This was obviously a policy failure that we watched unfold in real time. ("Wait! Stop! Come back!" says Willie Wonka.) But it also demonstrates how people selectively trust authority figures when those leaders are...
saying what we want to hear. (This pattern of behavior has also been on clear display during the pandemic: people were suspicious of leaders whom they perceived as restricting freedoms, due to psychological reactance, but once those experts said to unmask & go to the mall,
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the same folks who had been disbelieving suddenly found faith in authorities' messenges again. Ask people why they aren’t masking, & many will give you some variation on "the CDC said I don't need to.")
Fundamentally, this tendency is an example of confirmation bias, but
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it's not *only* confirmation bias at play, here.
The article above notes (as an article I posted previously about the Seine did):
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"The athletes had largely put their trust in organizers to ensure that the water quality was safe for them. Women’s silver medal winner Julie Derron of Switzerland said the athletes believed that the race was safe based on the word of authorities....
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'The swimming was fine during the race. We know...they took samples this morning. They take a lot of time to analyze, so we don’t know the results obviously. We all trust the authorities and the organizers that they keep us safe. And so we had a safe race today,' she said."
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That's some heavy-duty "diffusion of responsibility," right there. But when people abdicate responsibility for their own outcomes to others who don't really care about those outcomes, they're setting themselves up.
This is also an example of two other phenomena that
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Latané & Darley (the "bystander intervention" guys) wrote about: one is "evaluation apprehension," which is a fear of being judged harshly for doing something socially inappropriate (which certainly affects athletes in the public eye); the other is "pluralistic ignorance,"
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whereby all the members of a group of people come to believe that everyone except them feels one way - say, that its A-OK to put your face in the poopy Seine - even though the opposite may be true, & everyone may be secretly concerned.
(This is a similar to the...
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phenomen that Asch's famous conformity studies explored, whereby social pressure caused people to affirm other people's perceptions even when they knew they were wrong.)
No doubt, the Olympic organizers encouraged both pluralistic ignorance & conformity.
So what can...
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be done?
We all know that organizations & corporations are notoriously bad at policing themselves, in terms of outcomes to members & the public. And athletes are going to continue obeying their handlers, b/c those who don't won't get to the Olympics in the first place.
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They're going to tell themselves whatever they need to, & believe whatever they're told, in order to compete.
So what might be useful is development of a wholly independent org. to monitor & report on international competition health & safety.
This concept isn't new.
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For ex., in the US, OSHA monitors workplace safety. And after the NFL blew off TBIs among players, the Concussion Legacy Foundation was formed to advocate for the safety of football players and other athletes exposed to practices that cause the injuries leading to CTE.
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Currently, AFAIK, the health/safety of Olympic athletes is the responsibility of the IOC, NOCs & coaches, who all have conflicts of interest b/c they need star athletes to show up.
Individuals gen. only behave as well as other folks make them, & that's true of NGOs, too.
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🧵 Just because something is published doesn't mean it's good science. Below, I'll talk more about how you can evaluate research articles you may come across on social media or that might be cited in the press.
1st, when reading a media article that cites/links to a research pub., look at what the research piece itself says. Journalists may get things wrong or present a biased/incomplete picture. They may imply there's a causal relationship b/t variables when that's not the case.
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Second, evaluate the content of the journal article. Is a hypothesis clearly stated? Do the study authors test it in a way that makes sense? What are their conclusions? (You will find those in the paper's "discussion" and "conclusions" sections.)
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🧵This one is an example of the availability heuristic, folks. That's a cognitive shortcut people use to estimate the prevalence of an event (like a health threat) by how easily they can think of examples (either from the media or from personal experience). As I pointed out...
to this person, all sorts of factors can affect how easily examples of covid mortality came to his mind. One was that this man's demographics (region, race, age, etc) may have made his own acquaintances less likely to have severe covid outcomes than was the population norm.
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Another factor that can affect the availability of relevant info. is whether he would have known of such covid deaths; we don't always hear about deaths of acquaintances, let alone how they died, & in cases where there is stigma surrounding cause of death (as w/ HIV & covid)
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Psychologists have known for yrs that even chemical castration has its limits in preventing ongoing sex crimes. Both it & surgical removal of testicles/ovaries have some effect on libido, but they don't necessarily eliminate it. For ex., women who've had hysterectomy with
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oophorectomy (removal of ovaries) can still enjoy sex. Access to unprescribed sex hormones has also increased over the years; if a person is intent on getting drugs to restore full libido, they can find them.
Furthermore, libido is not the same as attraction. Castration
Today in a fb group about alpha-gal syndrome (a tick borne allergy to meat), a post about cooking/eating worms led to "conspiracy theory" comments that AGS is intentionally spread by Fauci & Gates (who apparently want us to eat worms).
2/ It led me to ponder that age-old question: "why on Earth would people think that?"
I never studied conspiracy theories (or theorists) professionally, but we did deal with a fair amount of conspiratorial thinking in the early years of HIV intervention.
3/ What I was really wondering about today was neurocognitive associations b/t conspiratorial thinking & brain function, but it's not my field, & a quick search turned up little that's new beyond this paper (which can't draw causal conclusions, anyway -
...Maybe we would have been better? Maybe we would have been worse.'"
This is an example of a cognitive bias often seen in cognitive dissonance reduction, whereby new info that doesn't fit w/ what one previously thought (or chose to *do*) is ignored or discounted, in favor
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of more comfortable, comforting thoughts that support one's earlier beliefs & behavior.
It is extremely unlikely that this couple would have been worse off if they hadn't had covid. He's had a rare blood cancer & lung cancer. (4 friends also developed the former, defying
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🧵 Since 2020, I've been cutting my partner's hair. I don't know how to cut hair, & the last four years have not made me more knowledgeable or skilled. (Yes, I watched YouTube videos; I'm hopeless.)
My partner had been putting up with it, but I couldn't take it anymore, as....
2/ he looked really...not good. Very, extremely. So I called the person who had done my hair for many years, pre-pandemic. It was a bit challenging finding her, b/c the salon where she worked had closed, & she'd just opened her own new place.
When I asked her if she might be
3/ willing to come to my house & cut J's hair outside, she was enthusiastic. She was happy to bring all her equipment, and to wear an N95. We planned it for a reasonably warm day, & then she said "oh, and if I have a cold or anything, I'll call to reschedule." Smart woman!