I'm embarrassed that it took me this long to realize that Trump's pivot on crypto isn't about winning single issue crypto voters (an assertion I always found hard to believe because there just aren't that many of us in swing states). Instead, it was about winning over the tech donor class, who saw the Biden admin's aggressive anti-crypto stance as a tentpole in a broader anti-tech and anti-innovation turn from the left.
Trump isn't embracing crypto qua crytpo, but rather as a way to signal to the wealthy SV types that he will be pro-tech writ large. And it seems to have largely worked.
I'm generally fine with this. If folks like Elon and Sacks and a16z want to punish the Dems for their inexplicable anti-tech posture, by directing money away from them and toward their opponents, so be it. I hope the outcome is a new crop of Dems who don't make the same mistake, and not Dems digging in on this position.
I've been saying this for years, but I think crypto people should focus on supporting pro-crypto candidates in both parties at the primary level, especially in districts/states that won't be competitive in the general. Ultimately, we need to get back to a place where crypto is non-partisan. Wealthy tech folks whacking Dems with the money stick this cycle might be the way to do that.
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1/N A quick thread inspired by this weekend’s Twitter war. No “side taking” here, though like everyone, I am biased. As usual I want to focus on the technical sides.
What levers are available to a blockchain if you want to increase throughput and decrease fees?
2/N If one network claims to have meaningfully greater throughput (10x or more) and lower fees relative to another network it must have done at least one of two things:
1) Compromised on decentralization and censorship resistance 2) Made a breakthrough on distributed consensus
3/N Here’s the thing, there’s actually nothing wrong with option 1. As I’ve said before, I expect the demand for blockchain throughput to be nearly limitless. Not all txs are created equal, though. Not all need maximal censorship resistance, and not all are willing to pay for it.
If “the metaverse” strictly means an immersive VR world, then it’s not happening, and I can explain why in 10 words:
Normal people will not strap a box to their face.
I know people think this is like some little detail we just need to work out, or people need to get over, or something. It’s not, though. It’s a total dealbreaker for the majority of the population. It’s so obvious to me I don’t know how everyone else can’t see it.
Could this still be a big market? Like a console-video-game sized thing? Definitely. Not the next social, not as big as crypto. Normies are out.
0/ What if, rather than destroying the dollar, decentralized cryptonetworks end up being the catalyst for amplifying it’s dominance in a wave of global dollarization?
How you ask? This idea just popped into my head, and God help me I’m going to think through it on Twitter.
1/ Sound money narratives and premature reports of its demise aside, it seems to me that USD is still the best money in the world right now. That is, all other things being equal, if you could hold your wealth in only one money you’d probably want to choose USD...
2/ Most in the world don’t, because they’re forced to transact in the fiat of their local jurisdiction. In places where a) the local fiat has been weak b) many have access to physical USD thanks to remittance, we’ve seen economies completely dollarie, see: El Salvador or Panama