Sharon Astyk Profile picture
Oct 30 18 tweets 3 min read Read on X
So about that pig with H5N1 in Oregon. It occurred on a backyard farm - the kind of small, home scale farm that local agriculture has been supporting. The kind of farm that DOES NOT feed chicken shit to pigs, but raises them on pasture, that doesn't confine them and fill them
With antibiotics. The kind of person who raises a pig for themselves and two to sell to cover the cost of butchering. I know this sort of agriculture very well, having practiced it and worked with a lot of people who practice it.
On first glance it seems like that's better than a huge confinement operation, which it is, in a sense. But it is also an indicator - because a. I promise you this isn't the only pig in the US with H5N1 - there are simply too many migratory birds passing around. And this sort
Of small farm really has very little capacity to isolate animals - which means every animal on the farm has been exposed. Generally these are pasture raised animals on grass who are exposed regularly to other animals.
And I promise you that the folks who feed and care for them are not wearing PPE, because the messaging has been that this is a problem of industrial agriculture (which it is - H5N1 emerged in commercial poultry farms) not small sustainable farms.
And in many ways these folks are modelling the kinds of best practices in agriculture that are desperately needed to survive - combined rotational grazing, regenerative agriculture. And for many folks the pigs and cows and sheep in their pastures are a huge economic investment
As well as a huge cultural investment - their kids do 4H and raise livestock. They believe, rightly that they are raising better food, better for them, the planet and everyone, than extractive agriculture. Which is why finding H5N1 is so destructive to small scale ag.
I've been advocating for months with small backyard and sustainable farmers to wear PPE when handling livestock, and disinfect boots and up biosecurity, and the problem is that they don't have the space or the equipment that big farms have. They can't put their sheep under cover
In the barn during migration, because if they don't graze until the grass is gone, there won't be enough hay in winter and they will starve. They can't isolate their animals fully from wild birds, because their barns aren't tight - and that's generally good for animals health.
Their whole grazing model, which supports carbon sequestration in grass as a renewable, sustainable resource, often depends on rotating multiple species (that eat different parts of the pasture) over the same land - so geese follow cows followed by pigs, for example.
We've known for a while that this was going to break down hard in H5N1. And its bad - because distributed, small scale agriculture is THE alternative to confinement industrial agriculture. That is, instead of massive farms with a million egg laying hens, you want a farm with...
50 laying hens that also raises 100 pastured chickens and also sheep, goats and ducks. Except H5N1 makes that wildly unsafe, and impossible. And as this spreads, it is also going to make small scale, sustainable agriculture untenable for a lot of people.
For example, do you know what the alternative to Haber-Bosch 10-10-10 is? Manure. Manure that farmers shovel and manage and turn over and compost and then put on their gardens. This is both traditional and natural, and environmentally preferrable - it enriches and builds soil
Sequesters carbon, avoids industrial emissions, grows plentiful earthworms, and reduces the need for chemicals on your food. Yes, you CAN farm sustainably without animal manures, but it is VERY much harder, and few people who aren't passionate vegans would do so. So for small
farmers, every thing in their system is multipurpose - the chickens give eggs, and manure the ground for vegetable production. In turn, the chickens eat parts of the vegetables and weeds that humans don't eat. Pastured after the sheep, whose wool can sold or makes good mulch...
The chickens eat the worm eggs in the sheep's manure, reducing the need for chemical wormers. The manure from both species feeds the grasses which feed all the animals and...and so this is a huge disaster to the kind of agriculture we need. Only large industrial farms
Have the means to keep all animals completely separate, under cover all year (and sometimes not even those). So functionally, this is going to operate to concentrate agriculture back in industrial systems, and reduce precisely the food systems that we most need.
I expect bans on things like backyard chickens which will probably even make sense, but that means that the only animal foods are precisely the industrial, overcrowded systems that got us to this point. The folks who have been trying to make something better will get destroyed.

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More from @SharonAstyk

Oct 21
Actually this is partly wrong. A thread. 1/4 It is true these people are white supremacists. But it is also true that they were better off under Trump, but NOT because of any Trump policies, but because of PANDEMIC policies. But these folks can't say that.
OF COURSE THEY WERE BETTER OFF. They got stimulus checks in the mail. They couldn't be evicted or foreclosed upon. They got more, better healthcare and telehealth. They got more food stamps. Wages were WAY up for essential workers. They didn't have to pay student loans.
Literally half of America's poor kids came out of poverty. The refundable child tax credit made a huge difference as did the rest. Homeless people got housing. There's more. But America is so busy pretending the pandemic is over and was an unfettered nightmare collectively...
Read 12 tweets
Aug 2
Folks are asking how to prepare for bird flu. Here's the first part of my work on this. This is going to be a three part essay, focusing first on what you can do BEFORE things happen, second on what things might be like when H5N1 begins to go human to human...
and finally, a discussion of knock-on effects on events and supply chains etc... in different scenarios. Today's essay is the first part.
Now first, let's make sure we're all absolutely clear. Being able to prepare is a luxury.
It means you have some of time, money, health and support beyond the very basic. If you don't, not being able to prepare can be really, really scary and overwhelming.
Read 49 tweets
Aug 1
Ok, so important study came out today about H5N1. And even if you normally think that I'm way too worried about this, you might want to pay attention.
It was a study of only TWO of the 173 farms we KNOW have had H5N1 in cows.
We know that's probably an undercount from previous studies.
They tested 14 farmworkers, and found that two had had symptomatic respiratory illness at the same time the cows were sick, and both tested positive for antibodies.
At least three other farmworkers from the same farms, who were not tested were also symptomatic at the same time.
The farmworkers had not been provided with PPE. Most concerning, one of the workers was NOT a dairy worker, but served food in a cafeteria to other farmworkers.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 8
I probably have had more kids than 99% of the people here. I fostered for 10 years, more than 40 kids. 4 bio, 6 adopted permanent kids. I've had medically fragile babies, toddlers with medical issues...THE CONSTANT SICK IS NOT NORMAL - period.
Don't get me wrong, it is normal for your kids to get a few snot-related things during their first year in daycare. It is NOT normal for your child to be hospitalized repeatedly, to get multiple severe viruses, or to be non-stop on antibiotics. That is covid immune damage.
And it is frightening as hell. And I know parents are between a rock and a hard place with daycare and etc... But those fragile child brains and immune systems are truly THE MOST IMPORTANT THING ON EARTH. This is a societal problem shoved back on parents in the cruelest way.
Read 6 tweets
Oct 13, 2023
In the horrible waves of grief and awfulness and war we're facing, it wouldn't be surprising if you missed the fact that Berkeley Earth released new data showing a 90% chance of the world crossing the formal 1.5C barrier before THE END OF THIS YEAR.
Last November, they gave a 1% of crossing it this year. I think that's as good a measure of any of how stunning the progression of climate change over this year has been.

Which brings me to a reminder of what I'm now calling "Astyk's timescale" about climate change.
Whenever you see a prediction about climate change, you should:
A. Subtract 10-15 years from any predictions that are set to happen BEFORE 2050. So, for example, we were supposed to hit 1.5C in the mid-2030s or later, depending on predictions.
Read 6 tweets

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