1) A Valuation of $PUMP
Key takeaways from my latest Messari report
I built a model for $PUMP which places the token at a $7B FDV. But there's one big caveat.
Here's how we did it 🧵👇:
2) Say what you want about memecoins but the sector has continued to print money.
Volumes on the launchpad are down from the start of the year but remains far higher than where it was for most of 2024. pump.fun
3) People are probably also underestimating how successful PumpSwap has been. Launched just ~3 months ago, the DEX has already taken a chunk out of Raydium's dominance on Solana.
1) Sizing the Crypto x AI Market
Key takeaways from my latest Messari report
I don't believe AI has topped.
@Degenerate_DeFi and I put together a few fractals to compare this meta to speculative metas of the past.
Why we think the Crypto x AI Market can run to $100B:
🧵👇
2) We've written reports in the past on the fundamentals of Crypto x AI (@bloomberg_seth and @0xSynthesis1).
This report focuses more on how crypto speculation often drives prices faster than the fundamentals can catch up.
First - why I think AI has the makings of a winner.
3) #1 - AI Agents have driven retail (or "degen") participation.
TAO is still the initial leader of the space, but it struggled to resonate with onchain participants given its complexity, limited user-facing touchpoints, and lack of a native token on Solana or Ethereum.