My thoughts on the bull cycle timeline:
We're going to hit the first market-wide major correction when the US crypto regulation is announced, most likely in Q1 2025.
I expect a long-term positive outcome from the regulatory framework, but the initial fears around it will be amplified through media cycles, as they always do, to flush out retail investors in the middle of the bull cycle.
Study the last cycle too—where you saw a market-wide bleed post-March 2021—and the 3-month correction led to a wider rally for alts.
The correction period will likely come into play soon, within a maximum of 4–5 months, but the rally after the reaccumulation phase post-correction could be much longer, especially for "Dino" coins like AAVE, MKR, ETH, and other projects that appear to be solid assets or businesses in the eyes of crypto regulators.
That's what I think the real supercycle would look like—where coins with strong fundamentals might experience a dream run for a few years, with only small corrections in between.
We're going to hit the first market-wide major correction when the US crypto regulation is announced, most likely in Q1 2025.
I expect a long-term positive outcome from the regulatory framework, but the initial fears around it will be amplified through media cycles, as they always do, to flush out retail investors in the middle of the bull cycle.
Study the last cycle too—where you saw a market-wide bleed post-March 2021—and the 3-month correction led to a wider rally for alts.
The correction period will likely come into play soon, within a maximum of 4–5 months, but the rally after the reaccumulation phase post-correction could be much longer, especially for "Dino" coins like AAVE, MKR, ETH, and other projects that appear to be solid assets or businesses in the eyes of crypto regulators.
That's what I think the real supercycle would look like—where coins with strong fundamentals might experience a dream run for a few years, with only small corrections in between.
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