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Prognostic Chats Profile picture
@PrognosticChats
Nov 6 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Prof Harries - head of @UKHSA tasked with your safety, “we are now with Covid in the exact same place as we are with flu, RSV or other pathogens"

Except we are not. Not even close. Why wasn’t this statement challenged? As it’s the basis of her denial.
Anyone got the lawyers no?
It’s not like her nonsensical statement, designed to minimise risk, could stand up to even the most basic of scrutiny. Here is weekly flu, RSV & Covid hospital admissions from @UKHSA data compiled by @chrischirp with some exquisite colouring in from me…do they all look the same? Image
Image
@UKHSA @chrischirp Some simple follow ups would have demonstrated why the entire basis for @UKHSA policy of treating Covid just like RSV/flu is nonsense
- deaths from Covid last year/2 years?
- deaths from flu/RSV same periods?
-admissions for all 3 in last year/2 years?
-chronic illness from each?
@UKHSA @chrischirp What are the numbers of chronic illness from each infection?

The @WHO has been crystal clear on tbe immense risk of Covid leading to Long Covid - this from April 2023 - was this not raised to show Covid is significantly different to RSV or Flu…yet @UKHSA says they are the same
@UKHSA @chrischirp @WHO “Flu is the same as Covid now”
1. Covid has multiple times higher mortality
2. Covid has multiple times higher chronic illness
3. Covid has multiple times higher incidence & prevalence
Some US data from @greg_travis Image
@UKHSA @chrischirp @WHO @greg_travis Covid is not the same as flu or RSV for all those most basic of reasons. Why was this statement not challenged at the Covid inquiry?
Latest @ONS data shows 1 in 38 of ALL deaths in England/Wales at a time when Covid testing is minimal were still registered as Covid.
1 in 38.
@UKHSA @chrischirp @WHO @greg_travis @ONS Get her back & ask her ‘you said, “we are now with Covid in the exact same place as we are with flu, RSV or other pathogens". Can you explain why 1 in 38 deaths in week ending 25th Oct 24 were registered as due to Covid at a time when the only tests are those dying in hospitals?’

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More from @PrognosticChats

Prognostic Chats Profile picture
Nov 5
She keeps asking, she keeps not getting a clear answer. There’s a reason for that.
“Why don’t we just wear masks?”

- the answer is hidden in the reply re shopping - it’s because the NHS policy makers have simply given up & equated getting Covid when shopping with an NHS ward.
It’s an admission of giving up. We can’t eliminate Covid, you might get it when shopping, so why bother trying with masks at work?

Because work is full of people you can kill or permanently disabled if you infect them - including you. We have a duty of care to patients & staff.
I’ve encountered this attitude of resignation multiple times when making suggestions to improve patient & staff safety.
“No one else is masking anyone”

“Others trusts stopped ages ago too”

“Covid is every where”

As it it wasn’t even worth the bother of doing simple mitigations
Read 4 tweets
Prognostic Chats Profile picture
Nov 5
Public Health bosses from Wales & Northern Ireland provided eye opening, confusing & shocking evidence at the Covid Inquiry today, leaving it still asking
- why aren’t you using PPE?
- why aren’t you monitoring the impact of Long Covid?

Neither question could be answered 🧵
Wales first…

Why isn’t PPE used to stop Covid spread?

*doesn’t answer question*

Why isn’t PPE used to stop spread?

*we decided Hospitals will have Covid*

Why aren’t you using PPE then???

The illogical mess is being laid bare for you all to witness now.
Northern Ireland, chief of public health agency stating out loud, on the record, that they are ignoring Long Covid

Q. “Does the PHA have any role in relation to the identification of Long Covid?”

A. “not that I’m aware of”

Over 2 million in Uk with LC, NI PHA: who cares 🤔
Read 4 tweets
Prognostic Chats Profile picture
Aug 30
I fully expect more autumn & winter waves this year, I expect them to be bad based on us coming out of a prolonged bad summer wave just now, with less vaccine uptake expected & virtually no mitigations in society now, including healthcare

I’ll be relieved if I find out I’m wrong
As the waves are entirely predictable given what we know of Covid &what happens with no mitigations I’m delighted that our hospital has brought back regular staff testing & patient admission testing to prevent asymptomatic transmission & stop patient/staff outbreaks…
HEPA filters have finally been introduced to the wards & shared office and meeting spaces, making clinical & educational areas much safer for everyone.

Masks have also been brought back, which will radically cut down on nosocomial infection spread & staff sickness too.
Read 8 tweets
Prognostic Chats Profile picture
Aug 3
Some basic covid science🧵
- you can be infected without showing symptoms
- you can pass on infection without showing symptoms
- you can pass on infection before you start showing symptoms
- a negative lateral flow doesn’t mean you aren’t infected (lots of ‘false negative’ tests)
- a positive lateral flow means you have Covid (that’s where it is useful)
- the day 5 rule is based on the economy & not science (many are infective well beyond 5 days)
- you can get Covid multiple times a year (there isn’t lasting immunity)
- Covid evolves all the time
- there are different variants of Covid (so you can catch different variants)
- Covid is airborne (masks & ventilation reduce risk)
- acute Covid is only the start, the post acute infection sequelae can be very serious (eg elevated heart attack & stroke risk for 1 year)
Read 9 tweets
Prognostic Chats Profile picture
Mar 22
The number of young people presenting with advanced & very aggressive cancers over the last year in particular is worrying. I’ve never encountered it in such numbers my whole career. None of our colleagues have & they all remark on it. Tip of the iceberg.
Here’s a little video that tells you about p53
#Cancer
nature.com/articles/d4158…
Amazed to see this in the media, but here it is, he makes reference to p53 (the protection). The desperation in the interviewer asking if it is only in those with underlying conditions 🫠
The underlying condition here is having had a Covid infection!
Read 4 tweets
Prognostic Chats Profile picture
Feb 16
Year 5 of the pandemic now. The last year has been the toughest in some ways. 2020 we had solidarity & collective effort to protect each other. The world acknowledged the reality & enormity of what it faced. Deaths were recognised, suffering was validated with real compassion.🧵
2021 we saw the first attempts to deny reality, the UK celebrated “freedom day” as Covid ripped through our NHS & population gifting thousands more with a new illness emerging as Long Covid in those who had not yet recovered 🧵
2022 saw denial take a firm grip, society looked more like 2019, NHS removed its Covid sick leave for staff & started to remove masks from its services. Free lateral flows were withdrawn. Media, government & society embedded the term “post-pandemic” in all communications 🧵
Read 8 tweets

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