Thread by @FORTRESSMAXXING

🧵🇮🇷THREAD: Ayatollah Khamenei's speech calling for retaliation has left all the Pezeshkian-Ghalibaf "National Consensus" coalition and foreign-backed Opposition people completely dumb-founded.

I'll explain why and what all of this means.

Everyone, including Israel & US, expected that Iran would declare triumph over Israel by downplaying the attack & emphasizing Iran's air defences & its performance. This is exactly what happened in the first 36 hours.

State TV was even banned from discussing about any possible damages or any possible retaliation by Iran against Israel.

But then, Khamenei, being the intelligent strategist that he is, made a speech in front of family members of martyrs & using only 60 words on the topic of Israel & the attack, said that Iran must retaliate, but he leaves the nature of the retaliation up to state/military official

Khamenei clearly outlined in his speech that indeed Israel is greatly exaggerating the impact of their attack, but we must not underestimate the Israelis either. He is correct as passing this off & not retaliating allows Israel to cross yet another red line.

In this case, no retaliation or no serious retaliation means Israel & possibly the US will strike again at Iran with greater impunity. There must be retaliation, even if it is just one minor drone attack. Iran must be firm & make due on its threats.

This time blood must be shed.

Some politicians began scrambling and echoing Khamenei's tune, like the Head of the Judiciary, Ejei. However, the entire "National Consensus" Pezeshkian-Ghalibaf alliance began changing his words and presenting them as a call not to retaliate or to retaliate at a later date.

Even the editors of Ayatollah Khamenei's official website presented the speech in such a way as to make it seem like he was saying don't retaliate. But if you listen to the speech, it's very clear that he is giving orders for a retaliation.

The foreign-backed Opposition and channels like BBC Persian and Iran International are now shocked as well, saying that this must be a sign that Ayatollah Khamenei is suffering from “ill health” and has “lost his mind.”

Immediately after the speech, New York Times published an article saying Khamenei is “about to die”, giving his enemies (both implicit & explicit) in Iran an excuse to kill him and get away with it. Aka Westophiles implement a similar action as to what likely happened to Raisi.

Opposition channels are even analysing his speech saying “you can hear impending death in Khamenei's voice”. They're essentially calling for his assassination now.

This is also why Israel called for a second series of strikes, in retribution for the attempt on Netanyahu's life. They basically want to kill Khamenei. And these strikes that they want to conduct would be pre-emptive strikes for the strikes that Khamenei has ordered.

Once again, it has become clear as day that the only man truly defending Iran's sovereignty and the achievements of the Islamic Revolution in the post-Khomeini era is Ayatollah Khamenei. His enemies have finally had enough and now it seems like they're going to try to kill him.

By the way, important but unreported news: the “Society of Teachers and Scholars of the Qom Seminary”, an organisation close to the Reformist movement, published a statement the other day saying that the only way to achieve peace in Palestine is to implement a two-state solution.

They also state that Iran must recognize the State of Israel. This is the first time in the history of the Islamic Republic that this has happened with an official organization. Previously only a few house arrested politicians (like former reformist president Khatami) said this.

Iran is at war.

On one side you have the United States, Israel, the Reformist movement, Ghalibafists, other segments of the Principlist movement, the oligarchy and the foreign-backed Opposition.

On the other side you have Ayatollah Khamenei, Hezbollah, Hamas, other regional allies and the 9 million people who voted for Jalili on Round 1 of the elections.

The internal contradictions of the post-Khomeini Islamic Republic have reached their absolute peak. Dual sovereignty and Iran's war against the US & Israel have both entered into their final confrontation. The next few years are make or break. It's the final round.

If Iran is to survive this confrontation, radical economic changes are needed. One such change that is desperately needed is controls cracking down on corruption & capital flight.

Every year, nearly $10-15 billion of Iranian wealth leaves the country & goes to Western accounts.

Via this massive capital flight, which over the course of a decade amounts to ~$140 billion, Iran is essentially funding the war against itself.

More specifically, the Iranian liberal upper classes are funding the war against Iran.

Iran has survived through dark times. During the Iran-Iraq War when Iran was an international pariah, Iran survived that war with ease due to national cohesion, revolutionary fervour among the masses, the political superstructure largely standing by Khomeini, and a WAR ECONOMY.

Since then, Iran's military technology has gotten much better and improved.

Yet corruption worsened. Disunity worsened. Economic inequality & disparities worsened. Factionalism/dual sovereignty is at its peak. The govt is relatively unpopular as a result of many of these things.

Iran is in no way, shape, or form close to achieving a war economy now. The issues of dual sovereignty, capital flight, massive corruption (which leads to easy betrayals), among other issues is why. But if Iran wants to win, it must implement war economy & address economic issues

As we currently speak, Pezeshkian is due to go to Baku to speak at the COP29 conference; Israel will also be attending this event.

This comes after news broke out that Israel utilized bases in Azerbaijan to attack Tehran during its airstrikes.

https://x.com/Khanalizadeh_IR/status/1851111874214949274?t=1B4AVSVw2EfDjjFGmS8EcQ&s=19

All in all, Khamenei is saying the right things. The question now is what happens next. These are my thoughts.

If you agree, share them. If not, then reply why not.

I and others have come under attack by Iranian reformist/NIAC troll farms/bots for criticizing the policies of their politicians.

This is just the tip of the iceberg. You only invigorate me to further expose you and uphold the Imam's Line. 🇮🇷🇵🇸🇱🇧🇾🇪🇮🇶

https://x.com/FORTRESSMAXXING/status/1851294793814704557?t=YPJdN2rhQ7Tn-SNpMKPr6g&s=19

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