It's important to caveat that we relied on the accuracy of the data provided. There are often rounds that go unannounced and key data missing from other announcements. That being said, we can still use the existing data to draw some interesting insights.
To start, let's take a look at the best crypto investments of all time.
We ranked each round by the FDMC at the end of Q3 divided by the amount raised in that round.
We broke it down by fundraising cycle to determine the best performers of each vintage. ⬇️
Top deals done in 2015 - 2017:
@Filecoin @Ripple @Stacks @StellarOrg @Theta_Network @helium @qtum @dYdX
Top deals done in 2018 - 2021:
@0xPolygon @solana @CelestiaOrg @LayerZero_Core @arbitrum @zksync @Sagaxyz__ @NexusMutual @AxieInfinity @cartesiproject @injective
Top deals done in 2022 - 2024:
@SeiNetwork @ethena_labs @Eether_fi @pixels_online @AethirCloud @dymension @Sagaxyz__ @alt_layer @BuildOnBeam @taikoxyz @CelestiaOrg @SuiNetwork
Now that we've identified the highest returning deals, lets take a look at which funds have participated in these rounds.
We separated lead investors from follow on investors. Here's a list of the investors who led or co-lead these top performing rounds:
@multicoincap @polychaincap @paradigm @PanteraCapital @animocabrands and @a16zcrypto stand apart as the only firms who've led multiple of these.
These funds were most often to participate in those rounds:
@cbventures @dragonfly_xyz @Delphi_Digital @usv @slow @naval @BlockTower @scalarcapital @placeholdervc @Maven11Capital @MaelstromFund @lightspeedvp @hypersphere_vc @hashed_official @Dialectic_Group @Consensys @1kxnetwork
Since some of these investors are much more active than others, its also helpful to look at hit rate. We used the data from above but also took into account the total number of deals participated in to see who's highest. Major props to @BlockTower on this front!
With all the above information we constructed a matrix which we think provides an overview of the funds in the space.
This is a dynamic matrix given that oftentimes 1 major hit can be enough to move into a new quadrant.
Someday everyone can move to the top right. <3
Hopefully this was as interesting to others as it was to us.
We welcome any feedback or ideas for how to improve this analysis in the future. We plan to update this data on regular intervals so we want to get things as accurate as possible.
Thank you to @artemis__xyz and @tokenterminal for providing the data.
And a major shoutout to @ljparmentier for all the work bringing this analysis together.
Follow us @stratosxyz @RennickPalley @nuss_eli and stay tuned for more threads diving into this data.
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1. The proving mechanism likely won't matter in the long run
Two reasons:
- Fraud proven systems can move to validity proofs once proving efficiency increases.
- As quality blockspace becomes more abundant, the advantage of zk systems over optimistic ones is less obvious.
2. Opportunity for EVM alternatives
The EVM isnt going anywhere, but as state growth becomes less of a bottleneck, there's going to be an opportunity for better execution - primarily via parallelism. Looking forwards to seeing @fuel_network and others iterate in this dimension.
2/ For the few people out there not familiar with how EigenLayer works, heres a quick explanation:
EigenLayer introduces a new crypto-economic primitive called restaking that allows stakers to re-use their staked ETH to secure multiple networks.
3/ This addresses the challenge of fragmentation in security across Actively Validated Services (AVSs). By consolidating capital, the same amount of capital can be reused across many networks, greatly reducing the scarcity of capital available to proof of stake systems.
However, only a handful of funds have a consistent track record of backing successful companies. We looked at @MessariCrypto's fundraising data to determine who these investors were.
The top early stage venture funds in crypto ↓
Path dependence is a significant factor in early-stage investing, and companies that go on to raise a subsequent follow-on round of funding are much more likely to ultimately be successful. Significant research has been done to back this up.
This graph shows the number of early stage rounds by month from January 2021 to March of 2022, overlaid with the number of companies in that cohort that have already raised a follow-on round.