Here is the link to the full @HJS_Org report on Hamas’ fatalities statistics from Gaza:
henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/q…
We have very deliberately tried to omit value judgment and opinions from the report and give benefit of the doubt as much as possible. It’s still damning: there’s just too much wrong. Too many errors, too many impossibilities, too many signs of obvious data manipulation.
We wrote this not to give a definitive figure. We wrote it to give people the means to rebut the false narrative wherever possible.
We have relied solely on Hamas’ own figures to damn them. Our primary source, overwhelmingly, was Hamas themselves.
Let me break it down chapter by chapter.
1/9
henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/q…
We have very deliberately tried to omit value judgment and opinions from the report and give benefit of the doubt as much as possible. It’s still damning: there’s just too much wrong. Too many errors, too many impossibilities, too many signs of obvious data manipulation.
We wrote this not to give a definitive figure. We wrote it to give people the means to rebut the false narrative wherever possible.
We have relied solely on Hamas’ own figures to damn them. Our primary source, overwhelmingly, was Hamas themselves.
Let me break it down chapter by chapter.
1/9
Chapter 1 deals with the methodology of the reporting. There are three mechanisms. Fatalities are recorded through a mix of hospital reports, family submissions using an open-source online form, and “media sources”.
In each of the methodologies, Hamas’ own figures show men as the group most likely to be killed. Adult males made up only 26% of Gaza’s population before the war.
Men are dying in disproportionate numbers - especially men of fighting age. This chapter allows anyone arguing with the pro-Hamas mob to prove that Israel is targeting fighters, not innocents.
2/9
In each of the methodologies, Hamas’ own figures show men as the group most likely to be killed. Adult males made up only 26% of Gaza’s population before the war.
Men are dying in disproportionate numbers - especially men of fighting age. This chapter allows anyone arguing with the pro-Hamas mob to prove that Israel is targeting fighters, not innocents.
2/9
Chapter 2 deals with the age breakdown of demographics in much more detail and highlights numerous obvious errors.
This chapter allows you to comprehensively rebut the idea that Israel is targeting women and children.
3/9
This chapter allows you to comprehensively rebut the idea that Israel is targeting women and children.
3/9
Chapter 3 proves that Hamas is claiming as “killed by IDF action” people Hamas has killed themselves directly or through rockets that have fallen short and natural deaths. It proves that Hamas, these rapists and murderers, are also liars.
It is beyond me why international media would not realise this. Hamas publishes the lists of people authorised to leave Gaza for medical treatment. It takes no time at all to cross reference. Shameful negligence of basic standards of journalism.
4/9
It is beyond me why international media would not realise this. Hamas publishes the lists of people authorised to leave Gaza for medical treatment. It takes no time at all to cross reference. Shameful negligence of basic standards of journalism.
4/9
Chapter 4 proves that the IDF is telling the truth about how many combatants they have killed.
We have corroborated this all through open source reporting. We could get *nothing* out of the IDF for this report, with the exception of two sources, low in the chain whose anonymity I am protecting so as not to land them in the shit.
The IDF didn’t play ball at all, leaks aside, and except where credited in the footnotes. I’m actually glad, in hindsight. It makes the report stronger.
From this chapter, when arguing, you can conclusively say the IDF are telling the truth when they say it’s 17-20k (although after the Jabalia operation, completed after submission, I suggest it’s now 18k as a minimum).
5/9
We have corroborated this all through open source reporting. We could get *nothing* out of the IDF for this report, with the exception of two sources, low in the chain whose anonymity I am protecting so as not to land them in the shit.
The IDF didn’t play ball at all, leaks aside, and except where credited in the footnotes. I’m actually glad, in hindsight. It makes the report stronger.
From this chapter, when arguing, you can conclusively say the IDF are telling the truth when they say it’s 17-20k (although after the Jabalia operation, completed after submission, I suggest it’s now 18k as a minimum).
5/9
Chapter 5 is my favourite. You know that old canard “Hamas deaths stats have been reliable in the past”?
They haven’t.
This chapter allows you to put that to bed once and for all. We have proven that Hamas lies about civilian deaths during the conflict, and actively coerces Gaza’s population to conceal Hamas combatant deaths.
6/9
They haven’t.
This chapter allows you to put that to bed once and for all. We have proven that Hamas lies about civilian deaths during the conflict, and actively coerces Gaza’s population to conceal Hamas combatant deaths.
6/9
Chapter 6 is the work of the amazing Tania Glezer from Fifty.Global and the International Institute for Social and Legal Studies.
