Josh Marshall Profile picture
Jul 24 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Okay. I think we now know this specific part of the story. Trumps ear was lightly injured in the shooting. Police told reporters he was hit by flying debris. Trump went on Truth Social and declared he was hit by a bullet. And basically all major media went with that as a fact.
2/ It seems quite possible to me that no one has any idea what hit Trumps ear. So Trump just said it was a bullet. I know that an editor at a major news org told a colleague that they figure it was Trumps personal opinion but it wasn’t worth getting into a fight with the …
3/ campaign over. It is not the central part of the story precisely how Trump was injured. Someone tried to shoot him and could well have succeeded. But it is simply absurd to run with a social media post from Trump himself. Even though Trump was the target of an assassination …
4/ attempt that doesn’t change the fact that he is a notoriously self promoting pathological liar. Is this even a controversial statement? I think even many of his supporters would concede this point. He now routinely says that he “took a bullet for democracy”, a really …
5/ grotesque statement. It now appears quite likely that not even true in the narrow sense of the claim. Government officials have clearly been leery of contradicting Trump on this point for obvious reasons. I haven’t seen yet precisely what question Wray was responding to…
6/ and how much that forced the matter. Again, not a huge part of the story. But we should get some account from actual law enforcement on what happened. Now it appears we have, under duress. Reporters usually demand an almost absurd level of detail …
7/ on this kind of stuff. It’s really an embarrassment that this was handled - press-wise - the way it has been.

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More from @joshtpm

Jul 25
Remarkably Vance is barreling toward Palin territory. He may already be there. You can see people expect news about him to be weird or embarrassing. Hard to undo that once it takes hold, especially if you are super weird and embarrassing.
2/ People forget that Vance ran a very weak campaign for senate. He was basically given up for chunk meat and McConnell had to go to Thiel and tell him he had to come in and save his boy, which he did. Ryan ran a really good campaign.
3/When they’re asking Trump on Fox whether he screwed up picking Vance you know it’s not going great. Whether it’s menstrual surveillance or saying people without kids shouldn’t be able to vote or his please clap level speaking style the dude is weird.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 25
Here’s a thought experiment. New political candidate, Fred Smith. When Smith gives speeches he routinely brags about the time someone shot at him and he was struck by a bullet and was lucky to have survived. Then it comes out that it’s not clear he was hit by a bullet at all.
2/ it might have been a bullet or it might just have been some debris from some nearby object that was hit by a bullet. From your experience as a news consumer based on how reporters treat discrepancies in personal stories candidates make part of their basic stump …
3/ speech, how do you think that would play? Not how you think it should, how are those things usually treated. My experience as a news consumer is that those discrepancies always generate new questions. And not addressing the questions just intensifies them. Factual …
Read 5 tweets
Jul 24
Cynical and false.

What locked in Harris was the overwhelming resistance of D voters and activists to anyone else. It was national columnists and a large number of D elites pushing for a thunderdome primary. A good bit of this was support for Harris herself. A lot of it was …
2/ that with the incumbent president and presumed nominee out and no time to run anything more than a fake primary she had legitimacy on her side. 80 million voters literally chose her to be person who took over for Joe Biden if he couldnt serve. D primary voters in effect …
3/ just reconfirmed that this spring, since Biden and Harris were again running as a package deal. The democratic legitimacy argument of her claim, the fact that veeps succeeding presidents is so embedded in US politics made her the one person who all party …
Read 11 tweets
Jul 22
A basic primer on this question of whether state laws prevent a late "switch" of candidates on the ballot. No. They don't. Here's why.

Election laws don't work the same way for major party nominees and independent candidates. State laws have a space set aside for the ...
2/ nominee of the Republican party and Democratic party. It's just a placeholder until there's a nominee. The Democratic party doesn't currently have a nominee. The GOP only got one last week. This is usually treated as a technicality, sure. But it's the critical LEGAL ...
3/ technical. There's literally no switch because Biden's name isn't on any ballot in the country. End of story. It's really that simple. There's a separate issue that in a few states the deadline for the party choosing its nominee is earlier than the Democratic ...
Read 6 tweets
Jul 22
With candidate switch, worth remembering that JD Vance is a major advocate of menstrual surveillance, local cops having the right to pull obgyn records to see who and who isn’t menstruating and who might be planning a trip to an abortion rights state talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/jd-vanc…
2/ DETAILS: After Dobbs a number of states began using local law enforcement either to prevent women from traveling out of state to get an abortion or get legal abortion medication, or charge them after the fact. The Biden administration proposed a new HIPPA rule …
3/ to prevent police agencies from accessing reproductive medical records to prevent woman from traveling to get an abortion out of state. JD Vance was one of only 28 out of 535 members of Congress extreme enough to denounce the rule and …
Read 7 tweets
Jul 20
Very good write-up by Sanjay Gupta at CNN. It’s in depth and mainly deals with the lack of medical info about Trumps condition. But it’s the first MSM piece I’ve seen which notes, albeit elliptically, that we don’t actually know what hit Trumps ear. cnn.com/2024/07/18/hea…
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2/ As I’ve said repeatedly in my write ups on this at TPM, precisely what struck Trump certainly isn’t the central issue. It’s a kinetic detail. Someone shot at Trump and as a direct result he suffered a minor injury. But it’s not an insignificant detail either medical or …
3/ as a matter or news or even history. It’s simply unheard of that we’d go a week without any word at all from either law enforcement investigators or the doctors who examined him. The latter is technically Trumps private information, at least legally. That’s not the case …
Read 7 tweets

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