C🅰️tSE Profile picture
Sep 15, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Constellation level aggregated out of band emmission interference is a showstopper for Starlink.

This is due to crazy big leakage in adjacent bands/channels.

So when constellation increase from 300 to 4500 (15x) they need to cut radiated power down to 15%
The system can’t scale Image
There is a term for such a system:

Non-scalable architecture. In technical contexts, this is often referred to as negative scaling or diminishing returns.

2/n
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Two. 2.

Major changes to the SCS R&O killed starlink d2c

One is that the proposition of co-primary licenses was changed to SCS being on secondary basis.

Other primary users (read terrestrial MNOs) enjoy total protection.

Starlink can use PCS on a _non_interference basis.

3/ Image
The other thing was the -120 dBW/m2/MHz interference limit.

Their bad RF equipment with an ACLR around 20 can’t make it.

A single Starlink sat can barely make it.

4500 not so much.

4/ Image
Beatings will continue until ACLR improves and the democratic lead Commission will enjoy handing out the fascia.

Yes, T-Mobile, this is decimation.

5/ Image
And so the massive spamming of each new Starlink d2c into adjacent channels they aren’t supposed to emit in forces Starlink to turn down power of every satellite on orbit as they launch more.

It is a _very_ dire situation for Starlink.

They need complete redesign of modem.

6/
They would most likely need also redesign their _vulnerable_ earth moving cells. Which will cut calls if they keep it.

And they need more directivity and sidelobe control. As they also spam spatially in the physical domain, not just in the frequenzy domain.

7/ Image
Think of this as scheduling an 8th meeting in one single office day.

With the same people. They stopped listening at the 5th and got frustrated at the 6th. Two called sick on the 7th.

Additional Starlink sats beyond ~1000 are like that 8th meeting:
Destructive.

No reward.

8/
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More from @CatSE___ApeX___

Jun 19
🚨HAMMER TIME A THREAD ON $ASTS VS $SPCX PAIR TRADE REVERSING 🚨

The AST chart just printed two hammers on the relative chart vs SpaceX.

🧶🐈‍⬛ CatSE: ”You should read this thread as it contains financial advice.”

1/ Image
A little background might come in handy.

$ASTS institutional ownership is increasing.

Yet AST has been the short side of the trade for several groups lately. I will list them.

2/ Image
1) Convertible note holders hedging their long notes by shorting stock

2) Short-term speculators using ASTS in pair/basket trades to fund long SpaceX IPO hype positions

3) Regular high short interest that never really left (now at record level 72 million shares)

3/
Read 23 tweets
Jun 6
🚨AST UNVEILS ACTIVE RADAR CAPABILITY IS ALREADY IN SPACE ! 🚨

— FM1 AND BLOCK 1 ASSETS TESTING PULSED RADIOLOCATION IN 902-928 MHZ FOR SDA / GOLDEN DOME PROGRAMS

🧶🐈‍⬛ CATSE “LET’S UNPACK THIS BEAST!”

MEGA-THREAD Image
The June 2026 STA (SAT-STA-20260603-00226) shows one of its in-orbit LEO satellites transmitting short pulses with 20% duty cycle into the three feeder gateways (Midland TX, Lanham MD, Kapolei HI). This is active pulsed radiolocation — the transmit half of a radar-type service
1/ Image
FM1 (BlueBird 6 / first Block 2 next-gen satellite) is the strongest candidate. It is the most capable asset in orbit with its ~200 sqm service-link phased array and ~90 kWp input power — nothing else in commercial LEO comes close in power-aperture product.
2/ Image
Read 27 tweets
May 27
The EC just dropped its 2 GHz MSS proposal (27 May 2026). 30 MHz paired segmented into 3 × ~10 MHz blocks. Cat 1 (gov/IRIS²), Cat 2 (EU commercial), Cat 3 (open). Comparative selection, not auction. Strong sovereignty tilt. But waivers exist.
🧶🐈‍⬛ $ASTS
1/
There is a Control test = Article 24(2) Reg 2021/696: EU establishment + management + activities + no decisive third-country influence. Basis: security, resilience, strategic autonomy (recitals + 2025 RSPG/study/consultation).

2/
Waiver under Art 24(3): case-by-case “adequate guarantees” (ring-fencing, EU command/control, kill-switch, data sovereignty). Deliberately built-in flexibility.

3/
Read 17 tweets
May 25
This thread had 180k views to date.

It’s interesting how a simple declaration of facts can be so provocative.

The thread covers an instance of Systemic Counter-Productivity in Starship booster.

This specific one was labeled by historian Edward Tenner, the ”revenge effect".

1/
The Law of Unintended Consequences is another way to label the overarching concept. It states that purposeful actions, often produce unforeseen and negative outcomes alongside or instead of the intended results. Popularized by Robert K. Merton in 1936.

2/ Image
The cobra effect is one instance of unforseen consequences.

The English wanted to reduce venomous snakes in India their colony and paid a bounty.

Seems straightforward at first but missed the point.

Outcome was large scale cobra breeding on the Indian subcontinent.

3/
Read 31 tweets
May 23
What does the capabilities of a full $ASTS Spacemobile constellation look like?

what can it do?

1/ Image
Conceptually it is a way to use solar energy and spectrum to produce intangible services such as assured PNT, sensing, IoT comms, DoD comms and broadband commercial comms.

We’ll consider the latter.

Broadband commercial comms.

2/ Image
The key metric here is area spectral efficiency.

It can be derived from Shannons formula in steps.

Here is how you get spectral efficiency.

3/ Image
Read 45 tweets
May 23
Starship has a basic engineering design flaw that has to do with probability calculations.

Failure risk tradeoffs between these two risks:

single engine failure and
fratricidal propagating engine failure

And starship has a suboptimal design.

1/n
To reach orbit a single engine failure can stop that.

Beyond ~7 engines you reach a point where a single engine failure will not prevent that.

This is one big rationale for using multiple engines.

The 9 in Falcon 9 is the number of engines.

2/
New Glenn has 7.

This is optimal territory.

The fact Elon strayed beyond 7-9 engines is him ignoring his own second step in his principles of engineering.

And it will cost him dearly.

3/ Image
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Read 22 tweets

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