Joe Weisenthal Profile picture
Aug 2 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
BREAKING:

BIG MISS ON UNEMPLOYMENT. UNEMPLOYMENT RISES TO 4.3%

JUST 114K NEW JOBS

Economists had expected 175K jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.1%.

bloomberg.com/news/live-blog…
S&P 500 futures now down 1.6% Image
Last two months revised downward by 29K

Average hourly earnings grow just 0.2%

U6 Underemployment rises to 7.8% from 7.4%

Average Weekly Hours falls to 34.2
2-year yields continuing to plunge Image
NASDAQ-100 futures down 2.5% Image
THE SAHM RULE HAS NOW BEEN TRIGGERED bloomberg.com/news/live-blog…
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Today's episode looking very timely!

Also credit to Neil Dutta of @RenMacLLC who was warning about this risk a month and a half ago podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lot…
"The number of unemployed people increased by 352,000 to 7.2 million"

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More from @TheStalwart

Jul 1
TRANSCRIPT: The full text of me and @tracyalloway's chat with @dsquareddigest about how the world lost its mind.

The concept of Accountability Sinks is so powerful, once you start noticing them.

Here's an example that lead to the murder of 400 squirrels bloomberg.com/news/articles/…



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This is also extremely interesting how as organizations become more complex, it's almost inevitable that top management will have to rely more on financial information to understand what's going on, which is partly how you get situations like Boeing


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Also really intrigued by his assertion that from a perspective of "corporate short-termism" that the explosion of private sector debt (in part driven by LBOs) is a greater contributor than the stock price.


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Read 4 tweets
Jun 3
NEW ODD LOTS:

How Corporations Learned The Maximum Amount They Can Charge For A Product

@tracyalloway and spoke with @ddayen and @owenslindsay1, who have published a special new edition of @TheProspect entirely about the new world of pricing strategies bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
- How companies got better at tailoring prices to you individually
- Price fixing by algorithm
- How every industry got airline-ified
- The booming world of ancillary revenue, and the consultants that teach companies how to max them out
- Trading data for lower prices

++
The whole edition of the magazine is fascinating and varied. And well worth reading in full
Read 4 tweets
May 30
NEW ODD LOTS:

How we got the modern electricity grid. And how nuclear got squeezed out.

@tracyalloway and I talked to @fredstaffordcs and @Matthuber78 about power market structure, and how "small is beautiful"-liberalism set back decarbonization bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Among the things we talked about:

- The history of utilities in this country, going from public utilities to private, for-profit players.
- Market impediments to nuclear
- The left's renewable energy fetish
- Lessons from the TVA

+ more
Highly recommend reading their @damagemag piece

Or the summary of it here: damagemag.com/2024/04/01/the…
dertaskforce.com/p/guest-post-t…
Read 4 tweets
Apr 12
AMERICA HAS AN ELECTRICAL COMPONENTS CRISIS

@tracyalloway and I talked to @NNNIncome about the ongoing scarcity of switchgears and transformers, and how you have virtually complete buildings going empty because they can't get one critical missing part.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
As @NNNIncome explained there are basically five companies that make this gear. And thanks to booming demand (chips, AI, electrification etc.) they're still absolutely slammed.

He ordered a switchgear a year ago, and was just told it'd be another year's wait.
@NNNIncome And in the meantime, he's carrying an entirely completed building (sans-switchgear), financed at some of the highest rates in decades, for another year, meaning a need to roll debt, accumulate more interest etc.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 5
BREAKING:

BOOOOOM. 303K new jobs created. Unemployment rate falls to 3.8%. Prior months revised higher by 22K.

Economists were expecting 214K jobs and a 3.8% unemployment rate.

bloomberg.com/news/live-blog…
2-year yields move higher Image
Labor Force Participation Rate jumps from 62.5% to 62.7%
Read 9 tweets
Dec 8, 2023
BREAKING:

IT'S A BEAT. 199K JOBS. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FALLS TO 3.7%. LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE RISES.

Economists had been looking for 185K job gains, and an unemployment rate of 3.9%

bloomberg.com/news/live-blog…
10-year yields are spiking Image
A 4-hand on the unemployment rate would have really set off some alarm bells. The fact that U3 fell, and thus pushes back the triggering of Sahm Rule removes the impulse for immediate rate cuts.
Read 7 tweets

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