Greg Sargent Profile picture
Aug 22 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
This is an interesting exchange between @EricLevitz and @karpmj. Central Q is: Why is the progressive left that brought us the Bernie movement much less critical of the Dem establishment (and successful Ds like Harris, Whitmer et al) these days? I have a few answers to this. 1/
One is that during the Biden years, the left (at least in Congress) genuinely was brought into the tent to negotiate over the biggest priorities, such as during the talks over Build Back Better, the biggest econ rebalancing effort proposed in decades. 2/
In the end, the original BBB was sunk primarily by Joe Manchin (and to a lesser degree Kyrsten Sinema), Which is to say the real obstacle to the most ambitious economic reform effort in decades was just two Senators. The party was plainly united behind this effort otherwise. 3/
People forget this, but an original version of BBB passed the House with virtually every single Dem voting for it. This included Dems from districts full of those wealthy suburbanites who are widely believed to be the real obstacle to more egalitarian possibilities. 4/
What this confirmed for many progressives in Congress is that those wealthier elements of the Dem coalition, and the Dems representing them, may not be the primary obstacle to a more egalitarian future. See @Jacob_S_Hacker and company on this. 5/

cambridge.org/core/journals/…
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@Jacob_S_Hacker This suggested structural factors in our politics are the more serious obstacle to that future (@EricLevitz nods at this). The malapportioned Senate, which placed BBB in hands of one man from a deep red state, is more to blame for its failure than resistance in the party. 6/
@Jacob_S_Hacker @EricLevitz Also: Virtually every Senate Dem appeared ready to end the filibuster to pass the more progressive elements of the Biden agenda. Again, largely sunk by Manchin. So a hidebound, reactionary attachment to anti-majoritarian features of Senate appeared vanquished in the party. 7/
Here again you see a party-wide awareness that *structural impediments* are the major obstacle to progressive/egalitarian reforms w/wide popular appeal. Establishment Ds are now largely united w/progressive Dems in Congress behind readiness to combat this at next opportunity. 8/
In short, Dem Party is now united behind aspirations for a much more egalitarian future in a way it hasn't been in recent decades. You see this in unity of convention speakers behind a politics that delivers for working people, as @zachdcarter argues. 9/
slate.com/news-and-polit…
@zachdcarter I can't promise that this unity behind structural reform in service of a more progressive/egalitarian future will hold if Dems do win a trifecta. Maybe it won't. But the prospects for it seem better now than I think many realize. I suspect lots of progs agree with this. 10/10
For clarity, adding that if not for Manchin and to a lesser extent Sinema, something like original BBB likely would have passed Senate as well as House, so resistance to egalitarianism among establishment and/or moderate Ds in any broader sense wasn't the key obstacle here.

FIN

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More from @GregTSargent

Aug 20
Biden's emotional speech was fantastic, but people aren't talking enough about what he said about Kamala in particular. Biden subtly rebutted some of Trump's sleazy, racist attacks on her in a very artful way, and that's essential to winning.

My take:
newrepublic.com/article/185070…
It was a beautiful thing when Biden said he was proud he'd picked a cabinet that is diverse as America itself, and talked about Kamala Harris's role in making that history -- and what's coming next:

newrepublic.com/article/185070…
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When Trump says Kamala isn't really "black" and Rs call her a "DEI hire," they're saying she's pulling a big race hustle. The answer to this is that normie voters will see racial progress as a reason to feel good about our country. Speak to that.

newrepublic.com/article/185070…

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Read 6 tweets
Aug 14
NEWS --> Over 300,000 clean-energy-related jobs are being created by projects announced since the Biden-Harris climate agenda became law, a new @ClimatePower report finds.

Many jobs are in rural/GOP areas. Wrecks Trump's lies.

Details in my new piece:
newrepublic.com/article/184855…

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In this piece, I argue that Elon Musk's weird exchange with Trump about EVs, in which Trump changed the subject to nuclear weapons, was revealing. Trump has nothing to say about one of the most important transformations happening in the US right now:
newrepublic.com/article/184855…

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All these climate manufacturing jobs being created in the heartland badly undermine the central story Trump and JD Vance are telling about the US.

This new report finds that a lot of these jobs are concentrated in rural and GOP areas *in the Rust Belt.*

newrepublic.com/article/184855…

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Read 7 tweets
Aug 5
SCOOP --> Kamala Harris leads Trump by 55-37 among Latino voters in the seven key swing states, according to the first large-sample poll of Latinos taken since she entered the race.

The poll by @SomosVotantes and @BSPresearch also shows more room to grow:
newrepublic.com/article/184533…
Kamala Harris' 55-37 lead among Latinos in this poll shows big improvement on Biden's performance against Trump, and suggests she may be rebuilding the Dem coalition: Importantly, Trump's favorability is only 39%, giving her more room to expand that lead:

newrepublic.com/article/184533…
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The poll also suggests Harris has a big opening to reverse the drift of young nonwhites away from Dems and put the Sun Belt back in play. She has very high favorable ratings among young Latinos and among overall Latinos in Arizona and Nevada.

newrepublic.com/article/184533…
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Read 5 tweets
Aug 2
Important: Border encounters plummeted again to around 57,000 in July, lowest of the Biden years and comparable to a number of months under Trump, per sources.

This undermines Trump's attacks on Harris in unappreciated ways. My new piece unpacks it all:
newrepublic.com/article/184507…
The drop in border crossings is widely attributed to Biden's asylum restrictions. But it's also because Mexico is blocking migrants from traveling to our border.

This gives Harris a good argument: This is a regional issue; she gets this; Trump doesn't.

newrepublic.com/article/184507…

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Trump's attack on "Border Czar" Kamala is not just false, it's also stupid. It shows that Trump/MAGA have contempt for the very idea of addressing root causes of migrations.

Crucial to remember: Trump canceled aid to the Northern Triangle as president.

newrepublic.com/article/184507…

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Read 4 tweets
Aug 1
One other thing about Trump's attack on Harris's blackness: It shows that the Trump/MAGA/red pilled worldview is incapable of imagining that the US mainstream will see Harris' identity/ascension in a positive light.

@NGrossman81 and I dig into this idea:
newrepublic.com/article/184462…
Another point on this pod: Trump/MAGA worldview and agitprop are built on the illusion of a silent anti-woke majority out there being suppressed by elite, nefarious liberal control of our institutions. This blinds them to realities of mainstream opinion:
newrepublic.com/article/184462…
As we say on the pod, Harris' ascension represents a true achievement of multiracial democracy. This is how the mainstream will likely view it as well. That's something Trump/MAGA cannot fathom. To them it can only be seen as using race as a scam, a hoax:
newrepublic.com/article/184462…
Read 5 tweets
Jul 30
This defense of media coverage of Trump threat by @ErikWemple is uncharacteristically ill-considered. He concludes media is indeed covering “stakes” of elex. For purposes of spurring a real debate, here’s a good-faith response. 1/

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/…
Wemple’s method is to amass a huge number of media pieces that do describe Trump as a threat in one way or another. But he ignores all the critiques that *acknowledge* all the good journalism on Trump but still find big problems with the ways the coverage conveys this threat. 2/
Some critiques acknowledge good coverage of Trump *while also* positing that sum total of it still falls short due to other issues w/media's MO today. @brianbeutler and I tried to grapple seriously with the right balance on this in this pod discussion. 3/

newrepublic.com/article/181011…
Read 12 tweets

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