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Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
@benryanwriter
Jul 13, 2024 • 10 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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NEW STUDY: Trans identification has surged in young adults, driven by natal females; increase is greater in whites.
From 2014-2022, trans identification:
▶️Nearly quintupled in 18-24 year olds
▶️Quadrupled in 25-34 y/os
▶️Stayed flat or declined in those age 35+
▶️By 2022, 2.78% of 18-24 year-old adults identified as trans, up from 0.59% in 2014.
▶️The increase was driven by those identifying as trans men or gender non-conforming; identification as a trans woman did not change significantly among young adults and declined significantly among all adults.
▶️The increase in identifying as trans was larger among White individuals than among Black or Hispanic individuals.

The study is based on nationally representative data
link.springer.com/article/10.100…Image
In a new essay posted on the Yale Law website, researchers in the pediatric gender medicine space such as @Jack_Turban lambasted the Cass Review for saying that trans identification has "increased exponentially." But this new study finds what looks like exponential growth when trans identification is broken down by birth year:
link.springer.com/article/10.100…Image
Trans identification nearly quintupled among 18 to 24 year olds and quadrupled among 24 to 34 year olds from 2014 to 2022:
link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Image
A breakdown in the types of trans identification in 18 to 24 year olds from 2014 to 2022: Image
Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by racial/ethnic identity, 2014–2022: Image
Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by residence in a Democrat-leaning or Republican- leaning state, 2014–2022: Image
As one person commented, @Jack_Turban has argued that trans identification has recently decreased in adolescents. Image
@jack_turban The findings in the new study are likely to be fairly accurate, since they are based on nationally representative data and an enormous data set. link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Image
I posted the wrong graph earlier in the thread with this one:

Percent of US 18- to 24-year-olds self-identifying as transgender, by residence in a Democrat-leaning or Republican- leaning state, 2014–2022: Image
This study raises questions:
▶️Why has trans identification surged in young adults but not in middle-aged or older adults?
▶️Why has trans identification surged in natal females but not in natal males?
▶️Why has trans identification risen more in whites?

What do you think?

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More from @benryanwriter

Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
May 4
Azeen Ghorayshi and Austin Mitchell were 2026 Pulitzer Prize finalists for their podcast The Protocol about youth gender medicine. Image
A must listen: nytimes.com/2025/06/02/pod…
Like clockwork, Harvard Law School clinical instructor and trans activist Alejandra Caraballo has expressed her rage that Azeen Ghorayshi was a Pulitzer Prize finalist. Caraballo does not seem to understand that being a finalist in and of itself is a considerable honor. Image
Read 5 tweets
Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
Apr 28
Taylor Lorenz publishes effective advertorial

In @TaylorLorenz’s new Substack, she used Panagram to detect how many top Substackers are using AI to produce their articles, in an apparent effort to criticize their ethics.

Panagram sponsored Lorenz’s Substack, revealing that it is effectively an advertorial. She doesn’t make a note of this sponsorship until the very end of her article.

This comes after Lorenz was widely criticized for posting a free ad for The Bark Phone, which is parental-control software for a children’s smartphone. In the ad, Lorenz touted smartphones as good for kids because they help kids express themselves.Image
Image
Should a tech journalist such as @TaylorLorenz weave sponsorship of tech products into her reporting thanks to receiving payments from tech companies? That’s what Lorenz did here with Panagram:
usermag.co/p/how-much-of-…
@TaylorLorenz When magazines run advertorials, they typically change the layout to make abundantly clear that this is sponsored content. The disclaimer about it being sponsored content is typically at the top of the text, not buried at the very end, as Lorenz has done.
Read 7 tweets
Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
Apr 26
In Erin Reed’s chat group, people debate whether it would be better to attend this Sunday conference panel of four skeptics of pediatric gender medicine and ask pointed questions, boycott it, or disrupt it with boos. Frank Dowling, who refers to the group as “frauds”, was among the AMA members whose LGBTQ message board posts I quoted from in my reporting for @thefp about how members reacted to the organization coming out against youth gender surgeries: thefp.com/p/the-medical-…Image
Image
Image
Same guy: thefp.com/p/the-medical-…Image
Psychiatrist Frank Dowling advocates disrupting Sunday’s conference panel from the pediatric gender medicine skeptics: Image
Read 6 tweets
Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
Apr 24
Controversial Pediatric Gender Panel Draws Trans-Activist Push for Cancellation
benryan.substack.com/p/transgender-…
Trans-activist Substacker Erin Reed has prompted an uproar over a panel of skeptics of pediatric gender medicine slated for Sunday at the Pediatric Academic Societies meeting in Boston.

Transgender activists and their allies are in an uproar over an upcoming medical-conference panel concerning pediatric gender medicine that features skeptics of this field whom activists accuse of being anti-trans.

Since the prominent trans-activist Substacker Erin Reed published an article about the panel on Tuesday, conference organizers have apparently been inundated with tens of thousands of emails demanding it cancel the panel, in particular due to the panelists’ connections to a small nonprofit known as the Society for Evidence Based Gender Medicine, or @SEGM_EBM.

This burgeoning deplatforming campaign raises questions about the place that the free exercise of scientific ideas has within a medical field as peerlessly politicized as pediatric gender medicine. As transgender activists seek to shut down what they argue are toxic fringe positions akin to climate-change deniers, a relatively small but determined collection of scientific and medical experts have remained committed to publicly scrutinizing this field and defending themselves against what they say are baseless accusations that their perspectives are rooted in bigotry and animus.Image
Many of you will be surprised to learn that Erin Reed has a habit of publishing claims about her adversaries that are not firmly nestled in a bed of truth. open.substack.com/pub/benryan/p/…Image
Update:
Read 4 tweets
Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
Apr 9
About Health Nerd's take-down of the Finnish study on mental health outcomes among youth attending gender clinics
🧵👇
The study isn't perfect by any means. There are fair reasons to criticize it. But Health Nerd's central thesis falls apart upon the simplest examination.

I find it very disappointing when people leverage their academic credentials to supposedly bust bad science or misinformation but only wind up spreading more misinformation in the process. Where are we these days if we can't trust people to use their credentials wisely and inspire trust in those with advanced degrees?

I've tried explaining to Health Nerd what he got wrong, to no avail. It was like arguing with a character in a Lewis Caroll poem.

See the thread below.Image
Health Nerd's argument depends on redefining the study’s outcome variable as “how many times kids saw a psychiatrist for any problem.” No, that's not what the paper measures. It measures contacts with specialist-level psychiatric treatment. In Finland, that is referral-based care generally reserved for more serious mental illness. Milder mental health problems are handled in primary care. gidmk.substack.com/p/does-gender-…Image
That distinction between primary-care services and specialist psych care matters. It's the reason the authors use this variable in the first place. It's not a measure of casual or routine mental health visits.
Read 14 tweets
Benjamin Ryan Profile picture
Apr 3
Queer editor James Ball declares Bluesky a “dying social network,” blaming aggressive censoriousness by Blueskyites of perceived ideological enemies:

“There's a large cadre that basically cheers on chasing off any lib/centrist/academic who's the punchbag of the day. There's a culture of saying ‘fuck off back to X, then.’ And the anti- bedtime leftists set too much of the culture.

“I don't know if it's fixable, especially as I think quite a lot of the people here don't *want* to fix it. But at the rate users are quitting they'll run out of targets soon enough, and the rest of us will lose what is – for a fair few of us I suspect – the last fun/useful social network. Sigh.”Image
Image
More from James about Bluesky’s demise: Image
The grim Bluesky stats. Turns out echo chambers are not big business. Image
Image
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Read 8 tweets

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