They show the shocking imbalance in global media reporting on this conflict.
The West’s media has taken the conscious decision to platform the murderous rapists of Hamas over the democratic, accountable military of a country that is an ally to many of our nations. They repeat Hamas’ lies wholesale, without any scrutiny.
Shameful.
No wonder the dialogue on this conflict is as toxic as it is. Our traditional media have some serious questions to answer.
In response to the Telegraph article about our report the BBC said: “It is challenging to report accurately on the death toll in Gaza as Israel does not allow independent access to international journalists. BBC News is clear and transparent in sourcing the figures which are available and attributing them to the Hamas-run health authority.
Beyond this, we use a range of sources to understand the impact of the war in Israel and Gaza on civilians including the IDF, the health ministry in Gaza and the UN.”
Oh yeah? See chart below. From the data manipulation and faulty methodologies we have identified in this report, Hamas’ figures are so flawed and unreliable that international media and the UN should not be using them *at all*.
The BBC either knows this, and uses the figures anyway - or they simply haven’t done their job properly.
7/9
They show the shocking imbalance in global media reporting on this conflict.
The West’s media has taken the conscious decision to platform the murderous rapists of Hamas over the democratic, accountable military of a country that is an ally to many of our nations. They repeat Hamas’ lies wholesale, without any scrutiny.
Shameful.
No wonder the dialogue on this conflict is as toxic as it is. Our traditional media have some serious questions to answer.
In response to the Telegraph article about our report the BBC said: “It is challenging to report accurately on the death toll in Gaza as Israel does not allow independent access to international journalists. BBC News is clear and transparent in sourcing the figures which are available and attributing them to the Hamas-run health authority.
Beyond this, we use a range of sources to understand the impact of the war in Israel and Gaza on civilians including the IDF, the health ministry in Gaza and the UN.”
Oh yeah? See chart below. From the data manipulation and faulty methodologies we have identified in this report, Hamas’ figures are so flawed and unreliable that international media and the UN should not be using them *at all*.
The BBC either knows this, and uses the figures anyway - or they simply haven’t done their job properly.
7/9
Final thoughts.
We’re seeing the positive response from the friendly today. I have no doubt that the next week will see a shitstorm of abuse and attempts to discredit.
But here’s the beauty of the report: it’s only Hamas’ figures we have used. Try and discredit the report, and you’re discrediting Hamas’ figures either way.
The comments of Husam Zomlot, head of the Palestine Mission to the United Kingdom, have delighted me. I’ll probably get them framed.
He said: “Numerous international organisations and UN agencies – including the WHO – have not only confirmed these numbers, they’ve made the point that they are severely underestimated.”
The UN does not publish these figures without at least a caveat that they are unverified. Give them that much credit. Many have said they’re underestimated there is no evidence for that either other than wild supposition, like that ludicrous letter to the Lancet. Mr Zomlot has reacted to accusations of inaccuracy with a repetition of inaccuracy.
He also called the report “morally and professionally repugnant”, which made me genuinely laugh out loud. It speaks volumes that a Palestinian representative to the UK thinks exposing Hamas’ lies and calling for accuracy and fairness is “morally repugnant”.
8/9
We’re seeing the positive response from the friendly today. I have no doubt that the next week will see a shitstorm of abuse and attempts to discredit.
But here’s the beauty of the report: it’s only Hamas’ figures we have used. Try and discredit the report, and you’re discrediting Hamas’ figures either way.
The comments of Husam Zomlot, head of the Palestine Mission to the United Kingdom, have delighted me. I’ll probably get them framed.
He said: “Numerous international organisations and UN agencies – including the WHO – have not only confirmed these numbers, they’ve made the point that they are severely underestimated.”
The UN does not publish these figures without at least a caveat that they are unverified. Give them that much credit. Many have said they’re underestimated there is no evidence for that either other than wild supposition, like that ludicrous letter to the Lancet. Mr Zomlot has reacted to accusations of inaccuracy with a repetition of inaccuracy.
He also called the report “morally and professionally repugnant”, which made me genuinely laugh out loud. It speaks volumes that a Palestinian representative to the UK thinks exposing Hamas’ lies and calling for accuracy and fairness is “morally repugnant”.
8/9
This report was compiled by a team comprising of the brilliant @MarkZlochin @Aizenberg55 @ElliotMalin and Tania Glezer. They’re all available for media comment as well as me (DM me if you want Tania to speak about the media imbalance
Here’s the link to the report:
I hope you find it useful.
9/9henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/q…
Here’s the link to the report:
I hope you find it useful.
9/9henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/q…
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