Ben Larrabee, Father of the Year Profile picture
Aug 9 β€’ 14 tweets β€’ 2 min read β€’ Read on X
BREAKING 🚨🚨🚨🚨

Pennsylvania Democrats have lost over +500,000 voters the past decade,

Demographically, Republicans may be on the verge of turning the state red with an outright majority of voters within the next few years

Here's the breakdown 🧡
After voting blue for decades, Trump finally flipped the state in 2016 by πŸ”΄+44,292 votes, less than a percent.

In 2020, Biden "won" it by just over 80,000 votes.

Yet, the deterioration of the Democratic party may have put victory out of reach for the left.
When Trump won the state in 2016, Democrats outnumbered Republicans by nearly 900,000 voters:

πŸ”΄ 3,301,182

πŸ”΅ 4,217,456
In 2020, Biden won the state with a nearly 700,000 party registration advantage:

πŸ”΄ 3,543,070

πŸ”΅ 4,228,888
Today? That difference is +350,000

πŸ”΄ 3,541,604

πŸ”΅ 3,899,599
So not only are Republicans on track to exceed their registrations from 4 years ago,

Democrats have LOST 329,289 voters from the state rolls.

That exceeds the winning difference between the candidates in 4 out of Pennsylvania's last 5 presidential elections.
The high water mark for Dems came in 2008, with nearly 4.5 MILLION registered.

They've since lost over 579,000 voters, or roughly 12% of their registrants.
And it doesn't appear they are switching to Independents either,

Indy/third-party registrations have only grown by just over +50,000 over the past 4 years.

Meanwhile, Republicans have GAINED over πŸ”΄+500,000 since Obama's Presidency.
I broke these numbers down a few months ago to showcase how, within the decade, Penn Republicans can control the State Government and the Congressional Delegation within the decade if trends continue.

HOWEVER: note that Pennsylvania has automatic voter registration,

Get you're license at the DMV? You're now a registered voter unless you say otherwise.
Josh Shapiro and his union cronies in Philly now have MILLIONS of names accessible to chase/forge leading up to election night.

And don't think Shapiro won't come back with a vengeance after getting shafted for VP by Kamala.
But this presents an opportunity!

We have access to the SAME names to chase low propensity ballots.

Great patriots like @ScottPresler and @NFormicaGOP from @TPAction_ are moving heaven and earth to engage voters and flip the state red!
We're already seeing difference thanks to these two, with Bucks counting flipping πŸ”΄ in net registrations after DECADES of Democratic control.
Every door knocked, voter registered, and ballot chased makes a difference,

So sign up below πŸ‘‡

Chase the Vote,

AND NO SLEEP TILL NOVEMBER!

tpaction.com/chasethevote

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More from @Ben_Larrabee

Jul 26
BREAKING:

Arizona Republicans now have a record-breaking advantage over Democrats in voter registrations.

Per the SOS's April report:

πŸ”΄ 1,434,982

πŸ”΅ 1,192,205

That's a +242,777 advantage going into election season.

Our electorate may be redder than ever.

Breakdown in🧡
Arizona's elections have been decided by RAZOR-thin margins over the past few cycles.

Marginal changes in a few counties result in decisive electoral victories.

Donald Trump only "lost" the state by 10,457 votes.

And Republicans have more than made up the difference ⬇️⬇️⬇️
As of July, Republicans in Maricopa County (largest in the state) hold a +150,940 registration advantage over Democrats:

πŸ”΄ 1,000,174

πŸ”΅ 849,234

In November 2020, that difference was +100,884
Read 15 tweets

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