Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
Jul 13, 2024 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
NEW STUDY: Trans identification has surged in young adults, driven by natal females; increase is greater in whites.
From 2014-2022, trans identification:
▶️Nearly quintupled in 18-24 year olds
▶️Quadrupled in 25-34 y/os
▶️Stayed flat or declined in those age 35+
▶️By 2022, 2.78% of 18-24 year-old adults identified as trans, up from 0.59% in 2014.
▶️The increase was driven by those identifying as trans men or gender non-conforming; identification as a trans woman did not change significantly among young adults and declined significantly among all adults.
▶️The increase in identifying as trans was larger among White individuals than among Black or Hispanic individuals.

The study is based on nationally representative data
link.springer.com/article/10.100…Image
In a new essay posted on the Yale Law website, researchers in the pediatric gender medicine space such as @Jack_Turban lambasted the Cass Review for saying that trans identification has "increased exponentially." But this new study finds what looks like exponential growth when trans identification is broken down by birth year:
link.springer.com/article/10.100…Image
Trans identification nearly quintupled among 18 to 24 year olds and quadrupled among 24 to 34 year olds from 2014 to 2022:
link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Image
A breakdown in the types of trans identification in 18 to 24 year olds from 2014 to 2022: Image
Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by racial/ethnic identity, 2014–2022: Image
Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by residence in a Democrat-leaning or Republican- leaning state, 2014–2022: Image
As one person commented, @Jack_Turban has argued that trans identification has recently decreased in adolescents. Image
@jack_turban The findings in the new study are likely to be fairly accurate, since they are based on nationally representative data and an enormous data set. link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Image
I posted the wrong graph earlier in the thread with this one:

Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by residence in a Democrat-leaning or Republican- leaning state, 2014–2022: Image
This study raises questions:
▶️Why has trans identification surged in young adults but not in middle-aged or older adults?
▶️Why has trans identification surged in natal females but not in natal males?
▶️Why has trans identification risen more in whites?

What do you think?

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More from @benryanwriter

Mar 26
Is the AMA Telling the Truth About Their Expressed Positions on Youth Gender Surgeries?

The American Medical Association to the @StrackHaley at the National Review @NRO on Feb. 3: "[T]he AMA agrees with ASPS that surgical interventions in minors should be generally deferred to adulthood."

The @AmerMedicalAssn today: "We responded" to questions about the American Society of Plastic Surgeon's opposition to pediatric gender-transition surgeries "only after being contacted by media outlets, using the language approved by the board. While some media coverage characterized this as agreement with the ASPS statement, that phrasing did not come from the AMA."
The AMA today: Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 17
Meghan Wachspress, who accused Illinois congressional candidate Daniel Biss of an "inappropriate relationship" after he, at 26, was her math prof and she, 20, was his student and the 2 dated for a while and made out in '04, wrote on Substack in 2025 that MeToo didn't go far enough.

"In an alternate universe the experiences encompassed by #metoo could have expanded outward to include other kinds of workplace interactions and structural inequalities that minimized or objectified women in the Kantian sense (making them men’s tools), costing women status, money, and time compared to their male colleagues," she wrote.
substack.com/home/post/p-16…Image
Wachspress did a stint on Jeopardy.

jeopardyhistory.fandom.com/wiki/Megan_Wac…
Read 4 tweets
Mar 3
IN DEFENSE OF EFFEMINATE GAY BOYS

If anyone had suggested that I might really be a girl, I don’t know how I would have responded, by @BenAppel for @TheAtlantic.

GIFT LINK: theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/03/…Image
Similarly, @chadfelixg wrote:

thefederalist.com/2020/02/24/if-…
@chadfelixg Harvard Law School clinical instructor and trans activist Alejandra Caraballo is unhappy about @BenAppel’s article in @TheAtlantic, calling it the “‘they're transing the gays’ conspiracy theory.” Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 24
"The science doesn’t seem so settled after all, and it’s important to understand what happened here. The approach of left-of-center Americans and our institutions — to assume that when a scientific organization releases a 'policy statement' on a hot-button issue, that the policy statement must be accurate — is a deeply naïve understanding of science, human nature and politics, and how they intersect," writes @JesseSingal for @NYTOpinion.

