Railsplitter Fella 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Oct 27 16 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Viktor Orbán was financed by the Russian mafia:

“Semyon Mogilevich [supreme Russian mafia don] asked me to give a suitcase with 1 million DM to a young man. After he won the [1998] election I realised this man had been Orbán. Mogilevich said that had been electoral help.”
The above is from the affidavit of Dietmar Clodo, associate of the Solntsevskaya Bratva. In German in the photo.

“In the 1990s, I lived in Budapest and worked with Semyon Mogilevich. I handed envelopes with cash [from the Solntsevo mafia] on his behalf to many corrupt people.” Image
Here’s where things get more interesting. Orbán initially refused to get in Clodo’s house to get the money. But Clodo insisted, citing fear of going out with the money.
“The young man refused to enter my home. I told him: “I have the damn money and I am not stepping out with it. If you refuse to enter, I’ll give it back to Mr. Mogilevich.“ He went up to my place and I handed over the suitcase with cash.”
Inside, the cameras were rolling.
If you were a Russian mafia don, would you simply treat this as cash for services? Of course not. You’d also collect kompromat.

Mogilevich, who ran his mafia from Budapest, recorded all “disbursements,” including to Orbán and Sándos Pintér, future Fidesz interior minister.
Now remember that, while Orbán was clearly always corrupt, he was the last person you’d suspect of sympathising with, let alone working to benefit, Russia.
Until 2008, the record is full of his vociferous condemnations of Russia.
In 1998, after becoming PM at age 35, he pointedly refused to visit Moscow.

In 2007, he warned that Hungary must not become “the happiest barracks for Gazprom” and harshly criticised the country’s dependence on Russian fossil fuels. Image
In 2008, Orbán called the Russian war on Georgia “an imperialist abuse of brutal power.”

And then, a miraculous transformation occurred. In November 2009, he traveled to a United Russia meeting and happily met Putin. Gone were the condemnations. Gone for good.
What happened? Semyon Mogilevich and his old friend Putin seem to have happened.

In late 2008, Mogilevich appears to have been “arrested” in Moscow. Now, such arrests in Russia are not necessarily what they seem to the normal world.
Arrests of mafia dons in a place where mafia and state are the same are made for several reasons. Sometimes, to finish off screwups. Sometimes, to protect them. Sometimes, to tell an old friend you’re not happy they’re not calling as much as before.
While things are murky, Mogilevich’s arrest seems to have been of the latter type. After all, we know Seva and Vova have known each other since their Leningrad days.
And we know this from Ukraine’s SBU’s tapes of conversations with Leonid Kuchma.
m.censor.net/ru/news/56206/…
As one of his signs of loyalty to Putin, Mogilevich likely turned in the Budapest tapes.

Seva was soon free again while Orbán underwent the transformation of a lifetime.

(We know about the tapes from the book Mafialand Deutschland by the journalist Jürgen Roth).
And naturally, let’s not forget that one of the people that helped Mogilevich launder his money was Donald J. Trump.
Vyacheslav Ivankov, Seva’s associate and a brutal murderer, lived in Trump Tower, where he owned apartments, while a worldwide hunt for him was on. David Bogatin, another Mogilevich associate, bought 5 luxury apartments there, with Trump attending the contract signing.
Dietmar Clodo has also stated that during a Solntsevskaya Bratva gathering in Moscow in 2013, he met representatives of Trump dispatched to pitch business to the bratva’s head, Sergei “Mikhas” Mikhaylov.

Orbán, Trump, Mogilevich, Putin. The road to hell.
We can be certain there is a similarly sickening story in every country blighted by the Russian mafia/state and their traitorous local servants, who serve Moscow due to varying combinations of kompromat, bribery, boundless greed, and common goals of torching the world.

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More from @Rail_splitter1

Oct 25
The Idiot’s Guide on How to Deal with Russia.

No on press conferences, speeches, statements of concern and reports on escalation likelihoods.

Yes on shooting down Russian missiles, lifting strike restrictions and providing Ukraine with an overwhelming military capability. 1/
No on phone calls to Moscow to “reassure counterparts” that we “are not at war” with them.

Yes on communicating to Russia that if it does not stop its attacks AND withdraw from Ukraine, every single Russian soldier and piece of equipment in Ukraine will be destroyed. 2/
No on helpfully providing Russia with what we claim we’d never do, such as putting troops on the ground.

Yes on permanent strategic ambiguity and the readiness to do whatever is needed to defeat the aggressor. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Oct 11
To this day, the statements of William Burns, ex-U.S. ambassador to Moscow and current CIA Director, are routinely used by the Russian academics who run RIAC and Russia in Global Affairs, two appendages of the Russian state, to support their propaganda. Here’s Fyodor Lukyanov: Image
Image
With his cable, which he entitled Nyet means Nyet (related to NATO membership for Ukraine), Burns inaugurated a particularly flawed and irrational type of pseudo-analysis — the taking of Russian statements at face value as, allegedly, critically important “signalling.”
It clearly did not occur to Burns or to those who read the cable in the State Department back in 2008 that a U.S. ambassador who had discussions with Russian politicians and scholars would not have been told anything but what the regime wanted him and his bosses to hear.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 30
There is a dangerous idea taking hold in Western capitals: a “victory” for Ukraine consists in the survival of any Kyiv-containing entity that carries the name “Ukraine.” By this logic, Zelensky is stubborn, unreasonable and unrealistic in insisting on territorial integrity.
No profound analysis is needed to see this view’s similarity with that of multiple Kremlin mouthpieces, except you’d have to switch “victory for Ukraine” with “victory for Russia.” How can something viewed by Russia as its victory be also Ukraine’s victory? It cannot, of course.
There are three issues with that view. The first one is fundamental: any “deal” with which illegal Russian conquest is legitimised would be catastrophic for a world in which many dictators are dreaming of their own conquests.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 28
Reminder that even some former ambassadors of the U.K. and U.S. to Moscow are entirely compromised. Tony Brenton was the British ambassador from 2004 to 2008. In 2014, he used the pages of The Guardian to slander Ukraine and try to absolve Russia.
Brenton promoted the “coup” narrative about Yanukovych and said Crimeans welcomed their “reincorporation” into Russia. Image
He opposed sanctions on Russia and lied that Ukraine was “indiscriminately” bombarding civilians in Donetsk and Luhansk. Image
Read 13 tweets
Sep 25
Let’s do some close reading of this devastating account of the Biden administration’s imbecility and cowardice.
“US officials unconvinced Ukraine needs long-range strikes.”
archive.ph/z83xC
U.S. officials would like to express their frustration that Ukraine is still resisting and “demanding.” I mean, imagine the impudence of still being alive. “Occasionally” cautious is here the kind of euphemism that is really a lie. Image
Why are they so cautious? Because “President Putin has framed his attack as part of a war against the West.”
I don’t know where to begin. Should we begin with the utter failure of having your opponent dictate your behaviour with how he “frames” his words? Image
Read 14 tweets
Sep 21
In 2021, a Foreign Policy columnist hailed the then-new National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan as someone likely to become one of the greatest ever. He had had a “cult like” reputation for years among the establishment. (Think about what that says about that establishment.) Image
One of the few people in Washington who seemed to know exactly what was about to happen was John Bolton. Often ridiculed and disdained, he had it exactly right (minus the specific reference to China): the U.S. was about to truly cede the field. Image
Bolton wasn’t saying a president shouldn’t prioritise a domestic agenda. His comment was a response to Sullivan’s stated goal, upon becoming NSA, that foreign policy must be subordinated to domestic policy, frankly a proposition that is certifiably insane.
Read 11 tweets

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