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Dec 13 22 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Let us look at the SDA opportunity.

What does $ASTS have that SDA might seek?

How does that fit with PWSA architecture and timelines.

Any hints there is a fit or work in progress between the two space architectures?

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AST was selected to be part of HALO pool. From this pool they can be awarded contract for 2 space vehicles.

This is when AST themselves became a prime DoD partner.

In parallell we know that another AST partner which also has a prime contract staus with the DoD are testing OISL Image
That other partner is Fairwinds.

They integrate as part of SBIR OSIL direct to Phase 2 a Skyloom OISL on a ASTS Flat Sat Simulator, with a 12-mo demonstration integrating the OISL onto the Sat and test events to verify interoperability between ASTS payload and an SDA OISL.

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It’s easy to see how these two contracts are consecutive steps towards the same end goal.

Fairwinds ”effort will produce a study on how to integrate an SDA OISL onto a commercial LEO satellite and test data that verifies the interoperability between the two architectures.”

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And the HALO contract sets the stage for the next step, which is Space Vehicles launched under T2 DES a demonstrator tier of the PWSA to find new tech for the Tranche 3 layers.

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Which, as there evidently are two steps towards a common goal already iniyiayed, brings us to ponder what the third step might be? And what the end goal might be?

This is where this thread shifts from known facts to more of speculation and hints.

T2DES seeks tech for T3

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So let us look at T3.

Let’s start with the Legend and try and identify capabilities that an AST BlueBird wpuld have after succesful Skyloom OISL integration

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First IBS-L a broadcast system in UHF.

Let’s flag that as possible because $ASTS BlueWalker 3 is transmitting in DMSP frequencies already another US program. And they’re in the approximate same frequenzy range. So we know AST satellites already have that UHF capability.
8/n
Then I get this from the communications Legend in Tranche 3 transport layer.

Nota Bene Tranche 3 has more layers and a software defined phased array has more use cases than coms.

But let’s stick with coms not to speculate too wildly.

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Let’s now compare and contrast.

T3TL Upsilon is a good match for the known capabilities of an OISL equipped AST satellites.

One thing not full match.. Which is the Ka band fixed satellite service / feeder link

AST has a Q feeder link.

But wait..

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Part of Q band is actually also Ka band.

And 70cm Tendeg steerable feederlink antenna AST is using is capable of both bands.

AST requesting from 37.5 GHz which matches both bands.

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Meanwhile the DoD just initiated opening up their spectrum to co-equal access between the military and commercial companies around this intersection of Ka and Q.

Hat tip @no_privacy Thank You for sharing that proceeding w me.

So in a way the capabilities are a full match.

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40 Upsilon will be ordered.

Not unusual that these are awarded to two different companies, nor that the number is expanded.

But at least a potential for a 20 sat order. At ~20 Mn each that is a ~400 Mn USD order potential.

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Does the SDA want giant phased arrays?

Yes they do.

It is in their roadmap.

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” But.. ASt sats are for 3GPP cellular communications!!”

No, $ASTS FPGA phased arrays are pretty indifferent to coms protocols and it is just the Nokia -terrestrial- AirScale gNodeB that is

Think of satellite as a mirror that can reflect both civilian and DoD waveforms.

15/
$ASTS is building a vertically integrated high throughput production line.

That will have economy of scale that is very attractive to DoD.

There are also _many_ non coms use cases. MPAR, SIGINT, Weather radio occultation, MIMO-SAR,/FF-SAR that speaks to other T3 layers.

16/
Here is when DoD starts shopping for T3 layer.

The two T2 DES satellites will come long before that.
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There are other less known facts like those to be found in MICRONSAT-2 filing.

A one year old still active ITU filing re: SpaceMobile constellation.

It is a filing for a layered architecture. Noteably a 1400 km shell.

SDA operates in this neighbourhood: 700-1200. AST 700-1400. Image
As theodorus tracks the Block1s are spacing out for a DoD non coms use case testing phase. Prior to communications testing.

Take note how these are spaced along track at each 1/4 of a full orbit.
This cat while on rodent control deep in ITU archives stumbled on this part of the MICRONSAT-2 filing a year ago.

It is interesting because it shows AST asking ITU coordination for 20 FPGAs / block1 spaced for the DoD non coms case one year ago.

And 328 block 2 spaced for coms Image
I hoped to show with this thread that two 2017 brain childs of AST SpaceMobile & DARPA Blackjack (later SDA PWSA) might have a higher degree of mutual coordination and planning of contract awards, technology roadmaps etc than what is publicly apparent.

They are a perfect match. Image

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More from @CatSE___ApeX___

Nov 29
There are many people speculating in revenue from AST satellites.

A year ago @thekookreport and I did some math.

It’s in his report.

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One simple key to understanding data transmission capacity in networks is the difference between bits and bytes.

A byte contains 8 bits.

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One other key metric is the peak processing bandwidth of an $ASTS BlueBird Block 2 which is 10 GigaHertz

Another is the spectral efficiency.

Which was measured in early tests with BlueWalker 3 to 3 bits/sec/Hz

We used some margin to that peak value: Instead 2.5 bits/s/Hz.

3/n
Read 41 tweets
Nov 26
Starlink withdraws a letter and gets an commercial license for direct to cell 4G text messaging.

A thread. 🧶🐈‍⬛

1/n
Here is the filing Space-X withdrew.

Space-X no longer procent objects to FCC measures protecting NASA S-band installations from Starlink emissions abroad.

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This page sums up the commercial grant quite well.

Starlink is allowed up to 7,500 satellites in VLEO and commercial d2c /SCS operations in T-Mobiles PCS-G block.

Starlink wanted FCC to waiver their interference peotection limit.

FCC did not.

3/n Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 25
$ASTS Requests Testing Authority with Vodafone Spectrum.

Asks to start tests on december 10th 2024 using the five Block 1 BlueBirds.

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Filed yesterday this requests testing in a band operated by Vodafone Turkey.

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The filing is heavily redacted.

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Read 10 tweets
Nov 24
A guy in Switzerland listening in on S-band is picking up Bluebirds.

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I belive that 400 MHz TT&C channel is registered much more frequently is due to more radio astronomers listening in that band which also is hobby radio astronomy babd. Not that the S-band isn’t as active. Just fewer listening in.

Still good to see activity.

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Thank You for sharing online Martin if you see this thread.

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Read 7 tweets
Nov 11
And now for the cats take on how a Trump win affects $ASTS.

We will talk about geopolitics, satcom architecture choices and natural selection.

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Let me start by saying that I am a rural conservative politician with guns and military grade sensors as my hobbies.

I have no doubt I’d vote republican in a US context. And what I am about to say on Trump winning is not an endorsment of Harris.

I am not part of that division.
I am just trying my best to establish facts and importantly doing that from a non-US point of view.

If you are US and do not agree with me.

👉 That is the point.👈

3/n
Read 20 tweets
Sep 27
Starlink d2c is ising earth moving cells.

Scott (see attached tweet) noticed how this affects network IDs.
Let’s ask ChatGPT if this feature helps Starlink?

🧶🐈‍⬛

Note: AST has purpose built their technology to replicate terrestrial cell sites and AST is using earth fixed cells
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Oh no, not good.

2/3

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This is really bad for Starlink.

And a consequence of their patch on philosophy.

The earth moving cells are very simple and used for Starlink legacy VSAT internet service.

It is not suited for integration in cellular networks bc, duh, tower cell sites stay put.

3/3
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Read 5 tweets

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