NEW STUDY: Trans identification has surged in young adults, driven by natal females; increase is greater in whites.
From 2014-2022, trans identification:
▶️Nearly quintupled in 18-24 year olds
▶️Quadrupled in 25-34 y/os
▶️Stayed flat or declined in those age 35+
▶️By 2022, 2.78% of 18-24 year-old adults identified as trans, up from 0.59% in 2014.
▶️The increase was driven by those identifying as trans men or gender non-conforming; identification as a trans woman did not change significantly among young adults and declined significantly among all adults.
▶️The increase in identifying as trans was larger among White individuals than among Black or Hispanic individuals.
In a new essay posted on the Yale Law website, researchers in the pediatric gender medicine space such as @Jack_Turban lambasted the Cass Review for saying that trans identification has "increased exponentially." But this new study finds what looks like exponential growth when trans identification is broken down by birth year: link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Trans identification nearly quintupled among 18 to 24 year olds and quadrupled among 24 to 34 year olds from 2014 to 2022: link.springer.com/article/10.100…
A breakdown in the types of trans identification in 18 to 24 year olds from 2014 to 2022:
Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by racial/ethnic identity, 2014–2022:
Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by residence in a Democrat-leaning or Republican- leaning state, 2014–2022:
As one person commented, @Jack_Turban has argued that trans identification has recently decreased in adolescents.
@jack_turban The findings in the new study are likely to be fairly accurate, since they are based on nationally representative data and an enormous data set. link.springer.com/article/10.100…
I posted the wrong graph earlier in the thread with this one:
Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by residence in a Democrat-leaning or Republican- leaning state, 2014–2022:
This study raises questions:
▶️Why has trans identification surged in young adults but not in middle-aged or older adults?
▶️Why has trans identification surged in natal females but not in natal males?
▶️Why has trans identification risen more in whites?
What do you think?
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Activist-blogger Erin Reed has published a guest article:
"Washington Post Editorial Board Misleadingly Attacks Care Of Trans Youth"
In, fact, many of the claims in this essay challenging WaPo are themselves misleading.
I will go through them in this 🧵⬇️
"It selectively cites three European reviews critical of gender-affirming care, while ignoring the consensus of leading medical organizations—including the American Academy of Pediatrics, the American Psychological Association, the American Medical Association, the Endocrine Society, and the World Professional Association for Transgender Health—all of which support such care."
▶️While WaPo hyperlinks to three European reviews, there have, in fact, been a half-dozen systematic literature reviews of pediatric gender-transition treatment. All of them have found the evidence backing such interventions weak and inconclusive.
▶️This has lead the health authorities in the UK and four Scandinavian nations to reclassify such treatment as experimental, and to sharply restrict access, in some cases to research settings only.
▶️The Cass Review found that WPATH and the US medical societies that endorse such interventions have engaged in "circularity," which is a more polite term for "citation laundering." WPATH made claims that were not supported by strong evidence in its 2013 Standards of Care 7. Then other US medical societies referred to those claims. And then it its SoC 8 in 2022, WPATH referred to those other societies, not mentioning that the claim they were referring to originated with WPATH. The near unanimity in these organizations is in part a product of the same people cross-pollinating their ideas from one organization to the next.
*Hilary Cass was chosen not in spite of her lack of experience in pediatric gender medicine, but because of it. Ideally, people assessing the strength of evidence in a field will not have financial or intellectual conflicts of interest, as did every single author of WPATH's SoC8.
*A couple of dozen members of the BMA moved to denounce and scrutinize the Cass Review this summer. But after an internal outcry and a letter of protest signed by over 1,000 members, the BMA backpedaled and now has a neutral posture as it conducts its review of the Cass Review.
*Despite the fact that the Yale Law School put up the white paper criticizing Cass on its website, claiming it is the product of experts at Yale is a stretch. There is a Yale Law author, and otherwise Meredith McNamara is the lead author. Speaking of people who have no experience with pediatric gender medicine: she is such a person. Under pressure in a deposition in a Alabama civil case, she admitted that in her entire career as a pediatrician, she has only ever referred two patients to a pediatric gender clinic and has never prescribed pediatric gender-transition treatment. And yet she presents herself in myriad forums as a leading expert on this medical care.
