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dogemperor (https://tinyurl.com/socials314)🐀 Profile picture
@dogemperor
Oct 14 • 49 tweets • 13 min read • Read on X
So it would in fact appear that the "third assassination attempt" is looking more and more like a deliberate false flag event, almost certainly meant to try to drive ammo (pun intended) for Trump to get that Personal Defense Army he's been demanding from DoD

A thread:

1/x
So this gets Spicy, and this IS going to require a BIT of backstory on players.

Player 1 is Mike Flynn, NAR Christian Nationalist, Trump's likely appointee for Secretary of Defense, and purveyor of more QAnonsense than you can shake a bag of bats with diarrhea at

2/x
And there's a lot of good subject matter experts on Flynn, but stuff on him is easy enough to dig up.

But the big things we'll focus on are parties 2-4 here in our little dilemma.

So let us commence onward:

Player 2, the Sheriff.

3/x
The Sheriff in this case is Sheriff Chad Bianco of Riverside County, California. Has actively tried to run in "monkey primaries" to try to get @GavinNewsom out of office. Also is a member of a "constitutional sheriff's" org (read: Posse Comitatus for cops).

4/x
@GavinNewsom Oh, and he's also a card-carrying member of the Oath K/e/epers, aka the Fifth Column in policing and military that was one of two groups (the other being the Pr/o/ud B/o/ys whose leaders ACTUALLY got convicted of seditious conspiracy over January 6th.

5/x
@GavinNewsom Not only is he a card-carrying Oath K/e/eper, he actually doubled down on this when people brought up that it might not be a great idea for an officer of the law to be in an actual seditious organization
foxla.com/news/chad-bian…
npr.org/2021/10/06/104…

6/x
@GavinNewsom It gets worse.

The Sheriff is also linked with Claremont Institute, a Christian Nationalist org

And the "constitutional sherrif's org" he's linked to (CSPOA) has strong linkages to Flynn, to Christian Nationalism, and to J6 stuff

7/xtheguardian.com/us-news/2023/n…
@GavinNewsom His own sheriff's office also...has a definite *reputation* for both Being Really Bad At The Police thing, but also Really Bad At Keeping People Alive In Custody (including placing a transgender woman in a cell with a sex offender who subsequently murdered her).

8/x
@GavinNewsom The Sheriff also tends to hang around with some absolutely *charming* (/s) individuals, like British racist Katie Hopkins, who *notably* has been banned from Australia, was previously banned from Xitter, and is a known UKIP member

9/xlaist.com/news/politics/…
@GavinNewsom Party 3 in this story is professional conspiracy theorist Ivan Raiklin, whom literally calls himself "Secretary of Retribution" for The Former Guy.

Said "Retribution" consisted of, among other things, a SWATting list which he fully intended to livestream.

10/x
@GavinNewsom Raiklin is ALSO CSPOA, and his literal SWATting List involved targeting over 350 government officials (politicians, fedgov employees, etc.) and journalists along with their families. Full on Army of God "Nuremburg Files" shit, in other words

11/xrawstory.com/raw-investigat…
@GavinNewsom Said hitlist included: Multiple D AND R elected officials (including all members of the House Select January 6th Committee), FBI and intel officials, US Capitol Police, witnesses in Trump's impeachment trials and J6 committee hearings, and journalists at MANY sites

12/x
@GavinNewsom And, yes, Raiklin is ALSO an associate of Flynn, so there's THAT. Specifically--he's appeared at fundraisers for Flynn, and also was previously a regular on Alex Jones pushing the false electors scheme.

He was also DIRECTLY linked to THAT particular scheme.

13/x
@GavinNewsom Among other things, Raiklin drafted a particular memo--"Operation Pence Card", typically associated with John Eastman and likely the template for the "Stop the Steal" memo--claiming Pence could refuse to certify the votes where the false elector schemes was taking place.

14/x
AND Raiklin, at that same time, had met up with Marge "Three-Toes" Taylor Greene...who was holding a meeting with the Tea Party Caucus on objecting to the certification on January 6th.

