Justin Bons Profile picture
Aug 26 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/9) Ethereum is dying while L2's dance on its grave

ETH cannot sustain high fee revenue because it lacks the capacity

At the same time, L2s are seeing record highs in usage & fees while they lobby to keep ETH's capacity down!

That is what makes it a parasitic relationship: 🧵
2/9) Since EIP-4844 (Proto-Danksharding), fee revenue has collapsed!

That is why the fee burn can no longer catch up with inflation, as L2s are taking all the fees instead!

This is why inflation has risen over ETH ever since L2s took over, as ETH has outsourced all execution... Image
3/9) Fragmenting the entire ETH ecosystem into separate competing camps

Breaking up liquidity & composability

Without any realistic possibility of putting the shattered pieces back together

As solutions such as shared sequencing go against L2 incentives, just like L1 scaling!
4/9) This also pushes the users into centralized L2s

As every single L2 in the top 10 (stopped counting after 10) can now steal user funds & censor

This is ironic, considering that the entire "L2 scaling" roadmap was justified in the name of decentralization...

A bait & switch
5/9) That is what happens when we put ourselves at the mercy of a centralized decision-making process

The total rejection of on-chain governance by the ETH community could only have one outcome:

Capture, resulting in what is effectively centralized control over ETH development!
6/9) With L2 money now dominating the ETH ecosystem

A pivot back to L1 scaling becomes impossible

In the hypothetical scenario of ETH scaling the L1 with a new breakthrough tech

It would crash the token & equity price of all L2s overnight by making them obsolete & unnecessary!
7/9) L2s are effectively stealing ETH users & fees

By pretending they are the "same" as ETH, but that could not be further from the truth

At best, they are competitors; at worst, it is a vampire attack, slowly draining ETH of life

L2s will migrate or become L1s, while ETH dies
8/9) That is why we can be bullish on certain L2s & not on ETH

As ETH has sacrificed itself in favor of L2s, even if that trade made cypherpunks cry!

That ETH follows the same pattern of corruption & capture we saw in BTC is significant

Exposing systemic problems in governance
9/9) That is why there is little hope left for ETH; its leadership sold out for L2s

Scaling ETH would destroy all capital & fees earned by L2s, as VCs cannot skim from L1 scaling

These parasites have twisted a public good & turned it into a platform for VC chains to rent-seek!

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More from @Justin_Bons

Aug 17
1/25) The two biggest offenders for "fake" TPS metrics are SOL & ADA:

SOL is misleading investors by a factor of 6.5, while ADA does so by a factor of 26.5!

Both are guilty of ignoring industry standards for TPS

Time to break down the numbers & separate truth from fiction: 🧵
2/25) To begin with, here are the facts as they stand now:

SOL has a max theoretical TPS of 10k
ADA has a max theoretical TPS of 18

SOL's current true TPS is 739
ADA's current true TPS is 0.4

Depending on who you ask, you will get wildly different answers for these figures:
3/25) Some claim that SOL's max theoretical TPS is 65k!

While others claim that ADA has a max theoretical TPS of 477!

There are massive discrepancies here & something needs to give for the sake of truth, as both cannot be true

As explorers are giving us very different figures:


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Read 26 tweets
Aug 5
1/25) MultiverseX (EGLD) is the technological holy grail of crypto

Capable of exceeding 100k TPS now, as it has fully implemented sharding!

After ETH & others gave up on this goal, EGLD came along & proved them all wrong!

Come with me & explore the cutting edge of crypto: 🧵
2/25) The blockchain scaling trilemma has been effectively solved!

EGLD achieves massive throughput without high node requirements

Thereby maintaining decentralization & security while scaling!

This breakthrough also entirely invalidates the "L2 scaling" thesis; repercussions: Image
3/25) Putting ETH to shame as it struggles with fragmentation

All while bleeding out fee revenue as a consequence of "L2 scaling"

This is why sharding was ETH's goal before giving up; too difficult, they said

That is, until a small team from Romania pulled off the impossible! Image
Read 25 tweets
Jul 21
1/9) The biggest innovation in all of BTC is OP_CAT:

An opcode that Satoshi removed from BTC in 2010!

That is what passes for innovation in BTC, re-implementing 14-year-old code!

This might even take years to implement, if ever... Clearly, BTC cannot evolve at all anymore: 🧵
2/9) What makes this even more ridiculous is that BCH implemented OP_CAT in 2018!

Proving that the code is perfectly safe, as it runs without problems on multiple Bitcoin forks now

The hype is also totally unjustified, as it will not bring a wave of DeFi innovation to BTC...
3/9) Something we hear every few years in BTC, but it never comes to fruition

There is clearly too much money to be made promising L2s & DeFi over BTC

That is why every few years, hundreds of millions of dollars are raised

Before it dies back down again & the cycle continues
Read 9 tweets
Jul 8
1/38) BTC's security model is broken

It has to double in price every 4 years for a century or sustain extremely high fees!

Just to maintain the present level of security...

Which is impossible, as it would exceed global GDP within decades

Therefore, BTC security is doomed! 🧵
2/38) Each halvening exponentially lowers the security budget; until it is gone!

These halvenings continue after exceeding global GDP for atleast 70 years before running out completely

If you understand exponentials & economics, you should know that this is entirely impossible!
3/38) Fees will also never reach sustained extremes due to the ratcheting effect of the fee market

Paying hundreds of dollars for a single TX is not realistic in a competitive free market

When fees spike, users leave, all due to the unnecessary addition of the block size limit!
Read 38 tweets
Jul 1
1/18) There is no ETH scaling anymore, only "L2 scaling"

No matter what breakthroughs are made, none of it will be implemented on the L1

That is how committed ETH core devs are to L2s; it has become self-destructive...

The tech behind MegaETH could scale ETH, but it won't: 🧵
2/18) Ironically, MegaETH aims to scale an EVM-based chain to over 100k TPS!

The irony here is that if we implemented this tech on ETH, we would not need "L2 scaling" at all

That is why MegaETH was a glimmer of hope for me, quickly crushed by the realization of its true purpose
3/18) As the documentation was abundantly clear about this:

MegaETH is intended to scale L2s, not ETH itself!

Even if the technology required to scale ETH is identical...

The cognitive dissonance of scaling L2s like this & refusing to do the same for ETH itself is mindblowing!
Read 18 tweets
Jun 27
1/14) We need to bring ICOs back!

Fundraising in crypto used to be democratized; anyone could participate on equal terms

Now, the market is dominated by predatory VCs instead!

The culprit; regulators made ICOs illegal, as this gave the entire early-stage market over to VCs: 🧵
2/14) It is a dirty game that is being played

VCs get in on the pre-pre-pre-sale at discounted prices, only to sell into retail at inflated prices

Why do we not allow anyone to participate on the ground floor?

This is where accredited investor laws come in to "protect" retail:
3/14) Such as the requirement for an onerous amount of KYC & AML

So difficult that it often requires lawyers & accountants on payroll

A minimum investment amount is also often required of $100k!

This effectively puts these opportunities out of reach of retail/poor investors
Read 14 tweets

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