GIFT LINK: nytimes.com/2026/02/24/opi…Image
For @NYTOpinion, @JesseSingal writes:

The A.P.A. presents a particularly striking case of why transparency is important. In 2024, it published what it touted as a “groundbreaking policy supporting transgender, gender diverse, nonbinary individuals” that was specifically geared at fighting “misinformation” on that subject. But when I reached out to the group this month, it pointed me to a different document, a letterwritten by the group’s chief advocacy officer, Katherine McGuire, in September in response to a Federal Trade Commission request for comment on youth gender medicine.

The documents, separated by about a year and a half (and, perhaps as significantly, one presidential election), straightforwardly contradict each other. The A.P.A. in 2024 argued that there is a “comprehensive body of psychological and medical research supporting the positive impact of gender-affirming treatments” for individuals “across the life span.” But in 2025, the group argued that “psychologists do not make broad claims about treatment effectiveness.”

In 2024, the A.P.A. criticized those “mischaracterizing gender dysphoria as a manifestation of traumatic stress or neurodivergence.” In 2025, it cautioned that gender dysphoria diagnoses could be the result of “trauma-related presentations” rather than a trans identity, and noted that “co-occurring mental health or neurodevelopmental conditions (e.g., depression, anxiety, autism spectrum disorder) … may complicate or be mistaken for gender dysphoria.” It seems undeniable that the 2025 A.P.A. published what the 2024 A.P. A considered to be “misinformation.” (“The 2024 policy statement and the 2025 F.T.C. letter are consistent,” said Ms. McGuire in an email, and “both documents reflect A.P.A.’s consistent commitment to evidence-based psychological care.”)Image
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@nytopinion @jessesingal Jesse Singal on youth gender medicine in @NYTOpinion: “I’ve been covering this controversy for about a decade from a left-of-center perspective, and I’ve found that anyone who questions these treatments, even mildly, is invariably accused of bigotry.”

Bluesky: “YOU TRANSPHOBE!! Image
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Read 9 tweets
Feb 23
NEWS: Mt. Sinai, the sprawling hospital system, has joined NYU Langone in shuttering its pediatric gender clinic in the face of threats from the Trump administration of cutting off its Medicaid funding.

NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani @ZohranKMamdani @NYCMayor pledged in his campaign to spend $65M in city funds on gender-transition treatment to evade pressures from the Trump administration to cut off such access. But since NYU announced it would no longer provide gender-transition drugs or surgeries to minors, the mayor has been mum on the potential for spending public funds on these interventions.Image
The blue-state pediatric gender clinic closures started with Children's Hospital Los Angeles last July and have continued steadily since then. benryan.substack.com/p/dr-johanna-o…Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 19
Taylor Lorenz Plagiarism Scandal Erupts

YouTube sleuths found: @TaylorLorenz apparently copied substantial portions of a TechDirt article about Joseph Gordon-Levitt @hitRECordJoe and Section 230.

Lorenz appeared to pass off the article's text as if it was her own script.🧵⬇️Image
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Go to 4:22 in this video to see the part where the YouTube hosts assert that @TaylorLorenz has plagiarized her narration from a TechDirt article about Joseph Gordon-Levitt @hitRECordJoe and Section 230:
youtube.com/live/JXI9uRwfG…
Here is @TaylorLorenz's video in which Lorenz appears to have lifted much of her script from a TechDirt article. Go to 9:34:
youtube.com/watch?v=b0RRxR…
Cross reference with this article: techdirt.com/2026/02/12/jos… Image
Read 11 tweets

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