He was, reportedly, at the Capitol on J6 itself, though didn't get charged

15/x
And one of the things he's tried to do ever since was falsely portray the J6 seditionists as "political prisoners", and in fact, his SWATting List announcement was done alongside two people who DID ultimately go to jail for involvement in J6.

16/x
AND AS IF THAT WEREN'T ENOUGH:

Apparently THIS guy is linked with Christian Nationalist Pete Chambers, who's linked with Missionaries to the Preborn--a Christian Nationalist "militia" domestic terrorist group. Chambers is also a SovCit linked with Republic of Texas.

17/x
Chambers and Raiklin have discussed a concept called "Doctrine of Lesser Magistrates", a MttP concept where Christian Nationalists depose all officials (in a violent coup if necessary) and take over as Christian Nationalist sheriffs

18/xunrollthread.com/t/153526666836…
The "Doctrine of Lesser Magistrates" was brought up by Matt Shea in his manifesto (which, in part, called for all males who refused to convert to be killed) and also shows up in a "concordance" to Project 2025 from Center for Renewing America

19/xbuckscountybeacon.com/2024/03/shocki…
(Of a note: Missionaries to the Preborn and CSPOA are getting closer and closer linkages, which is definitely Concerning when you realize that Missionaries to the Preborn has also been very close to the Army of God domestic terrorist network--ALSO linked to J6.)

20/x
And, yes, this includes Raiklin lovingly detailing his plans of literally rounding up people for his own Night of the Long Knives at what amounted to a CSPOA recruitment event at the Sheriff's Assoc. of TX Annual Training Conference & Expo

21/xrawstory.com/amp/ivan-raikl…
And our final player in this play, we will refer to as Shooty, aka Vern Miller.

And basically we'll get to how Vern Miller met Chad Bianco and Ivan Raiklin, to lead up to how a bunch of Sovcit Christian Nationalist Nutters Pretend To Do An Assassination

22/x
So, Vern Miller tried to run for GOP primary for the Nevada General Assembly, actually failed at this (not the least because he was primarily running on conspo and "stop the steal" narratives more popular among the QAnonsense spouting set).

23/x
He also has had about 20 years of history promoting all manner of conspo theories, and even runs a site himself where he unleashes unabashed conspo shit on main--even some hinting Alex Jones and TFG aren't guanopsychotic ENOUGH

So yeah

24/xamericahappens.com
OK, there IS one data point I forgot to mention about Ivan Raiklin.

Raiklin DID appear on Alex Jones back in February saying it'd be GREAT if someone tried to potshot TFG, because then he could unleash his Death List for real.



25/x
Which...leads to Coachella.

But before Coachella, there was a movie premier in Newport. Which had a veritable who's who of the far-right, on a little film James O'Keefe put out called "Line in the Sand" to push a "THE MESSICANS ARE INVADING" narrative.

26/x
And at this premiere for this latest batch of Red Meat for QAnonsense Promoters Scared To Death Of Brown People...The Sheriff, Chad Bianco, was one of the star attractions (even interviewing with Rebel News).



27/x
And, as it turns out, this is also where Chad Bianco Met Vern Miller, because they managed to meet up in Newport four days before Coachella.

They even got snapshots together, how cute!

28/x
And he even got snapshots with the sheriff in the same conference that he got snapshots with Alex Jones. Definitely moving up in the world, Vern Miller was!

(For certain definitions of "moving up in the world", that is.)



29/x
And earlier in the week, you could tell that Vern Miller was already kind of raring to go for his OWN little Ivan Raiklin-style Killin' List:



AAAAAAND there's probably reasons for that, BECAUSE:

30/x
...because not only were Raiklin and Bianco besties (and both of 'em besties with Mike Flynn), it turns out that Vern Miller is ALSO besties with Ivan Raiklin!



