Thread by @Ben_Larrabee

BREAKING:

Arizona Republicans now have a record-breaking advantage over Democrats in voter registrations.

Per the SOS's April report:

🔴 1,434,982

🔵 1,192,205

That's a +242,777 advantage going into election season.

Our electorate may be redder than ever.

Breakdown in🧵

Arizona's elections have been decided by RAZOR-thin margins over the past few cycles.

Marginal changes in a few counties result in decisive electoral victories.

Donald Trump only "lost" the state by 10,457 votes.

And Republicans have more than made up the difference ⬇️⬇️⬇️

As of July, Republicans in Maricopa County (largest in the state) hold a +150,940 registration advantage over Democrats:

🔴 1,000,174

🔵 849,234

In November 2020, that difference was +100,884

In Pinal County (July), Republicans hold a +44,458 advantage over Democrats.

🔴 115,244

🔵 70,786

In November 2020, that difference was only +28,142.

We're even managing the spread in blue areas!

In Pima County (July), where Tucson is located, Republicans ran a deficit to Democrats by -57,962:

🔴 175,186

🔵 233,148

But in November 2020, that difference was -71,732.

In deep red Yavapai County (July) Republicans hold a +60,121 advantage:

🔴 95,646

🔵 35,525

But in November 2020, that difference was +44,986.

In Yuma County (July), Republicans held a +4,386 advantage.

🔴 38,030

🔵 33,644

But in November 2020, DEMOCRATS outnumbered Republicans by 1,922!

The county flipped!

Even in 2022, these registration changes would have made the difference in key state-wide races:

Kari Lake "lost" by 17,117 votes.

Abe Hamadeh "lost" by 280 votes.

Both would have easily won in today's electoral environment.

HOWEVER, I don't want anyone to read this and think the next election is in the bag.

A key feature in this state is the rise of Non-partisans/Independents and how they vote:

In 2000, there were only 382,068 such voters.

In April of 2024 (latest available) 1,369,644 voters are registered as Non-partisan/Independents.

Nearly a 4X-fold increase.

At the Left has fine-tuned their operation to target such voters into a science.

They command the BEHEMOTH that is the progressive GOTV machine, funded by hundreds of millions in dark money to support a constellation of like-minded, electionering organizations.

This has been in place the past few cycles, and the left is only getting better at operating it.

Oh, and the 10 million-plus illegals the Democrats imported over the past few years?

Don't think for a MOMENT there isn't an attempt to register every single one of them. Legality be damned.

This election is ours to lose, but it won't be easy.

So I won't leave you with a couple of fun factiods and nothing else,

Everyone of you needs to take action.

Register your neighbors,

Become a PC or a poll-watcher,

Knock Doors,

And if any of your Republican friends don't want to vote,

DRAG THEM to the voting both if you have to (legally).

I'm proud to work for an organization, @TPAction_ ,that is doing all of this as part of the largest ground game in the country.

So if you love Arizona as much as we do, fight to keep it.

Join here 👇👇👇.



No Sleep Till November.tpaction.com/chasethevote