resolution to the nomination fight that could change the basic calculus of this race.*
Preventing a fascist takeover of the US is my top priority--as a journalist, as a voter, as a human. If it isn't yours too, you should feel bad about yourself. If you haven't made the stakes of this election clear to everyone within the sound of your voice, you should feel bad.
Now, there are, of course, many in the MAGA base who will simply refuse to believe official statistics. ("You get to believe whatever you feel" is one of the benefits of membership.) But official statistics still carry weight with most media & most people. In other words ...
... the question of whether crime is down can -- perhaps not to the extent we'd like, but still to a substantial extent -- *be settled*. There's something approximating an official, objective answer. There's a fact of the matter.
To me one thing that the Hochul congestion-pricing fiasco illustrates is the importance of epistemic circles. She is practically drowning in empirical evidence and modeling, rigorous work done over years & years by professionals, but in the end ...
... what really *reached & moved* her was the testimony of the people around her. All that objective evidence ultimately could not overcome vibes. The people she hangs out with, the people she talks to, don't like it, and that's what mattered.
You can say -- as I do! -- that this is a dereliction of her duty, a total failure to approach the issue in a rigorous way. She deserves plenty of condemnation & contempt for the ridiculous way she made this decision. Nonetheless ...
Y'all, I just got back from a car dealership. Holy shit. I thought, "maybe my stereotypes are outdated, maybe it's not so bad any more."
It's ... so much worse. I couldn't believe it. I have to rant a bit.
We're thinking about leasing a RAV4 Prime -- the PHEV. We thought we should at least test drive one. Dealer didn't have a Prime, but they had a normal hybrid, fine. But of course, after the test drive, they drag us inside to talk about leasing.
I'm not exaggerating when I say that the guy we were forced to talk to knew *nothing*. "What's the difference between the trims?" "I don't know, let me go check." (He's gone for 10 minutes, during which time we look up the difference in trims online and read all about them.)
I spent considerable time trying to get through to McKay about what an extraordinary achievement IRA is in light of the constraints Dems faced. In the moment, I managed to get to some begrudging acknowledgment. See the pod: volts.wtf/p/talking-thro…
Ultimately, though, McKay--like many, many others--is more invested in maintaining his carefully constructed political identity than he is in adjusting to new information. He's a Radical calling out The System. That's the role he's going to act out no matter the circumstances.
It's disappointing, but it's disappointing in exactly the way that virtually every public commentator has been disappointing in our era: they stick with their identities, their narratives, no matter what happens in the actual world. (And of course social media helps them.)