Aaron Y. Zelin Profile picture
Nov 29 21 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Was planning to write something yesterday about the institution-building/lessons of HTS over past 4.5 years, but my laptop died so going to Apple Store to get fixed today. But for those curious about these changes, here’s a thread of articles I’ve written since 2020 on HTS: 🧵
May 2020: The Jihadi-Backed Salvation Government and Covid-19 in Northwest Syria washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
September 2020: Living Long Enough to See Yourself Become the Villain: The Case of Abu Muhammad al-Maqdisi jihadica.com/living-long-en…
June 2021: Hanging on in Idlib: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s Expanding Tribal Engagement washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
June 2021: Abu Khalid al-Shami Killed in Russian Airstrikes syrianjihadism.com/2021/06/10/abu…
June 2021: Affirmations of Support and Rituals of Jihadi Martyrdoms gnet-research.org/2021/06/17/aff…
June 2021: “Idlib’s Guantanamo”: Foreign Fighters in HTS Prisons syrianjihadism.com/2021/06/11/idl…
June 2021: Jaysh al-Qa’qa’: A New HTS Front Group In Olive Branch and Euphrates Shield Territory? syrianjihadism.com/2021/06/13/jay…
July 2021: Who Is Abu Ahmad al-Zakur? HTS’s Liaison to the Syrian National Army syrianjihadism.com/2021/07/15/who…
August 2021: From Global Jihad to Local Regime: HTS Builds Different Forms of Legitimacy washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
August 2021: HTS Ideologues Respond to the Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan syrianjihadism.com/2021/08/19/hts…
February 2022: Second Islamic State Leader Killed in Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Territory washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
May 2022: The Age of Political Jihadism: A Study of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
June 2022: Designations and Sanctions Related to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and Its Predecessor Groups syrianjihadism.com/2022/06/03/des…
June 2022: Rhetoric Meets Reality in Jawlani’s Push for Self-Sufficiency washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
July 2022: Why Is It So Difficult to Get Off a Terrorist List? lawfaremedia.org/article/why-it…
August 2022: Jawlani’s “State of the Union” jihadica.com/jawlanis-state…
February 2023: Jihadi “Counterterrorism”: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Versus the Islamic State ctc.westpoint.edu/jihadi-counter…
March 2023: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and Imagined Communities in Its Proto-State washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
June 2023: Sanctioning a Syrian Jihadist Leader: Implications of a Joint U.S.-Turkish Designation washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
April 2024: The Last Days of Abu Mariyah al-Qahtani syrianjihadism.com/2024/04/20/the…

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More from @azelin

Aug 15
New infographic on three years of diplomatic engagements by the Taliban’s Islamic Emirate Image
Other variations of infographics for the first three years of the Taliban’s diplomacy

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Here is year 2 and year 1 for comparison
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Read 4 tweets
Aug 8
For those curious about the Islamic State's activities in Austria in recent years in light of the Taylor Swift concert attack plot, here's a short thread 🧵:

1. Claimed responsibility for a shooting/stabbing attack in Vienna on November 2, 2020. washingtoninstitute.org/islamicstatein…
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2. In June 2023, there were arrests made related to an IS plot to attack the Pride Parade in Vienna that year washingtoninstitute.org/islamicstatein…
3. In September 2023, Austrian authorities broke up an IS cell in Linz who were connected to IS activity in the Caucuses washingtoninstitute.org/islamicstatein…
Read 6 tweets
Jul 31
Thread 🧵 on the newest UN monitoring report on the Islamic State and al-Qaeda and information that stood out.

1. "The identity and location of the group’s leader, Abu Hafs al-Hashimi al-Qurashi is still not clear."

-Contra certain leaks by the U.S. governmentmain.un.org/securitycounci…
2. "Concerned by new inward travel to Afghanistan of some Al-Qaida personnel and training, recruitment and reorganization activities."

-It should be remembered that Turkish Airlines now flies direct to Kabul since May 21, so a lot easier to get to Afghanistan now than in past
3. "The Al-Furqan office has grown in both importance and capability, establishing cells and facilitation networks in northwest Nigeria and facilitating ISWAP support for the operations of Islamic State in the Sahel, on the direction of ISIL core leadership."
Read 25 tweets
Jul 16
🧵 on the minuscule number of jihadi cases related to Oman over the past 20 years
Very little history of it as of 2008
Read 8 tweets
Mar 24
For current and future reference: A thread on Islamic State attacks against different countries and targets.

-Afghanistan (Taliban and former Afghan Republican Government)
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-Algeria Image
-Australia Image
Read 49 tweets
Mar 22
While we wait to see if IS claims the attack in Russia, my Islamic State Worldwide Activity map has an archive of IS-related propaganda, attack claims, designations, and local arrests in Russia going back a decade. Not IS's first rodeo within Russia. washingtoninstitute.org/islamicstatein…
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Past IS-claimed attacks within Russia (outside Chechnya/Dagestan/Ingushetia regions) from the IS Map.

Aug '16: Balashikha

Oct '16: Nizhny Novgorod

Apr '17: Khabarovsk

Aug '17: Surgut

Dec '17: St. Petersberg

May '18: Nizhny Novgorod

May '18: Neftekamsk

Apr '19: Kolomna
Russian arrests (outside Chechnya/Dagestan/Ingushetia regions) related to IS recently:

5 in Moscow (April '21, April '22, March '23, April '23, September '23)

2 in Kaluga (February '23, March '24)

1 in Altai Krai (February '24)
Read 6 tweets

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