Ole Lehmann Profile picture
Dec 13 22 tweets 4 min read Read on X
I thought I was rational.

Then I read Daniel Kahneman's Nobel Prize-winning work on human decision-making.

He routinely asks 8 questions to expose cognitive traps you fall into daily.

Test yourself with these questions (it's the ultimate BS detector for your brain): Image
Image
Question 1: Am I thinking fast or slow?

Kahneman's not impressed by your lightning-fast decisions.

Why? Because your brain has two systems:

• Fast: Intuitive, emotional, unconscious
• Slow: Analytical, logical, conscious

Guess which one Kahneman trusts for big decisions?
Think about it: You're offered a new job. Exciting, right?

Fast thinking says: "Take it! More money!"
Slow thinking asks: "How does this align with my long-term goals?"

This question is your brake pedal in a world of snap judgments.
Question 2: Am I too stressed to think clearly?

Stress is kryptonite for your decision-making superpowers.

This question is your stress detector.

Why it matters:
• Stress narrows your focus (hello, tunnel vision)
• It amplifies negative emotions
• It makes you more likely to take unnecessary risks

So before a big decision, check your stress levels.
Heart racing? Palms sweaty? Mind spinning?

Pause.
This question is like a mental health check for your choices.

It's the difference between a panic move & a power move.
Question 3: Is this a reversible decision?

Kahneman wants you to know your exit strategy before you even enter.

This question is your decision flexibility test.

Some choices are set in stone.
Others are written in pencil.

Knowing which is which changes everything.
Buying a house? Pretty irreversible.
Trying a new hairstyle? Totally reversible.

This question helps you:
• Allocate the right amount of mental energy
• Take calculated risks
• Avoid decision paralysis

It's like having a safety net for your choices.
Question 4: What would you think about this if it were someone else's decision?

This isn't just a thought experiment. It's a superpower.

Here's why Kahneman loves this question...
Our brains are wired with an "inside view" - we're too close to our own choices.

But imagine your best friend facing the same dilemma.

Suddenly, you're a genius of objectivity.

For example:

You're considering quitting your job to start a business.

Risky, right?
Now imagine your friend wants to do the same.

You'd probably ask about their savings, market research, and backup plan.

See the difference?

This question turns your emotional decision into a logical analysis.

It's like having a personal board of directors in your head.
Question 5: What would I think about this a year from now?

Kahneman knows our brains are time-traveling fools.

We overvalue the present and underestimate the future.

This question is your time machine.

Think about it:

Remember that "urgent" work crisis from last year?
Yeah, neither does anyone else.

But that small investment you made? It's grown into something beautiful.

This question helps you see the forest, not just the trees.

It's your shield against short-term thinking and knee-jerk reactions.
Question 6: What would I advise a friend to do in this situation?

Kahneman knows you're smarter than you think... when it comes to other people's problems.

This question taps into that hidden wisdom.
Why?

1. You're emotionally detached
2. You want the best for your friends
3. You see their blind spots

Imagine your friend is considering a major career change.

What advice would you give?

Now apply that sage wisdom to yourself.

Boom. You just became your own best advisor.
Question 7: What's the quality of the evidence?

Kahneman doesn't trust your "trustworthy" sources.

He wants you to put on your detective hat and investigate.
Ask yourself:

1. Where did this information come from?
2. Is it peer-reviewed or just someone's opinion?
3. Are there conflicting studies or viewpoints?

For example:
You read a headline: "Coffee cures cancer!"

Before you start chugging espresso, dig deeper.
Is it a single study or a meta-analysis?
Who funded the research?
What do other experts say?

This question turns you from an information consumer into a critical thinker.

It's your BS detector in a world of misinformation.
Question 8: What are the opposing arguments?

Kahneman knows your brain loves to play favorites.

This question forces you to consider the other side.

Why it matters:

1. It challenges your assumptions
2. It prepares you for potential pitfalls
3. It might change your mind (gasp)
Try this:

Before your next big decision, play devil's advocate.

List all the reasons why it might be a terrible idea.

You'll either strengthen your resolve or avoid a costly mistake.

Win-win.
Remember: Your brain is trying to trick you. These questions are your secret weapon.

Use them wisely.
RT the quote below if you found this thread valuable.

Follow me @oledoteth for more threads on investing, entrepreneurship, and health.
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Over the past 16 months, I've generated:

• $650,000+ online
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More from @itsolelehmann

Dec 14
Bitcoin isn't afraid of Google's Willow chip.

In fact, Satoshi predicted the quantum computing threat 14 years ago.

