I’m not sure we yet know the whole truth about these men’s possible involvement, potentially as inciters to or participants in violence or even terrorism.
There are legitimate questions.
A 🧵/1.
To be guilty of terrorism in England, you don’t have to be physically present (see CPS guidance ⬇️). Similar considerations apply to some other crimes relevant to the current violent disorder.
“I was only tweeting” or “I was just asking questions” are far from safe defences. /2.
For the likes of Mr Musk or Mr Farage one might think their respective, prominent positions could protect them from criminal charges and severe consequences.
One might.
If one thought the AG, DPP, courts, police etc in England to be corrupt, weak or both.
If not, not. /3.
I tend toward the “not”.
If Mr Musk, Mr Farage or others who have been similarly unwise (IMHO, of course) in their approach to the very serious crimes which have been incited, assisted and committed in England over the last days, have any sense, they’ll prepare accordingly. /4.
In fact, their very prominence could be a major aggravating factor in any relevant crimes they may have committed.
If you own perhaps the most influential social media site, have over 100 million followers, and enormous wealth, your tweets aren’t just ordinary musings. /5.
If you’re an MP and a widely, nationally quoted politician (even if with a mere 1 million or so followers) your public messaging carries a different weight and quality than a random posting from a frustrated but obscure acolyte of yours. /6.
In short, while people like Mr Musk and Mr Farage have no doubt (you’d think, wouldn’t you?) been careful not to slide into serious criminality, if they’ve slipped up, their high profile and importance - decry those as you might - open them to particularly grave consequences. /7.
Which is where it gets rather interesting.
And where, because none of us is the DPP carrying the responsibility for any charging decisions, as concerned members of the public we are mainly confined to asking legitimate questions on the basis of what we’ve seen. /8.
Can it really be, I’ve heard it asked, that apparently making a call for civil war in England - indeed doing so at a time when a widespread wave of serious violent crimes is occurring - does not represent manifold transgressions of England’s criminal law, on incitement, say? /9.
I can’t answer that definitively. But I do think the question legitimate.
Similar considerations apply to appearing implicitly to threaten violence if measures you assert should be taken aren’t - indeed doing so at a time of high tension which you in turn so heighten. /10.
It is also, one must reasonably assert, legitimate to ask what hope we can have that Mr Musk, Mr Farage, or a number of other well-known figures, will abide by guidelines, rules or even civil law requirements relevant to the above mentioned circumstances and considerations. /11.
Some might argue we can have none.
It seems legitimate to ask whether that’s true, bearing in mind the past behaviours we have all observed. I’d say yes. But I’m just seeking the truth here, you understand.
It’s important, because it goes to the heart of national security. /12.
If - and we can legitimately raise the question of whether this is correct - there is little or no point in attempting by voluntary or similar means to prevent involvement in potential, relevant serious crime by Mr Farage or Mr Musk, we face a stark choice, do we not? /13.
We couldn’t just let such crime happen. Could we? Attempts at voluntary compliance would be futile? Wouldn’t they? So we’d be led to a clear conclusion. Wouldn’t we?
Actions. Not words.
Criminal charges. Not cosy meetings.
Setting the narrative. Not being led by the nose. /14.
Which brings me to a further question.
I think it a legitimate one.
Which after all, is the extent of what we’re doing here: asking such questions, seeking the full truth. /15.
If, whatever else they may also be, current disturbing events turn out indeed in significant part to be the #FarageRiots and the #MuskRiots, isn’t it legitimate to ask whether it’s imperative for our national well-being, perhaps survival, to “lock them up”? /16.
And isn’t it legitimate not to ask but to insist that the full force of the law be applied, without fear or favour, to Mr Farage and Mr Musk, and likewise in any other similar cases?
And to note that serious terror offences carry a minimum sentence of 14 years? /17. End
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LAB is 20 points ahead because the CON/NatCon vote is split between CON & REF.
If not, LAB would be 5 ahead. If it didn’t lose a few points to LD/GRN/SNP. It well might.
Plug in the numbers: a CON/REF merger could upend the contest.
Will they? /1.
On the CON side, desperation is so great, why wouldn’t they?
The last defences - Sunak’s opposition, “one nation Tories”, party constitution, precedent, notions of decency/national interest as understood by Churchill, Macmillan or Thatcher - are threadbare to non-existent. /2.
REF can’t formally withdraw their candidate nominations any longer.
But as they’re a Farage-led company, they’re entirely capable of standing down all their candidates & changing their message to “Vote Conservative, Get Reform”.
Keir Starmer says growth is the goal, everything depends on it.
“Wealth creation is our No. 1 priority. Growth is our core business”.
But …
- “tough spending rules”
- & being outside the single market
… are huge, linked obstacles.
The stakes couldn’t be higher.
A🧵/1.
Keir Starmer claims some policy changes, such as liberalising planning & smarter regulation, will unlock growth.
Fine (maybe) up to a point.
But unconvincing, considering the massive challenge the UK faces, including needing far higher defence spending than so far admitted. /2.
The way we get growth is to pay for it.
Net public funding, put by the government into the economy, (that’s to say, the difference between what the government spends into the economy and how much it taxes back out of it), is the way we pay. /3.
Donald Trump’s trial in New York was about illegal election interference, by him, attempting to benefit himself as a candidate, in the 2016 US presidential election.
Anyone claiming that’s “trivial”, “difficult to understand” or “wrong to prosecute” is having you on.
A 🧵 /1.
Falsifying business records, of which Donald Trump was convicted yesterday on 34 counts, would normally be a “misdemeanour”, a crime under New York State law which carries a maximum of 1 year in jail.
Important for sure and criminally illegal, but a lower level of liability. /2.
It is a “felony crime” - a higher level of liability - if it is done in the attempt to commit another crime.
In Donald Trump’s case, that other attempted crime was huge: illegally interfering in the 2016 US presidential election. /3.
While understanding the surprise (it was unexpected!) at Natalie Elphicke’s defection, I’m bemused by the shock, in some quarters, that Keir Starmer welcomed her.
No, not because Sir Keir is a “Red Tory” or a “short-term opportunist”.
His grand strategy explains it.
A 🧵/1.
Starmer’s Labour is on a mission, even if some in the party don’t yet realise, to make Labour *the* party of Britain, embedding it in government for decades.
Creating a national consensus, drawing in the widest feasible span of committed supporters. /2.
The purpose is to transform the country (more on that in a moment).
“Doing an Attlee”.
But succeeding.
(Before you raise both eyebrows, consider this: what might Attlee & his colleagues have achieved if Labour had been in power a lot longer?). /3.
Today is Holocaust Remembrance Day, date of the Warsaw Ghetto uprising.
27 January, the liberation of Auschwitz, is UN Holocaust Remembrance Day.
We remember systematic, industrial, genocidal murder.
In 2022 I shared a letter from Peter.
I’d like to do so again.
A🧵/1.
Mauthausen, 13 May 1945
Dear Fritz, Dear Barbara!
After an infinitely long time I am allowed to write to you, the still existing branch of the family – or so I hope – and to tell you the events of the last 3 years. /2.
Oma is dead. She passed away peacefully and quietly in her sleep. She had been locked up in the “Home for the Aged” of the Jewish Community in Darmstadt. Mutti was put into jail. From there whilst in transit to a concentration camp she died, of kidney trouble they said! /3.