Julian Shapiro Profile picture
Nov 4 35 tweets 5 min read Read on X
It's done! I read 3,000 startup pitch decks.

I wanted to find what the incredible pitches had in common.

Was there a "secret ingredient" unifying them?

YES. The 4 best (that VCs wanted intros to) had the same talking point:
First, here's why most decks were *not* interesting:

Founders believed that explaining how they're better than the competition is what makes them compelling to VCs.

Maybe, but in many markets, it's not hard to suggest a solution better than status quo.

What's more interesting:
...is what approach you use to *acquire customers at scale.*

Meaning, what's your *distribution* insight?

Not just your product insight.

Because if you build something good, often they will not simply come.
Why is distribution so important in 2024?

Because winning your market by just having a better product worked better in the last startup cycle when SaaS ideas were more novel.

That ship is sailing for many non-AI plays. SaaS has become commoditized.

Meaning:
Every idea has 10 VC-backed competitors.

Plus, many incumbents move faster to suffocate startups by releasing new features.

I think of it like this:

Your SaaS co is no longer competing with slow-moving incumbents like Netsuite & Oracle.
Now you're competing with the founders of Figma, Dropbox, Airbnb, Stripe— who are still the *original* CEOs at the top of their game.

They're still cutthroat & fast.

For example: Are you starting something in the design space?
In the past, perhaps you worried about slow-moving Adobe.

Today, maybe you're competing with Dylan of Figma and his team of world-class engineers.

They're armed with copilot and hungry to line-extend to maximize market share and eventually IPO.
And even "slow-moving" Adobe is faster than before.

Did you see how quickly they released Midjourney-like features?
Did you see how quickly Notion integrated LLMs?

Did you see how quickly Microsoft integrated ChatGPT into Office?

And so on.

The point is that some VCs don't JUST want to hear how your product is better.
What some investors including myself also want to hear is:

What is your unique approach to scalably and convincingly *getting in front of customers*?

Because great ideas eventually get copied by other great founders anyway.

So let's explain distribution:
First, for context, this thread's distribution insight is from my weeklong deck review of , where hardware founders get VC dollars from the best energy/chips/robotics/bio investors.

Okay, so here's why distribution matters SO much:DeepChecks.vc
1. Most founders are bad at growth, so if you're amazing at it, the advantage is significant.

Consider: Most startups die not because founders are bad or products suck, but because they couldn't figure out how to get anyone to try them.
2. If you can grow rapidly and win the hearts of customers by scaling to them before competitors do, and if you have a great product, people are unlikely to immediately switch to competitors.
Lock-in is real. Being first can matter. Especially when users fall in love with your brand.

Also, if you've already sucked all the oxygen out of a market, competitors may be less likely to emerge and get funded.
This is why I'll sometimes invest in B-tier tech with A-tier growth strategies, especially if I believe the CEO can become A-tier over time.

But. Here's the kicker—the point of this whole thread:

Founders NEVER talk about distribution in their decks.
They do not think like marketers.

The few founders who do are the 4 decks who stood out to VCs!

Peter Thiel spoke about this a while back, and it feels like no one noticed:
"Distribution is essential to the design of the product. If you invent something but you haven't invented an effective way to sell it, you have a bad business. Superior distribution by itself can create a monopoly, even with no product differentiation. The converse is not true."
Paul Graham spoke about it too:

"Don't start a startup where you need to go through someone else to get users." —Paul Graham

There are exceptions, of course:
Companies with actually novel and defensible products can often focus more on product than distribution. However, few software companies are actually novel. Instead, novelty exists more often today within deeptech (hardware, robotics, energy, chips, etc.)
And when you're NOT novel, your major advantage is going to be a distribution edge combined with great retention.

Okay, finally, so how do you crush distribution? What do the best startups do?
First, it's OK if your distribution insight starts as a hack.

For Airbnb, their early approach was cross-posting room listings to Craigslist where people were already desperately searching for places to stay.

Airbnb had the inventory craiglist needed, and they took off.
For Hotmail, pioneers of cloud email, their growth strategy was including an email signature that said “Sent through Hotmail.“

Everyone you emailed suddenly learned about the product. That's free viral distribution.

This was before the iPhone did this.
I call that billboarding.

It's a form of my favorite distribution strategy for most startups: product-led acquisition (PLA).

PLA means your users naturally invite other users just by using your product.

It's a clearer definition of network effects for tech startups.

Example:
Another subtype of PLA is *deliberate user invitations:* When you join Slack, you naturally invite your team and contractors so you can talk with them easily.

By doing so, you’re growing Slack’s user base for them—sparing them the need to spend money on ads.
Here’s another example:

If you Venmo or PayPal someone who doesn’t yet have an account on those platforms, they will create an account in order to claim the $1,000 you sent them.

Because who isn't going to take 30 secs to claim money they're owed?
Once again, by using the app, you encourage others to sign up and grow the userbase.

I talk about more ways to do PLA on my site. For now, the takeaway:

For software companies, put a bunch of energy into your distribution insight—not just your product insight.

One last thing.
Distribution has at least two components.

The first is the HOW: the channel that you use to get the word out, e.g. PLA or ads.

The second is the WHAT: what is your message—and whether it's compelling enough to resonate.