31/x
Like, Vern Miller is bestie best buddies with Bongino (linked to TENET Media and telling far-right influencers to Shut Up), Raiklin, AND Mike Flynn like some sort of Christian Nationalist hatef*ck hugfest



32/x
And in fact Vern Miller and Ivan Raiklin are SUCH besties that Raiklin is a regular on that guanopsychosis-on-parade Rumble channel of his (and again including Flynn):

33/x
And in fact Ivan Raiklin and Vern Miller are such Bestest Bestie Hatebros that they even happily promote Ivan Raiklin's own Death List (as one does when three or four guys are Bestest Bestie Hatebros):



34/x
And of course, Chad Bianco is ALSO a Big Fan of Ivan Raiklin, to the point they follow on Xitter:

WHICH LEADS US ALL UP TO COACHELLA.

And possibly the SHITTIEST attempt at a Nuremburg Fire in the history of Attempted Nuremburg Dumpster Fires

35/x
So cue up the big ol' Coachella rally with The Former Guy, and Miller pulls up in the SovCit-Mobile with a whole SHITLOAD of weapons that are Highly Illegal To Have Whilst Unregistered In California

And basically demands backstage access



36/xpressenterprise.com/2024/10/13/las…
And THE SHERIFF acts like he's being ALL BRAVE AND SHIT, busts Miller in the SovCit-Mobile, finds a SHITLOAD of fake passports in different names, and promptly and triumphantly announces He Has Stopped An Assassination Attempt On The Former Guy.

37/x
And you would THINK that if there were an honest-to-Satan *assassination attempt* at The Former Guy that risked him having to do more than wear a Kotex on his ear for a week they'd be locking the motherfucker up with no bail, right?

NOPE. $5000 bail and he's OUT

38/x
And NOTABLY: The FBI *also* does not think an actual assassination attempt took place, and Miller is out on bail until January, which if it were an ACTUAL assassination attempt you'd think he'd not be out on his own recognizance until then

39/x
Oh, did we also mention that Miller also was hanging out with Vivek AND with Roger Stone?

40/x
And besties with Stephen Miller and Don Jr, meaning OH MY FUCKING GOD an...*snerk*...THAT MEANS SHOOTY was at the RNC convention OH NOES *FPFFFFFFFFT*

(sorry can't keep this shit up with a straight face)



41/x
I mean, legitimately if someone was ENOUGH OF A THREAT to oh my GOD OH NOES get CLOSE TO DON JR ENOUGH TO GLOMP HIM you'd think maybe he should be in jail if he were an Actual Attempted Assassin but no



42/x
And apparently now even TFG's admin is walking back the worst Attempted Reichstag Dumpster Fire since Ear Kotex became a fashion statement among MAGAts



43/end
Postscript:

Apparently someone also captured some of his worst hits on Instagram and LinkedIn

Also (in a trend that is. Extremely unsurprising) apparently has been involved in Custodial Issues (tm)

pp/1
And of course his Very Serious Documentary was a Rumble thing he did with Roger Stone pushing *specific* QAnonsense-adjacent variants of JFK assassination theories

pp/2
And commentary where the FBI does not in fact think this was an actual attempt at an assassination (as if a $5000 bail was not a clue enough):

pp/3
Also appears to be a "divorced men's rights activist", read, "he almost certainly got custodial rights restricted for being a Chud and/or domestic abuse"
And a little more on Miller et al:
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More from @dogemperor

dogemperor (https://tinyurl.com/socials314)🐀 Profile picture
Oct 15
@nerdzsaywhat @KamalaHQ Because of two or three primary factors:

a) A lot of skewed polls (yes, even the "high quality" polls are *significantly* skewed towards populations that tend to vote R):



1/x
@nerdzsaywhat @KamalaHQ b) There is a distinct belt of states (ranging from parts of the Midwest through the South and Appalachia, particularly in the "Bible belt") that upwards of 45% or more of registered and active voters are Christian Nationalists (either adherents or sympathisers)

2/x
@nerdzsaywhat @KamalaHQ Here is the PRRI study on Christian Nationalism and support in different parts of the US:

3/xprri.org/research/suppo…
Read 43 tweets
dogemperor (https://tinyurl.com/socials314)🐀 Profile picture
Oct 13
I am STILL. NOT. DONE in pointing out the methodology problems with these polls, and again this is ANOTHER poll (the ABC/Ipsos poll) that is based, again, on *paid survey pools* and which have the SAME methodolology issues as most online polling

Here we go

1/x
So we have to, again, dive for the actual PDF and I should note a bit more on Ipsos as a polling group.