In the wake of the detransitioner lawsuit against them, Children’s Hospital Los Angeles has released the following statement, as quoted in WSJ and many other outlets. This statement is highly misleading. The clinic didn’t start giving blockers and hormones to minors with gender dysphoria until 2008 or 2009, according to what I can ascertain. Boston Children’s was the first to do so in the U.S., and their operation began in 2007. So the statement from CHLA effectively doubles the amount of time that they have been engaging in the medical practices that the lawsuit concerns.
It is important for reporters to seek to verify claims made by the subjects of lawsuits. The claim about caring for such kids for 30 years would’ve been pretty easy to fact check.
Several things about Michael Hobbes' false suggestion that my reporting fell apart upon closer inspection:
1) Amy Tishelman was not a whistleblower. She characterized Boston Children's practices as part of a civil trial focused on other things. She filed a lawsuit claiming discrimination and was fired and sued and won her retaliation claim. She did not quit and then go to a higher authority to report the clinic's practices. Instead, she, like Boston Children's, kept them secret.
2) As Tishelman told the Globe, she was not concerned so much about the type of child that the Globe article primarily described: a child with longstanding gender dysphoria that started young. These children were intimately involved with the gender clinic, GeMS, for many years before it came time to assess them for a medical transition.
What Tishelman was concerned about was the type of minor who is now the prototype for those presenting at gender clinics: those who only first express gender dysphoria in adolescence. If these kids show up at the clinic, they will possibly seek medicalization immediately. And all they will get is a single two-hour assessment with a psychologist before being referred to endocrinology.
3) Nothing about the second Globe story contradicted my reporting or the previous Globe reporting. The article frankly blurred the lines between the different prototypes of gender dysphoric children to lend readers the impression that all kids under the Boston Children's system are going to get slow, ongoing care with no rushed decisions.
4) The fact remains that it is Boston Children's policy, and has been since 2018, that if a minor walks in the door and has already started puberty and is looking for transition medications, they will be provided only a single two-hour assessment appointment with a psychologist before being referred to endocrinology.
I stand by my reporting:
Michael Hobbes Is Wrong About Whether Kids Are Being Rushed Onto Gender-Transition Drugs
I juxtapose clips of debunking podcaster Michael Hobbes insisting there's no evidence kids are being rushed onto gender-transition drugs with testimony proving Boston Children's is doing just that.benryan.substack.com/p/michael-hobb…
I published my first article about pediatric gender medicine a year ago today.
Here is a 🧵of my reporting on the subject over the past 12 months:
Lawsuits by Regretful ‘Detransitioners’ Take Aim at Medical Establishment’s Support for Gender-Transition Treatments for Minors nysun.com/article/lawsui…
Sued Over Policies on Transgender Children, American Academy of Pediatrics Pulls Forthcoming Book, Takes Steps To Protect Emails From Prying Eyes nysun.com/article/sued-o…
BREAKING: Detransitioner Sues Johanna Olson-Kennedy, a Top Pediatric Gender Medicine Doctor, For Medical Negligence
🧵⬇️⬇️I report: Dr. Olson-Kennedy is the most prominent doctor yet to be sued by a detransitioner—for medical negligence after overseeing a mentally ill girl's gender-transition starting at 12 and mastectomy at 14. She recommended a hysterectomy at 17.
LINK: Detransitioner Sues Johanna Olson-Kennedy, a Top Pediatric Gender Medicine Doctor, For Medical Negligence
🧵 The plaintiff suing Johanna Olson-Kennedy reports having suffered from severe, worsening mental illness while Dr. Olson-Kennedy oversaw her gender-transition treatment, including a double mastectomy at age 14. Now a college student, she recently detransitioned. benryan.substack.com/publish/posts/…