While critics scream 'crypto apocalypse'...
Bitcoin developers are already quietly building quantum resistance.

Here's what everyone's missing 🧵: Image
Image
Google just dropped a quantum computing bomb that's making tech bro Twitter lose its mind.

Their new Willow chip solved a calculation in 5 minutes that would take our most powerful supercomputers 10^25 years.

Let that sink in: Image
The age of universe is 13,800,000,000 billion years.

Time it would take for our best supercomputer to solve that calculation? 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years.

Time for Willow? 5 minutes. Lol.

Naturally, crypto skeptics immediately started sounding the alarm: Image
Read 19 tweets
Dec 12
Your next best employee won't need:

No sleep. No salary. No benefits. No time off.

Because it won't be human.

By 2030, AI agents will replace 70% of office work (McKinsey) and add $7T to the global economy (Goldman).

Here's how AI agents will change business forever: Image
Image
OpenAI maps out AI evolution in 5 stages:

• Level 1: Chatbots (like early ChatGPT)
• Level 2: Reasoners (current Claude/GPT-4)
• Level 3: Agents (what's emerging now)
• Level 4: Innovators (AI that invents)
• Level 5: Organizations (AI that runs companies) Image
We're watching this evolution happen in real-time.

Two years ago, ChatGPT gave us Level 1 - AI that could talk to us.
This year brought Level 2 with advanced reasoning (o1 & Claude)

Now? We're witnessing the leap to Level 3: Agents.

And here's what makes agents revolutionary:
Read 21 tweets
Dec 11
In a tiny Dutch town, a secretive $350B tech company controls the future of AI, iPhones, and global military tech.

No one talks about them.

But both the US and China are in a vicious war for their technology.

Here's how ASML quietly became the world's most important company: Image
Image
First, let's understand what makes ASML special:

• They make machines that make computer chips
• Closest competitor is 10+ years behind
• Complete monopoly on advanced chip tech
• Every major tech company depends on them

But here's what makes this story fascinating...
ASML started in 1984 as a joint venture between Phillips and ASM International. For years, they were just another equipment maker.

Then something changed everything:

Researchers realized we were hitting the limits of chip manufacturing.

Moore's Law was about to hit a wall. Image
Read 15 tweets
Dec 7
At first, AI could chat.
Then it could think.

Now? It's starting to actually DO things.

We've entered the age of AI agents — digital workers that execute tasks 24/7.

And what they're capable of will blow your mind: Image
OpenAI maps out AI evolution in 5 stages:

• Level 1: Chatbots (like early ChatGPT)
• Level 2: Reasoners (current Claude/GPT-4)
• Level 3: Agents (what's emerging now)
• Level 4: Innovators (AI that invents)
• Level 5: Organizations (AI that runs companies) Image
We're watching this evolution happen in real-time.

Two years ago, ChatGPT gave us Level 1 - AI that could talk to us.
This year brought Level 2 with advanced reasoning (o1 & Claude)

Now? We're witnessing the leap to Level 3: Agents.

And here's what makes agents revolutionary:
Read 19 tweets
Dec 6
I used to think I was creative.

Then I read Rick Rubin's revolutionary book on the creative process.

He routinely asks 13 questions to unlock artistic potential & spark innovation.

Test yourself with these questions (the ultimate creativity playbook for your art & business): Image
Question 1: What excites you most about this project right now?

Rubin knows enthusiasm is the fuel of creativity.

Why? Because excitement:

• Energizes your mind
• Pushes you past obstacles
• Attracts collaborators
Think about it: You're launching a new startup.

What part makes your heart race?

Is it the innovative product? The market potential? The team you've assembled?

This inquiry serves as your compass in a sea of creative possibilities.
Read 28 tweets
Dec 6
Europe is bleeding tech talent, and no one's talking about it.

A senior engineer in Paris makes $65K.
The same role in Silicon Valley? $320K.

This gap is creating the biggest talent exodus in European history.

Here's the brutal reality behind Europe's massive brain drain 🧵: Image
Image
First, the salary gap is staggering.

Senior software engineer compensation:

• Silicon Valley: $210,000-$320,000+
• London: $95,000-$140,000
• Berlin: $70,000-$110,000
• Paris: $65,000-$100,000

That's not a gap. It's a canyon.

But here's what's really driving the exodus: Image
After taxes, European tech workers take home dramatically less:

• France/Germany: 45-50% effective rate
• US: 37% federal rate

This creates two clear paths for Europe's talent:

1. Move to the US for doubled (or tripled) take-home pay
2. Work remotely from lower-cost regions Image
Read 12 tweets

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