Ipsos gets its polling pools from two sources: Its own paid polling, and redirects from various "paid survey" portals like Qmee

2/xlangerresearch.com/wp-content/upl…
As I noted back with the CBS/YouGov poll, paid-survey polls are *opt in* (as in, you actually have to join these), and they are PRIMARILY done by students and elderly seeking "beer money" and occasionally WAHM sorts, many of which trend R.

3/x
Read 40 tweets
dogemperor (https://tinyurl.com/socials314)🐀 Profile picture
Oct 13
We're not done with me discussing how polling is absolute Hot Garbage, and that even the "high quality polls" have such serious issues in methodology that they are missing entire populations and are highly susceptible to skew (so stop panicking and work on GOTV)

1/x
So first off, this CBS/YouGov poll *again* is A SMALL pool, 2,719 registered voters--and of note, YouGov is a *PAID SURVEY GROUP*. You have to ACTIVELY sign up to YouGov to get polled, people are PAID to complete surveys for YouGov.

This will ALREADY skew results

2/x
Many, if not most, people will actively avoid paid online surveys (because they discover very quickly it's a scam, at the most you might get a little beer money) and YouGov polls are occasionally very skewed towards Republican candidates.

3/x
Read 46 tweets
dogemperor (https://tinyurl.com/socials314)🐀 Profile picture
Oct 13
So, again, I'm going to point out some reminders re those "scary polls" (and a friendly reminder that polls don't vote, people do, and a lot of the people that vote are simply *not being picked up in the polling*)

So sit your asses down and read the goddamn thread:

1/x
One: These polls are based on EXTREMELY LOW POOLS OF VOTERS.

The NBC pool that people are flipping their shit about is 1000 people NATIONWIDE. The NYT/Sienna cross-tab polls are 800 people on average per state

These pools are actually *shrinking*, too

2/x
I've written a rather extensive thread on the methodology problems in the NYT polls (including the fact they *STRONGLY* skew to pops over 45 and include people who hang up mid-survey)

And even in "high quality" polling these are common issues

3/xthreadreaderapp.com/thread/1845207…
Read 47 tweets
dogemperor (https://tinyurl.com/socials314)🐀 Profile picture
Oct 12
@ArseGrammatica @BeschlossDC a) A lot of Narrative Driving Polls (which are meant as Noise Polls to spread exactly this kind of FUD) are being pushed
b) There are entire demographics (18-29 set, women voting Harris with Trumpy husbands) who are LITERALLY unpollable by any means
c) Dobbs Effect

1/x
@ArseGrammatica @BeschlossDC d) Polling, in and of itself, has so many methodology issues that *even high quality polls* really shouldn't be considered trustworthy and should be considered to have significant margins of error

e) The only poll that matters at the end of the day is the ballot box

2/x
@ArseGrammatica @BeschlossDC f) Regarding that last one--apparently there are FAR higher numbers of both Dems that have requested early ballots and *Returned them* than at this same point in 2020 in Pennsylvania (we should absolutely NOT rest on our laurels, but THAT's something I trust more than polls)

3/x
Read 114 tweets
dogemperor (https://tinyurl.com/socials314)🐀 Profile picture
Oct 11
@AaronBlake Gentle reminder that it's being found, over and over again, that both MAGAt influencers *AND* the networks of *hundreds of thousands* of socks and bots are part of a Russian-operated influence network (assisted by owner of this hellsite who took it over in a hostile takeover)

1/
@AaronBlake I would implore everyone on here to read my primer on Russian influence ops, which actually extend substantially into meatspace and whose goal is complete disruption of the West and reformation of a Russian Empire and new Warsaw Pact

2/threadreaderapp.com/thread/1841159…
@AaronBlake In what is almost certainly only the *tip* of the iceberg, many far-right social media influencers have been found caught up in being *paid* to promote Russian disinfo (via TENET Media)
cjr.org/the_media_toda…
cnn.com/2024/09/04/pol…
washingtonpost.com/style/media/20…

3/
Read 69 tweets

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