Meaning:
For people to try your product, you should present your product in a way that people intuitively FEEL how much better you are than your competition and perceive ENOUGH of an improvement to warrant QUICKLY switching plus enduring your switching costs.
Meaning, customer adoption isn't just about whether you provide more value than the status quo.

It's also about whether users can PERCEIVE that big value reflexively.
The skill of growth doesn’t just consist of getting the word out, but also in presenting your value in a way that *resonates.*

That means distribution is (1) growth engines and (2) great storytelling.

That's where the best founders I've backed often win.
Here's an example of storytelling. I call this a "genesis narrative:"

At Synthesis, their CEO told the true story of how their cutting-edge, online, interactive game that helps children become better at problem-solving is a spinoff of Elon's school for his kids at SpaceX.
The message: If it's good enough for Elon, it's good enough for you.

That narrative piqued the curiosity of skeptical Elon-favoring parents and led to millions in profitable ad spend because parents gravitated toward genesis narratives justifying what made something fresh.
Put another way, Synthesis’ pitch isn’t just value props.

Rather, it’s a story that customers partake in.

So, keep this in mind:
When a post-product business is still a young startup, it's not a traditional business yet.

*It's an experimentation factory in search of distribution insights and storytelling.*

Set your priorities accordingly.
And if you're building something dope in hardware or the sciences, consider submitting your deck to Deep Checks VC. It's where the best scientific founders get funded.

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More from @Julian

Oct 8
You can't imagine how effective China's weather modification program is.

They now control their weather.

My little investigation into how they do it across 50% of their land:
See the graphic below.

In short, by interacting with clouds, China has increased rainfall by 27% in their Northeast.

The extra rain grows *11.6 million* more tons of grain.

That feeds 40 million people. That's the entire population of California.

Here's how they're doing it: Image
They do two things at once:

1. Inject liquids into clouds while...
2. Burning fuel on mountain peaks

How does this work?

And, if we did it ourselves, could we end wildfires, control floods, and eliminate droughts?

The answer might be yes. Image
Read 19 tweets
Feb 14
Ever notice this about crazy good writing?

There's actually an equation to it:

Great writing = Novelty x Resonance^2

• Novelty is what no one has seen before
• Resonance is *how much it grabs you*

Watch how Deadpool + The Boys exploit this. Here's how to tell great stories:
First, let's consider classics like Gladiator and Shawshank Redemption.

They tell clichéd stories as old as time. Gladiator fights and revenge arcs.

NOT a lot of novelty there.

However, they've resonated far more than other films for decades.

Why?
Because they resonate so deeply—by being *harrowing* and *cathartic.*

These resonant qualities overcome their (relative) lack of novelty.

Because, fundamentally, we really want to feel.

What is resonance exactly?
Read 13 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
I'm finally done. I automated my home with 30+ smart home gadgets.

Sensors are everywhere—all across the farm. I feel like a crazy person.

My most clever home automations so far:
First, another breakthrough on preventing bugs: In addition to solving mosquitos (see the last tweet on my profile), I've solved flies too.

Buy this product, trust me:

"RESCUE! Outdoor Disposable Hanging Fly Trap"

The most effective fly trap on Amazon. Image
It's a mix of natural smells that flies can't resist. They choose it over you even when you're cooking meat.

Once they're inside that bag, they're trapped.

Use 2 bags, each 30 feet away from you. Replace monthly. Hallelujah.
Read 22 tweets
Jun 20, 2023
i finally did it! i eliminated all mosquitos. haven't seen one in ages

the technique:

- fill buckets with water, dirt, grass
- place buckets in shade, spread 50ft apart
- put a "mosquito dunk" ($0.50 each) in each
- wait 6 weeks

that's it!

it works because...

Image
Image
Image
mosquitos like to lay eggs in stale water. that's why you put dirt and grass in the buckets—to produce "old water" chemical reactions for them to sense. they like stale water because it's likely to remain, which means their eggs can hatch

now, you see that donut thing? well...
that mosquito "dunk" contains a harmless-to-humans bacteria that kills eggs once laid

as long as you have no other sources of stagnant water on your property (first address that), they have nowhere else to bread but in your buckets

mosquitos only live for a few weeks, SO...
Read 7 tweets
May 26, 2023
John Mayer and Billie Eilish use the same technique to avoid writer's block. John explains it so beautifully below:

After, watch Billie explain it from another angle 🧵
In short, they're constraining creative scope.

Billie calls it "perimeters."

They do this because the brain freezes when facing too large of a canvas. It doesn’t know which path to choose, and it worries each is wrong.

In other words: Instead of writing a movie...
... write a spy movie.

Instead of writing a song, write a love song.

Constrain.

Only when the constrained version is decent do you optionally expand the scope into something bigger.

However, we have a problem. Constraints help avoid overwhelm, but not generate great ideas...
Read 16 tweets
May 20, 2023
I want to explain why venture capitalists give 21 year olds $30,000,000 to pursue startup ideas.

What's going through their heads?

What specifically are investors looking for today?

Here's how I've seen VCs' minds work after 4 years:
For context, most of my day is spent intro'ing founders to investors:

• I run a seed fund: Julian.capital
• I built VCSheet.com (free) to help founders find VCs
• I run SeedChecks.com for founders to meet well-known angels
I'm writing this thread because many founders are struggling to understand why VCs aren't interested in their startups.

The first thing founders should know:
Read 72 tweets

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