This is something I’ve written about from a few vantage points over recent years. Going to try to put a longer piece together on it. This trend is real. And it’s not surprising. Some of it of course is the experience of seeing Trump twice over perform his polls. But the …
https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1845620730219958671
2/ reality going back a couple decades now is that Dems always think they’re going to lose and Republicans always think they’re going to win. That’s the consistent through line in all races even though of course the actual outcomes vary. It’s the flip side of partisan …
3/ sorting generating one deeply authoritarian party. That’s not just Trump and not just ideology. There’s some very good political science work on the fact that authoritian minded voters used to be fairly even spread across both parties. Then starting in the 90s that …
4/ started to change. The authoritarians all migrated to the GOP. That’s the social basis of Trumpism. But it works the other way too. When you have one party filled with people who gravitate toward consensus and civic democracy and actual empiricism that creates certain …
5/ habits of mind. Self doubt, questioning is one of those. It’s actually the basis of a lot of the things people who believe in civic democracy treasure. Whether you want to call it neurotic is kind of a charged way to put it. But the observation is basicallly accurate.
6/ It’s not quite the simple and doesn’t apply to everyone. But it does capture how the Democratic faction is US politics processes information as a group. Authoritarianism doesn’t mix with doubt. Again, Republicans always think they’re going to win. Democrats are always …
7/ worrying something is going to go wrong. It really is deeply embedded in the habits of mind of the two political factions.
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