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Aug 17 46 tweets 22 min read Read on X
Live view of @FCC regulatory staff watching recent Starlink and T-mobile filings asking to be exempt from new rules they helped greate and want to see imposed on others.

🧶🐈‍⬛

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In 2020 T-mobile asked FCC not to allow ASTs system w/o filings to show that they do not cause harmful interference to terrestrial networks.

$TMUS also requested new rules that FCC started.

AST showed their system doesn’t cause interference. ASTS design criteria since 2018.
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In 2022 T-Mobile and Space-X Starlink
recognixe that direct to cell will be a reality.

Essential for T-Mobile to stay competitive & much more profitable than Starlinks legacy VSAT architecture / fixed internet protocol service.
They join forces and declare d2c cooperation.

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- CatSE hold on, aren’t you being a bit harsh on Starlink d2c v2 minis?

Why?

- That’s a band-aid, Cat. 🩹

Right, so maybe a bit harsh.

But, they do look like that. HEO Robotics published an image of one of the SpaceX Starlink V2 Minis deployed.

- So where’s the array?

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To use the same analogy of band aids. Starlinks have a more conventional design.

It restricts the area of the phased array.

This smaller phased array area imposes severe technical limitations on what the v2 minis are capable of.

-Fewer antenna elements fit?

Yes.

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- T-Mobile first protested the novel formfactor startup asking the FCC to make harsh rules to contain ASTs disruptive effect and later joined forces with the less technical advanced contender?

-Yes.

And now those same rules comes back to bite them?

-Yes AT&T and VZN files.

6/
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- Can we get back on the technical limitations?

Right. A smaller array allows for less directive beams creating wider cells and a wider area around the beam is affected by interference from that main beam.

-Lots to digest there.

That’s just the starter. I’ll elaborate.

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To understand the main beam and importance of directivity we can use some radiation humans can relate to.

Visible light.

Here is a flashlight beam and a laser beam. The latter is more directive.

And so is the splash.

-Right. Now I get the starter. What’s for main dish?

8/
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Let’s just dwell on the two implications of the higher directivity on Area Spectral Efficiency.

IF both systems have the same bandwidth available for a cell. Then the users of that cell gets to share the same bandwidth.

This means higher throughput per user in small cells.

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-Right. And the second effect?

You create more narrow cells by higher directivity. Like laser light is stronger than a flashlight not by bigger battery or more energy, but by means of more focus.

-High signal strength?

Yes. And that allows for higher order modulation.

10/
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-So, let me sum up the starter:

- Higher directivity means:

1) smaller zone affected by main beam splash / integerenge while you also
2) get more bandwidth per user at
3) higher signal strength and higher order of modulation.

Yes.

-Wow.

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-Your previous slide said ”Signal to Noise” not signal strength.

Yes. It’s a bit like when you try to get heard in a noisy room. Other peoples signal becomes noise to you.

And you need to raise your voice to punch through.

- like at a party?

If so Starlink are noisy kids.
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- They want to raise the noise floor?

Correct. And this brings us over to the main thing.

Aggregate interference caused by sidelobes and main beams from a massive constellation like Starlink d2c on other satellite systems and on MNOs

-Sidelobes?

Yes. Big difference.

13/
The higher directivity also reduces sidelobes in relative terms.

-So this is not the splash from main beams?

No it’s ”splash” from unwanted ”side-beams”.

And AST lowers that in two ways. By higher directivity and that patent on previous link.

/14





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Starlink doesn’t have these tweaks and they rather see the new rules for the allowed PFD level of their noise bent by means of waiver or broken by means of a petition to change the rules.

AT&T and Verizon sees how such action would degrade their terrestrial networks.

/15 Image
AT&T has PCS block. The block Starlink d2c has emissions in.

Makes them an affected party.

-So, T-Mobile isn’t just hurting their own subscribers?

No.

AT&T will fight them.

/16 Image
-Can’t FCC allow the 😎 cool Space-X company to spam terrestrial networkd more than AST, after all they make 🚀 macho rockets?

AST has ocercome a lot of risks, among them regulatory risks whereby they received a license.

Key to that: DO NO HARM.



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- Did you mean to say ”overcome” and
how do you know that Cat?

Yes. Try typing on a phone with paws.

Regulators ultimately strive to maximize the common good and minimize harm.

Existing incumbents delivering valuable services enjoy massive protection by regulators.

/18


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And the way regulatory staff operates is well described here.

There is this principle.

- Which one?

It’s called ”BAT”

-How do you know this?

I’ve chaired regulatory boards for more than a decade.

-You. A cat?

Sweden is an advanced society and I’m a Cat, with a BAT.

/19
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-Tell me aboout BAT.

While not directly picking fight with Starlink, (AT&T, Verizon and Omnispace will do that just fine), AST did a filing which T-Mobile asked for vocally.

One re: interference.

