Norman Angleson Profile picture
Dec 11, 2024 1 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Something to be aware of:

Parenthood is causal for conservatism, and when parenthood is controlled for, the age-conservatism correlation reverses in direction.
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…

-Longitudinally, parents become more conservative when they have children.
-Experimentally reminding people of their parenthood status causes them to identify as more conservative.
-Across hundreds of enormous (total N = 426,444), nationally-representative samples from the world values survey (and in previous research as well as the authors’ own 10-nation sample) conducted across four decades and 88 nations, parenthood consistently explains the age-conservatism correlation:

—Replicating the previous research from American samples, the authors’ original 10-nation survey found that the β = +0.34 association of age with social conservatism became a non-significant β = −0.07 [−0.32, 0.19], p = 0.605 effect when controlling for binary parenthood status.
—Across all WVS waves (total N = 426,444), the β = +0.04 association between age and sexual conservatism reversed to a β = -0.27 (p < 10 ^ -40) effect when controlling for parenthood and a β = -0.53 (p < 10 ^ -149) effect when controlling for number of children.
—In the WVS wave 5 & 6 samples (N = 173,540), the β = +0.50 association of age with traditionalism declined to a β = +0.14 effect when controlling for binary parenthood status and reversed to a negative β = −0.15 (one-tailed p = 0.000538) effect when controlling for number of children.
—In the WVS wave 6 & 7 samples (N = 167,677), ingroup preference (i.e. trust in foreigners and in members of alien religions subtracted from trust in family and neighbors) did not correlate with age β = 0.00, 95% CI = [−0.03, 0.03], and controlling for parenthood created a negative β = -0.15 (p < 0.0001) effect while controlling for number of children created a negative β = -0.33 (p < 0.0001) effect.

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More from @AnglesonNorman

Jul 5, 2025
EZ
1. End male -> female redistribution (if anything, reverse it)
2. Tax housing for old people and subsidize it for young people.
3. Abolish social security
4. End immigration and legalize segregation
5. Ban job candidates from putting college degrees on resumes
6. Abolish car seat mandates
7. Abolish paternity leave
Read 21 tweets
Dec 25, 2024
New effortpost arguing that manuscript evaluations in peer review are more correlated with reviewers' theoretical prejudices than they are with the ratings of another reviewer. Image
How are we supposed to tell whether peer review successfully filters for quality? One low bar is that if there exists some objective way of telling good from bad, then multiple reviewers should be able to follow some common process that lets them agree on which is which.
Looking at a previous meta-analysis of inter-rater reliability with better meta-analytic methods, I find a trim & fill corrected meta-analytic effect of only 0.2054. Image
Read 17 tweets
Dec 1, 2024
Is race a social construct cooked up to justify the transatlantic slave trade?

Review of court cases + censuses + naturalization laws concerning the Whiteness of various groups finds:
-Italians, Irish, non-Anglo Euros always considered white; their naturalization was campaigned against on grounds of non-WASP status rather than non-White status.
-various middle eastern groups mostly ruled to be non-white
not-equal.org/content/pdf/mi…

Some other pieces from our guys on the subject:
- aporiamagazine.com/p/race-and-the…
- thuletide.wordpress.com/2020/12/07/rac…

Fuerst's book on the existence of race contains some good discussion on historical usage of the concept:
philpapers.org/archive/FUETNO…

Some inconvenient quotes:
-1778: King Louis XVI of France forbids all his white subjects to “contract marriage with blacks, mulattoes or other people of colour”:
x.com/kunley_drukpa/…
-Roman Emperor, Julian the Apostate discusses human biodiversity - that is innate differences between the races in mind and body:
tertullian.org/fathers/julian…
i.imgur.com/r6sFxlr.png
-Napoleon: "Had I been at Martinique, I should also have been on the side of the English [...] I am for the whites, because I am white; I have no other reason, yet that is reason good enough."
x.com/thltd_/status/…
^ see p.120:
not-equal.org/References/Ref…
-It's been proposed that Europeans became aware of themselves as such as early as the year 732:
x.com/DBlossius/stat…
Read 15 tweets

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