Pew Research Center's review of validated voters reveals that Trump won 55% of whites in 2020.
According to the two largest accredited exit polls (AP/NORC and Edison), Trump won 56% and 57% of whites respectively this election.
These figures are of course within the margin of error, but there's no reason (yet) to believe he's losing white voters.
With regard to the college whites, it's true that Trump won fewer of them in 2016 than Romney in 2012. But Trump has been making slow progress in that regard – he's gained a few points each election cycle among this cohort (2016 38%, 2020 42%, 2024 45-46%).
According to the two largest accredited exit polls (AP/NORC and Edison), Trump won 56% and 57% of whites respectively this election.
These figures are of course within the margin of error, but there's no reason (yet) to believe he's losing white voters.
With regard to the college whites, it's true that Trump won fewer of them in 2016 than Romney in 2012. But Trump has been making slow progress in that regard – he's gained a few points each election cycle among this cohort (2016 38%, 2020 42%, 2024 45-46%).
More info on these exit polls. I'm no expert, but I think the Edison one only interviewed voters in 10 states (NBC uses Edison, and NBC claims it only did 10 states), whereas the one Fox News used (AP/NORC) included all 50 states -- and it had nearly a 5x larger sample size.
That said, as you can see in the screenshot above there are other methodological differences between the two, so maybe Edison's is better. But NBC's poll didn't include New York, which is why is showed a 79% Jewish Dem vote nationally when we know Jews shifted rightward in NY.
It's also worth noting that these preliminary exit polls are less exact than the reviews of validated voters that come later. Pew's, for example, was published halfway through 2021.
pewresearch.org/politics/2021/…
pewresearch.org/politics/2021/…
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