In that they showed AST tech can use PCS block without harmful interference.
/20


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Tge way regulators work in a situation where they need to balance doing some good against doing some harm is to apply the BAT principle.

- They require an applicant to use the best available technology to minimize harmful interference?

Yes.

-And what is that BAT benchmark?
/21 Image
There are 5-6 interference filings from AST of interest.

In particular one in 2020 showing compliance with protecting terrestrial operations and one in 2024 showing that AST doesn’t cause harmful interference to satellites either.

-So AST has shown their tech is BAT?

Yes.

/22
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- I still don’t quite see that a few Starlinks could do so much damage.

Let’s cycle back to this.

See how SIR is proportionally better with AST?

To compete Starlink wants to up the amp.

-Aha! Whereby they also increase the destructive interference from sidelobes!

Yes.

/23
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- So. Signal to interference ratio. SIR is key?

Yes.

Spectrum is defining scarce resource of our age. The information age. BAT applies.

And then there is this thing.

-Planet earth?

Yes. Few of those. Also a scarce resource. We need to be good stewards of it.

-Right.

/24 Image
Here is planet earth with a few thousand Starlinks in Low Earth orbits. Schematically.

-Your point being they would be many?

Yes. You said a few. I think ”quite a bunch” would be more appropriate. Starlink wants a mega constellation.

- Interference aggregates?

Yes.

/25 Image
- I’m full. Dessert?

ESG replenishing Starlinks constellation as it has worse orbital dwell time,

Elon endorsing Trump while FCC has democratic majority,

Cyber security & Lawful interception in regenerative architecture,

6G OTFS & stealth coms ?

Or

Likely outcomes ?

/26
- Likely outcomes, with coffee. Thx.

The likely outcome is that FCC denies Space-X request to lower the protection. Whereas they might have reduced that some after trial data. They will not allow such massive interference.

It will lower Starlink d2c throughput.

-How much?

/27
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By a lot. More than cut in half. Starlink will be good for text services.

But they are fast learners.

This means effort will shift to other bands and bigger satellites. They will seek to catch up to ASTS tech.

- And T-Mobile?

They will likely use Starlink for texts.

/28
- Starship is that needed for those bigger Starlink satellites?

It will help. V2s can improve some within a Falcon fairing, but not much.

-And AST?

They are minding their own relentless innovation called Block2 satellites and what is beyond that.

- What is beyond?

/29
AST placed their G agnostic Nokia AirScale single RAN gNodeBs terrestrially so that delay and doppler compensation can also be terrestrial.

It allows for multi sat MIMO and OTFS multi signal paths.

6G tech.

-So Starlink will try to catch moving target?

Yes. With a twist

/30
- I saw what you did there, Cat.

Band aids to symbolize Starlink V2?

-Yes. Not kind. And what is the twist?

Picture a race.

One contender starts early, in 2018, from first principles.

Plans everything chooses the path wisely. And starts down the choosen track.

-Gotcha.

/31 Image
The other contender starts to notice 2-3 years later and starts to try and catch up down a track.

This track is chosen not from first principles but based on what this contender already has, it’s position and existing equipment.

-OK, late starter is Starlink right?

Yes.

/32
But the point is Starlink starts down the regenerative track. With onboard base stations eNodeB:s because it already has space based backhaul.

-AST did not do that?

No. They got to choose freely.
They chose transparent track.

Terrestrial gNodeB:s

/33
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-So Starlink is behind in quality, if not in quantity and trying to catch up … in a different track. Is that the twist?

The twist is that the patch on solution of Starlink is racing down a dead end alley.

-Patch on, band aid. Got it. How dead end?

No way to do MIMO.

/34 Image
- So you’re saying that by the time Starlink catches up with bigger satellites. AST is doing ”MIMO”.

Yes. By then cellphones will connect to multiple AST satellites on multiple bands. For increased throughput.

-And then how will Starlink catch up?

By starting from scratch.
/35
In 17 tweets a consultant with grudge claims this thread misses to discuss out of band emission interference.

Sharing Anpanmans tweet already in tweet no 1. I tend to disagree the specific case is mentioned.

Here is how AST solves OOBE.

From filing I pointed out in🧵
Elegant
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Furthermore said consultant with grudge claim it is OOBE _inside the main beam_ that is the problem at hand.

And because of this I and others are ”clueless” that care about splash outside beamcells from wide beams and sidelobes.

Let’s use logic to test this argument.

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In Space-x many filings. As this one quoted one word stands out.

It is the _aggregate_ PFD limit Starlink oppose.

Aggregate means the sum projected at a point from all satellites emissions.

In my thread I point out using this visualisation that Starlinks are many.
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Said consultant claims also this cat does not understand physics.

I agree that one of us lacks understanding.

