I have seen people panic these past few weeks that I'd never thought I'd see panic. Same with despair. Then, when I saw someone panic or despair who I would never have expected panic or despair, I started to panic & despair. Then you would too. We fed off of each other.
Even those of us who could see the vicious cycle felt compelled to return again and again and again. Each one of us was affected by someone we know & respect showing panic & despair. I've never been in the middle of a psycho-social whirlwind like that one.
I have insomnia. Last night was particularly terrible. I lay awake for hours, thinking of our shared afflictions & how to possibly confront them. I wondered, as I often do, if I am projecting my own traumatized mind upon the world, or if I am, in fact, correct in seeing trauma all around me
I think we are suffering from what feels like a total lack of agency; our shared reality ever-more fragile. We can see the truth of what is coming so clearly, but the media seems increasingly hostile to reporting on it. So we lash out at what we feel we can control: each other.
Before I slept last night, I thought of the various people who have stood w/ Joe Biden these past few weeks & I arrived upon something: this psychosocial whirlwind almost has the character of long-term trauma survivors trying to teach newly traumatized people how to survive.
There's a reason the CBC has stood with Biden. There's a reason Democratic Black Twitter has stood with Biden. Maybe we should take our advice on how to fight from those who know how to fight.
I, myself, am a trauma survivor of gender-based violence. You do not survive trauma by giving into the chaos that lives between the spaces of your numbness & raging emotion. Rather, you build bonds w/ others & you reach shared truth through these bonds.
So much shared truth has been shredded these past years by Trump & the Republicans. I have no illusions about the GOP of the past, but these monsters politicized a virus; politicized spaces in American life--airports, doctors' offices--that had previously not been political.
Through all of this trauma, though, Dems ~largely~/~loosely~ had each others' backs. We still had our shared truths. Then I/P happened. We started tearing into each other. I begged people to be more tolerant of disagreement. To notice the exploitation of our divisions.
The past few weeks have, somehow, been even worse. Everyone gripped by fear in a world where agency seems a cruel myth. We already felt an increasing inability to influence others so we tried to influence each other &, when that failed, we despaired. Our shared truth gone.
This is how fascism wins. By conquering a weak, infighting, despairing opposition. Thru cyncism & doomerism. Thru the shattering of coalitions. It's time to reject this. It's time to be, as VP Harris has put it: Joyful Warriors. Time to listen to the people who know how to fight.
This morning, I watched Joe Biden & the people of Michigan & I felt strong again. Calm again. Then I saw this tweet & I didn't rage or despair. I just said the truth: the tweet is empirically stupid.
Every single American election in our modern era is winneable by EITHER the Republican or the Democratic party until the day we vote. We live in a hyperpolarized time. It's about turning out your own voters & persuading enough others to eke out one more % point than the other guy
If someone comes on this platform & says an American election is unwinnable by EITHER party 4 months out, they do not know what they are talking about. They're not worth our anger. They don't understand electoral numbers. They don't understand history. They understand nothing
How can you look at the margins of '00, '04, '12, '16, & '20 & declare a US election "unwinnable?" How can you look at partisan distribution & declare an American election "unwinnable?" How can you look at all the electoral data from post-Dobbs & say ANYTHING is unwinnable?
People who say this kind of thing do not understand American elections. So let's stop engaging w/ them. Let's find our shared truth & our strength in each other. Block the doomers. Block the cynics. Block the knowier-more-than-thous.
Stop spreading panic & despair. Start spreading strength. That's how you win American elections in a hyperpolarized time. With your vibes. With your confidence. With your strength & your clarity. Be that crown in MI. "Do not quit."
Hi, folks, I have some good news. It's based somewhat in anecdote, but I am confident in my anecdotal experience reflecting reality. The Biden campaign & others want the focus to turn to Project2025. The good news is: It's working. This is from the past week:
Social media is not reality, but what we talk about in social media is what drives narratives. There is much to learn about the fact that Israel/Gaza consumed all of our energy for 9 months & now is a "non-story." We stopped talking about it when we panicked about the debate.
The media only seems to talk about Democrats' problems. Part of that is that the media is biased & is desperately seeking false equivalency in the face of fascism. Part of it is that all of our social media energy is poured into debating w/ each other. That drives the narrative.
I feel like people aren't getting this &, personally, I think it's the most critical calculation about "winning" that we need to be having. Let's put aside our emotions for a minute; our loyalties, etc. Let's consider what we "know" vs. what we "don't know."🧵
We know what Biden's floor is. We know what it is after many years of elections & his presidency. Critically, we know what the floor looks like after a bad debate performance & an onslaught of negative media. Biden is at his weakest moment right now. He is still tied w/ Trump.
If polls had shifted significantly & had continued to shift post-debate, we'd be in different territory. But that's not what we're seeing. Rather, we are seeing that the most biased, relentlessly negative media coverage can be thrown at the man & is still tied w/ Trump.
Hi. I am about to swear. I apologize for this. I don't think it's particularly becoming. I also think there is no way to convey my thoughts without swearing, perhaps to a great extent.
Democrats: Get Your Fucking Shit Together.
The truth about why we lost 2016 was not a Trumpian revolution. It's because we looked weak. We made ourselves weak. We made HRC look weak. What y'all are doing right now makes this weak-ass shit from 2016 look like fucking pudding. You Are Weakening Us.
There has been *at most* a 2-point shift in the polls since the debate. A 2-point shift. And instead of trying to counter that shift with a unified effort, you are all making us look fucking weak. You are making us look weaker than we did in 2016. This is fucking stupid.
I will put this plainly, w/o hyperbole: If the U.S. leaves NATO, we will be looking down the barrell at a level of European warfare we haven't seen since WWII. Putin will invade more countries. Europe, for the 1st time in 80 years, will go it alone, w/o the U.S.
Look at a map. Consider a captured Ukraine, which is very possible if Trump wins. Romania, Moldova, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, & Poland have all said they are prepared for greater warfare. France, Germany, & Britain are preparing to defend them.
From this year:
-"Russia preparing for military confrontation with West, says Estonia"
-"Latvia prepares for Russian aggression amid concern war will spread beyond Ukraine"
-"We need to be ready for war with Putin, Romania’s top general says"
French leftists were not instructed to vote for "a better life." They were instead instructed to join forces w/ the Center to avoid "the worst possible outcome." American leftists could take a real lesson from this, but instead they're making up an alternative reality.
Trust me. I'm inspired by the French today, just as I have been inspired by the French in '02 & '15 & many other years. But what is inspirational about the French then & the French now is their formation of coalitional strength, despite deep antipathy, in order to oppose fascism.
What's history-making about this election is that the traditional conservatives had less of a role in the fight against fascism than they used to. The far-left took on a greater roll than they did in 2017, which is to their great credit.
-First 20 mins made me panic
-I recovered, as Biden did
-After watching w/ partner, who is not a partisan Dem or news-junkie like me, felt grumpy, but ok, Thursday night
-Partner was like, "Are you kidding me? Trump sucked!"
-Next day, Democrats + the press made me feel awful
I really did think the first 20 minutes were bad. I really did think Biden recovered. I did worry about "perception." Everything that has made me feel increasingly sick since has been b/c the people around me created it. Biden has also done well since then.
I've been saying this since Friday/Saturday. This is a self-fulfilling prophecy. People have made this happen' it didn't need to happen. Everyone who wasn't exposed thought the debate went fine/shaky-but-fine. People were focussed on one candidate.