Admiral: "We need to replace our fleet with three more carrier strike groups and fifteen guided missile destroyers."
Palmer: "No, we need to replace it in the aggregate."
Admiral: "The what?"
Palmer: "One carrier is a target. A thousand autonomous vessels are a nightmare."
Admiral: "They're untested. The maintenance alone..."
Palmer: "Analyst, why do you like them?"
Analyst: "Because they survive first contact, sir."
Palmer: "Exactly. Instead of building another $13B target, we could build presence and lethality across thousands of platforms."
Admiral: "We still need carriers to—"
Palmer: "To what? To tell the Chinese exactly where our forces are? The aggregate forces them to solve an impossible math problem. Every rock in the First Island Chain could be hiding a kamikaze boat. Every wave could hide an unmanned sub."
Admiral: "You want to replace the most powerful vessels ever built with a swarm of expendable toys?"
Palmer: "I want to stop thinking like it's 1986. Look, the phones in our pockets have more computing power than the entire U.S. fleet had during Desert Storm. But we're still building ships like computing never happened. We're not in an arms race anymore - we're in a complexity race. And you don't win that with bigger ships. You win it in the aggregate."
@RobMcNealy (i'm joking)
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Of course that's your contention. You learned what a superconductor was 3 days ago. You just got finished reading a post about a Chinese lab that couldn't replicate it, you're gonna be convinced of that until you read about the 🇷🇺 anime cat girl and then be convinced it's real.
Well, as a matter of fact, I won’t, because the Russian cat girl drastically overrates—
—cat girl drastically overrates the importance of diamagnetism in whether or not LK-99 succeeds as a room temp, ambient pressure superconductor? You read that tweet by Alex Kaplan, right? I read it too.
Were you gonna plagiarize his entire thread for us? Wanna check manifold?
"Hello, Roon? It's SBF. You RT'ed my thread last week about 10 ways I used ChatGPT to transform my workflows and personal relationships.
Roon, I'm calling because an AI startup just came across my desk and it's the most revolutionary product I've seen since Web3. You got a sec?"
"The name of the company is AI-nimals. It is a cutting-edge AI product that translates pet sounds into human language.
The founder has deep connections from his time at Stanford's Online Veterinary Anthropology program, and is already negotiating a pilot contract with PETA."
"Now, right now, Roon, the company's valuation is only 45 million dollars. And by the way, Roon, our friends at Sequoia and other Silicon Valley venture funds say this could go a heck of a lot higher when they invest later this year."
"Jesus, Seth, listen to me. If you really want to be a VC for life, you have to believe you’re necessary—and you are. Founders wanna live with their free OpenAI credits, their free food delivery, and their tech week parties they can’t even fuckin’ pay for. Then you’re necessary."
"The only reason they get to continue living like kings is because we have the fingers on the scale in their favor.
I take my hand off, then valuations gets really fuckin’ fair, really fuckin’ quickly, and nobody actually wants that. They say that they do but they don’t."
You wanna know the funny thing? If tech collapses, we're gonna be crucified. But if we're wrong, and everything is fine? Well then, the same founders are gonna laugh till they piss their pants cause we're gonna all look like the biggest pussies God ever let through the door."