You see the beam pointed at a cell in Starlink SISO architecture is from a single satellite. And this is not what Starlink oppose. They claim to be able to handle that.
And so, the consultant with grudge argument falls flat. It isn’t the OOBE from a single beam inside that beam that is Starlinks problem.

It is the _aggregate_ splash from inside and outside beams and sidelobes of thousands v2 minis.

As was in depth described in my 🧵.

🐾
This belongs here. Image
I have noticed a difference of opinions regarding the meaning of ”aggregate” in ”aggregate interference”.

🍿🐈‍⬛

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FUDSPEECH entered the chat. 🍿

”AST hasn’t provided detail”.

🐈‍⬛*factchecks*
Abel Avellan said what distance & tp was.. nvm sat altitude is public data. 🤦🏻‍♂️

”How AST handles latency? LTE wasn’t built for latency!”

🐈‍⬛*factchecks*
ASTs patent to handle latency in LTE _and 5G_:


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More from @CatSE___ApeX___

Aug 24
T-Mobile and a Freudian slip.

Decimation. What is that?

🧶🪓🐈‍⬛

Adhering to interference regulations of aggregate OOBE PFD limits would require a deficient system, such as Starlink d2c v2 mini, to use very wide guard bands and/or throttle (shrink) their power.

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PCS spectrum block that Starlink and T-Mobile intends to use is very narrow to begin with this has a large impact.

They need to maximize its use in power and in bandwidth to make the system profitable.

If they do that with deficient / sub par technolgy it affects others.

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Decimation is a disciplinary process of the state with three distinct purposes:

1. Discipline and Order
2. Punishment for Failure or mutiny
3. Reassertion of Authority

It was in the context of the Roman army used to maintain order and

>ensure adherence to standards<

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Read 22 tweets
Jul 26
Let’s unpack this $ASTS picture.

First and foremost 150+ heroes building revolutionary technology.

Many Thanks to the @AST_SpaceMobile staff.

🧶🐈‍⬛

1/n Image
It is the same guys as in this picture from january.

But a few things have progressed.

Notice the evolved (as in much more simple & easy) contraption to furl an array on the left.

2/n
Noteably we’ve got two of those.

So parallell workflows / stations.

Highlighted them in yellow on the recent picture.

Remember: Initial pilot of 5 is as much about a pilot to ramp up the factory production rate as it is to test flying the new birds.

(Closeups are older)

3/n

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Read 11 tweets
Jul 11
There was a meeting between FCC and AST SpaceMobile representatives on July 8th 2024.

What can we learn from the Ex Parte filing?

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”The parties reviewed the current status of AST SpaceMobile’s unopposed amendment, filed on March 11, 2024, converting its Petition for Declaratory Ruling seeking market access to an Application to Launch and Operate under the jurisdiction of the United States (“Amendment”)2”
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ASTs pending amendment is unopposed.

This is very rare.

You can compare and contrast with Space-X petition to bend the rules to fit their system. Which everyone but T-mobile disagees with.

But no one contested SpaceMobiles amendment to make the constellation US flagged.

3/n
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Read 14 tweets
Jul 3
CatSEs li’l thread on risks and chance.

Did you know an AST BB block 2 has three seperate redundant Telemetry control links. (S-band, UHF and embedded in the Q/V feeder link).

Why this extreme 3x redundancy?

🎲🐈‍⬛

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If you consider success and failure as mutually exclusive dichotomy type entities

All is well v/s total failure.

Then you get:

Probability of succes = 1 - probability of failure.

I can re-label that as:

Chance% = 100% - Risk%

2/n Image
So if a rocket launch fails catastrophically 1/200 times on average and is a total no-flaws success 199/200 then chance relates to risk as:

99.5% = 100% - 0.5%

199 = 200 - 1

199 : 1 odds.

3/n
Read 7 tweets
Jun 24
Looking at the antenna elements ( printed dual polarization dipole antenna) and the frequenzy used
(DMSP)

We could be looking at one of the ALT/dual use cases being an MPAR Multi-function Phased Array Radar (MPAR)

1/n


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What type of tricks might such an array be capable of?

Just like BlueWalker 2 was built in a reverse communications experiment there are more of those. One has an array here in Sweden.

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Here are some of its trick. If it was out in space looking in it would add another dimension of monitoring the surface.

3/n

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Read 9 tweets
Jun 21
Might be a good time to compare AST SpaceMobile constellation to Space-X Starlink 2GHz VLEO.

🧶🐈‍⬛

1/n
For Elon Musk financing his Mars transportation system needs to maximize payload to orbit.

For Abel Avellan designing an efficient system to connect the unconnected is the purpose drives him to keep total payload down.

2/n
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Elon wants 7,500 satellites at VLEO orbits 340km at any one given time.

He has onboard eNb

Abel Avellan wants 168 larger satellites at 715-740 km altitude.

He has terrestrial gNb

This is dramatically different in several ways.

One is more sustainable and efficient.

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Read 22 tweets

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